2019_Aragonese_regional_election

2019 Aragonese regional election

2019 Aragonese regional election

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The 2019 Aragonese regional election was held on Sunday, 26 May 2019, to elect the 10th Cortes of the autonomous community of Aragon. All 67 seats in the Cortes were up for election. The election was held simultaneously with regional elections in eleven other autonomous communities and local elections all throughout Spain, as well as the 2019 European Parliament election.

Quick Facts All 67 seats in the Cortes of Aragon 34 seats needed for a majority, Registered ...

The election resulted in the most fragmented parliament to date, with up to eight parliamentary groups being formed. The Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE) of regional president Javier Lambán emerged as the largest political party and was able to retain government throughout a diverse coalition agreement including Podemos, the Aragonese Party (PAR) and the Aragonese Union (CHA). The People's Party (PP) obtained the worst result in its history, whereas Citizens (Cs) emerged with a strong third-place position. The far-right, represented by Vox, entered parliament for the first time.

Overview

Electoral system

The Cortes of Aragon were the devolved, unicameral legislature of the autonomous community of Aragon, having legislative power in regional matters as defined by the Spanish Constitution and the Aragonese Statute of Autonomy, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a regional president.[1] Voting for the Cortes was on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprised all nationals over 18 years of age, registered in Aragon and in full enjoyment of their political rights. Additionally, Aragonese people abroad were required to apply for voting before being permitted to vote, a system known as "begged" or expat vote (Spanish: Voto rogado).[2]

The 67 members of the Cortes of Aragon were elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with an electoral threshold of three percent of valid votes—which included blank ballots—being applied in each constituency. Seats were allocated to constituencies, corresponding to the provinces of Huesca, Teruel and Zaragoza, with each being allocated an initial minimum of 13 seats and the remaining 28 being distributed in proportion to their populations (provided that the seat-to-population ratio in the most populated province did not exceed 2.75 times that of the least populated one).[1][3]

As a result of the aforementioned allocation, each Cortes constituency was entitled the following seats:[4]

More information Seats, Constituencies ...

The use of the D'Hondt method might result in a higher effective threshold, depending on the district magnitude.[5]

Election date

The term of the Cortes of Aragon expired four years after the date of their previous election, unless they were dissolved earlier. The election decree was required to be issued no later than the twenty-fifth day prior to the date of expiry of parliament and published on the following day in the Official Gazette of Aragon (BOA), with election day taking place on the fifty-fourth day from publication. The previous election was held on 24 May 2015, which meant that the legislature's term would have expired on 24 May 2019. The election decree was required to be published in the BOA no later than 30 April 2019, with the election taking place on the fifty-fourth day from publication, setting the latest possible election date for the Assembly on Sunday, 23 June 2019.[1][3][6]

The president had the prerogative to dissolve the Cortes of Aragon and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence was in process and that dissolution did not occur before one year had elapsed since the previous one. In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional president within a two-month period from the first ballot, the Cortes were to be automatically dissolved and a fresh election called.[1]

The Cortes of Aragon were officially dissolved on 2 April 2019 after the publication of the dissolution decree in the BOA, setting the election date for 26 May and scheduling for the chamber to reconvene on 20 June.[4]

Parliamentary composition

The table below shows the composition of the parliamentary groups in the Cortes at the time of dissolution.[7]

More information Groups, Parties ...

Parties and candidates

The electoral law allowed for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, coalitions and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form a coalition ahead of an election were required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors needed to secure the signature of at least one percent of the electorate in the constituencies for which they sought election, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list of candidates.[3][6]

Below is a list of the main parties and electoral alliances which contested the election:

More information Candidacy, Parties and alliances ...

Campaign

Party slogans

More information Party or alliance, Original slogan ...

Election debates

More information Date, Organisers ...

Opinion polls

The tables below list opinion polling results in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll.

Voting intention estimates

The table below lists weighted voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 34 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Cortes of Aragon.

Color key:

  Poll conducted after legal ban on opinion polls   Exit poll

More information Polling firm/Commissioner, Fieldwork date ...

Voting preferences

The table below lists raw, unweighted voting preferences.

More information Polling firm/Commissioner, Fieldwork date ...

Results

Overall

More information Parties and alliances, Popular vote ...
More information Popular vote ...
More information Seats ...

Distribution by constituency

More information Constituency, PSOE ...

Aftermath

More information Ballot →, 31 July 2019 ...

Notes

  1. Results for Podemos (20.56%, 14 seats) and Equo (0.19%, 0 seats) in the 2015 election.
  2. Denotes a main invitee attending the event.
  3. Within PP.
  4. Within IU–UPeC.

References

Opinion poll sources
  1. "El PSOE ganaría las elecciones en Aragón y en las tres capitales de provincia". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 26 May 2019.
  2. "Cortes de Aragón. Sondeo GfK". Aragón TV (in Spanish). 26 May 2019.
  3. "#emojiPanel Aragón (24M)". Electomanía (in Spanish). 24 May 2019.
  4. "#emojiPanel Aragón (23M)". Electomanía (in Spanish). 23 May 2019.
  5. "#emojiPanel Aragón (22M)". Electomanía (in Spanish). 22 May 2019.
  6. "#emojiPanel Aragón (21M)". Electomanía (in Spanish). 21 May 2019.
  7. "Resultados por comunidades. Encuesta mayo 2019" (PDF). La Razón (in Spanish). 20 May 2019. Archived from the original (PDF) on 20 May 2019. Retrieved 20 May 2019.
  8. "#emojiPanel Aragón (20M)". Electomanía (in Spanish). 20 May 2019.
  9. "Estimación Marzo 2018. Aragón. Autonómicas 2019". SyM Consulting (in Spanish). 24 March 2018.
  10. "ARAGÓN. Sondeo A+M. Autonómicas. Noviembre 2017". Electograph (in Spanish). 3 December 2017.
Other
  1. Ley Orgánica 5/2007, de 20 de abril, de reforma del Estatuto de Autonomía de Aragón (Organic Law 5) (in Spanish). 20 April 2007. Retrieved 17 September 2017.
  2. Reig Pellicer, Naiara (16 December 2015). "Spanish elections: Begging for the right to vote". cafebabel.co.uk. Retrieved 17 July 2017.
  3. Ley 2/1987, de 16 de febrero, Electoral de la Comunidad Autónoma de Aragón (Law 2) (in Spanish). 12 February 1987. Retrieved 30 January 2020.
  4. Gallagher, Michael (30 July 2012). "Effective threshold in electoral systems". Trinity College, Dublin. Archived from the original on 30 July 2017. Retrieved 22 July 2017.
  5. Ley Orgánica 5/1985, de 19 de junio, del Régimen Electoral General (Organic Law 5) (in Spanish). 19 June 1985. Retrieved 30 January 2020.
  6. "Elecciones a las Cortes de Aragón (desde 1983)". Historia Electoral.com (in Spanish). Retrieved 24 December 2023.
  7. "Luis María Beamonte, elegido presidente del PP Aragón con más del 97% de los votos". EcoDiario.es (in Spanish). 25 March 2017. Retrieved 28 January 2019.
  8. "El PSOE proclama a sus candidatos a las autonómicas sin primarias salvo en Cantabria". eldiario.es (in Spanish). 10 November 2018. Retrieved 28 January 2019.
  9. "Maru Díaz gana las primarias y será candidata de Podemos a la presidencia de Aragón". El Periódico de Aragón (in Spanish). 27 November 2018. Retrieved 28 January 2019.
  10. "José Luis Soro volverá a ser el candidato de CHA la Presidencia del Gobierno de Aragón". Europa Press (in Spanish). 19 January 2019. Retrieved 28 January 2019.
  11. "Santiago Morón y Julio Calvo encabezan las listas de Vox a la DGA y a la Alcadía de Zaragoza". Heraldo de Aragón (in Spanish). 22 April 2019. Retrieved 25 May 2019.
  12. "Beamonte (PP) defiende un programa de centro para que Aragón "dé el salto"". El Periódico de Aragón (in Spanish). 7 May 2019. Retrieved 6 December 2019.
  13. "Pancartas, carteles, grafitis y pantallas". Cadena SER (in Spanish). 10 May 2019. Retrieved 6 December 2019.
  14. "El PSOE Aragón azuza el miedo a la ultraderecha para movilizar a sus votantes". Hoy Aragón (in Spanish). 10 May 2019. Retrieved 6 December 2019.
  15. "Podemos-Equo presenta "Aragón, Contigo", su lema de campaña para las autonómicas". aragondigital.es (in Spanish). 30 April 2019. Retrieved 6 December 2019.
  16. "El PAR presenta una campaña para las autonómicas basada en el centro y la moderación". aragondigital.es (in Spanish). 2 May 2019. Retrieved 6 December 2019.
  17. "CHA se presenta como un partido "que cumple", "útil" y "honrado"". El Periódico de Aragón (in Spanish). 3 May 2019. Retrieved 6 December 2019.
  18. "Vox rectifica y da un volantazo a su política de comunicación". El Mundo (in Spanish). 9 May 2019. Retrieved 6 December 2019.
  19. "Reviva el debate de HERALDO con los candidatos al Gobierno de Aragón". Heraldo de Aragón. 10 May 2019. Retrieved 6 December 2019.
  20. Iserte, Leticia (20 May 2019). "El debate a ocho de Aragón TV no puede con Allí Abajo, Es por tu bien y Supervivientes". Extra Digital. Retrieved 3 May 2023.
  21. "Cortes of Aragon election results, 26 May 2019" (PDF). www.juntaelectoralcentral.es (in Spanish). Electoral Commission of Aragon. 6 June 2019. Retrieved 29 November 2019.
  22. "Aragon Electoral Archive. Cortes of Aragon election, 2019. Autonomous Community of Aragon". servicios.aragon.es (in Spanish). Government of Aragon. Retrieved 29 November 2019.

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