2022_United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Mississippi

2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Mississippi

2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Mississippi

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The 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Mississippi were held on November 8, 2022, to elect the four U.S. representatives from the state of Mississippi, one from each of the state's four congressional districts. The elections coincided with other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.

Quick Facts All 4 Mississippi seats to the United States House of Representatives, Majority party ...

The elections were the first under Mississippi's new congressional map after redistricting completed by the state government.[1] All four races were considered uncompetitive in the general election[2][3] and turnout from Mississippians was the lowest out of the entire United States, measuring in at 31.5%.[4] Republican Representatives Michael Guest and Steven Palazzo faced competitive primaries, where both went to runoffs; Palazzo was ultimately ousted by Mike Ezell in the runoff, mainly in part to an investigation into Palazzo's supposed misuse of campaign funds.[5][6] Republican representative Trent Kelly was the sole representative of the Mississippi delegation to receive a Trump endorsement and faced no serious challenge.[6] The partisan composition of the delegation remained the same after the election.[2]

District 1

Quick Facts Nominee, Party ...
Democratic primary results by county
Black:      50-60%      60-70%      70-80%      80-90%
Republican primary results by county
Kelly:      70-80%      80-90%      >90%

The 1st district takes in the northeastern area of the state, including Columbus, Oxford, Southaven, and Tupelo. The incumbent is Republican Trent Kelly, who was re-elected with 68.7% of the vote in 2020.[7]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary

Endorsements

Trent Kelly
Federal officials

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Dianne Black, hair salon owner[11]
Eliminated in primary
  • Hunter Kyle Avery, manufacturing worker[12][13]

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...

Independents

Filed paperwork

General election

Predictions

More information Source, Ranking ...

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...

District 2

Quick Facts Nominee, Party ...

The 2nd district encompasses the Mississippi Delta, taking in most of Jackson, the riverfront cities of Greenville, Natchez and Vicksburg, and the interior market cities of Clarksdale, Greenwood and Clinton. The district was expanded during the 2020 census redistricting. The incumbent is Democrat Bennie Thompson, who was re-elected with 66.0% of the vote in 2020.[7] Thompson cruised to re-election in 2022 as expected, though Brian Flowers did give him his toughest race since 2004 when Clinton LeSueur achieved 41% of the vote.[24]

Democratic primary results by county
Thompson:      60-70%      70-80%      80-90%

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary

Endorsements

Bennie Thompson

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...
Republican primary results by county
Flowers:      30-40%      40-50%      50-60%      60-70%
Eller:      30-40%      50-60%
Republican primary runoff results by county
Flowers:      50-60%      60-70%      70-80%      80-90%
Eller:      50-60%      60-70%

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Brian Flowers, nuclear plant technician, U.S. Navy veteran, and nominee for this district in 2020[28][13]
Eliminated in runoff
Eliminated in primary

Endorsements

Ron Eller
Executive Branch officials
Organizations

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...
More information Party, Candidate ...

General election

Predictions

More information Source, Ranking ...

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...

District 3

Quick Facts Nominee, Party ...

The 3rd district is located in eastern and southwestern Mississippi, taking in Meridian, Starkville, Pearl and most of the wealthier portions of Jackson, including the portion of the city located in Rankin County. The district was reduced to include only 3 of the cities, plus a wealthy area of Jackson due to 2020 census redistricting. The incumbent is Republican Michael Guest, who was elected with 64.7% of the vote in 2020. Guest managed to flip Kemper County, which gave Joe Biden 61.02% of the vote in the 2020 presidential election.[7]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in runoff
Eliminated in primary
  • Thomas Griffin, businessman[11]
Republican primary results by county
Cassidy:      40-50%      50-60%      60-70%
Guest:      40-50%      50-60%      60-70%

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...
Republican primary runoff results by county
Cassidy:      50-60%
Guest:      50-60%      60-70%      70-80%      80-90%
More information Party, Candidate ...

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Shuwaski Young, political organizer[12]
Withdrawn
  • Rahim Talley, businessman, Iraq war veteran and progressive activist[32]

General election

Predictions

More information Source, Ranking ...

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...

District 4

Quick Facts Nominee, Party ...

The 4th district encompasses the Mississippi Gulf Coast, including Gulfport, Biloxi, Hattiesburg, Bay St. Louis, Laurel, and Pascagoula. The incumbent is Republican Steven Palazzo, who was re-elected unopposed in 2020.[7]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in runoff
Eliminated in primary

Endorsements

Mike Ezell
State legislators
Individuals
  • Clay Wagner, Republican primary candidate and banker[39][40]
  • Carl Boyanton, Republican primary candidate and produce store owner[39]
  • Raymond Brooks, Republican primary candidate and police officer[39]
  • Kidron Peterson, Republican primary candidate[39]

Polling

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Republican primary results by county
Ezell:      30-40%      40-50%
Palazzo:      20-30%      30-40%      40-50%
Wagner:      30-40%

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...
Republican primary runoff results by county
Ezell:      50-60%      60-70%
Palazzo:      50-60%
More information Party, Candidate ...

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • David Sellers, pastor[32]

Endorsements

Democratic primary results by county
Dupree:      >90%      80-90%      70-80%

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Declared
  • Alden Patrick Johnson, firefighter[12][13]

Independents

Candidates

Withdrawn or disqualified

General election

Predictions

More information Source, Ranking ...

Endorsements

Mike Ezell
Federal officials

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...

Notes

  1. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
Partisan clients
  1. Poll sponsored by Palazzo's campaign

References

  1. Rakich, Ryan Best, Aaron Bycoffe and Nathaniel (August 9, 2021). "What Redistricting Looks Like In Every State - Mississippi". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved January 10, 2023.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: multiple names: authors list (link)
  2. Pender, Bobby Harrison, Geoff (November 9, 2022). "Mississippi election results: Three Republicans, one Democrat again win U.S. House seats". Mississippi Today. Retrieved January 10, 2023.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: multiple names: authors list (link)
  3. "2022 House Race ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 10, 2023.
  4. "Mississippi has lowest voter turnout in U.S. for midterm elections: data". WJTV. November 15, 2022. Retrieved January 10, 2023.
  5. Ward, Myah. "GOP Rep. Steven Palazzo loses primary amid ethics cloud". POLITICO. Retrieved January 10, 2023.
  6. Solender, Andrew (June 8, 2022). "Two more incumbent House Republicans forced into primary runoffs". Axios. Retrieved January 10, 2023.
  7. Vance, Taylor (January 3, 2022). "U.S. Rep. Trent Kelly qualifies for reelection to U.S. House seat". www.djournal.com. Retrieved January 6, 2022.
  8. Bennett, Kelly; Mitchell, J.T.; Arbuckle, Alyssa (March 3, 2022). "Here are the candidates running for Mississippi's congressional seats". Supertalk Mississippi. Retrieved May 16, 2022.
  9. "Endorsement of Congressman Trent Kelly". June 5, 2022. Retrieved July 24, 2022.
  10. "2022 Candidate Qualifying List" (PDF). Mississippi Secretary of State. Retrieved March 1, 2022.
  11. "James McCay FEC Statement of Candidacy" (PDF). Retrieved November 11, 2021.
  12. "2022 House Race Ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 24, 2022.
  13. "House Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved March 21, 2022.
  14. "2022 House Ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. January 26, 2022. Retrieved January 26, 2022.
  15. "2022 Election Forecast". Fox News. July 11, 2022. Retrieved July 11, 2022.
  16. "2022 Election Forecast". DDHQ. July 20, 2022. Retrieved July 20, 2022.
  17. "2022 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. June 30, 2022. Retrieved June 30, 2022.
  18. "Certification of Votes For United States House of Representatives, District One" (PDF). Secretary of State of Mississippi. Retrieved December 13, 2022.
  19. "Gerald Kerner FEC Statement of Candidacy" (PDF). Retrieved November 11, 2021.
  20. Corder, Frank (December 27, 2021). "MS02: Thompson draws Democratic opponent critical of own party". yallpolitics.com. Y'all Politics. Retrieved December 28, 2021.
  21. "Planned Parenthood Action Fund Endorsed Candidates". www.plannedparenthoodaction.org. Retrieved December 22, 2021.
  22. "Brian Flowers FEC Statement of Candidacy" (PDF). Retrieved November 11, 2021.
  23. "Accomplished Veterans Endorsed by SEAL PAC". SEAL PAC. Retrieved March 6, 2022.
  24. "Certification of Votes For United States House of Representatives, District Two" (PDF). Secretary of State of Mississippi. Retrieved December 13, 2022.
  25. "Certification of Votes For United States House of Representatives, District Three" (PDF). Secretary of State of Mississippi. Retrieved December 13, 2022.
  26. "'I've got a serving heart': Mike Ezell announces bid for Congress". gulflive. April 6, 2021. Retrieved April 7, 2021.
  27. Coder, Frank (June 17, 2021). "Palazzo draws third Republican mid-term opponent". www.yallpolitics.com. Y'all Politics. Retrieved August 22, 2021.
  28. Pender, Geoff (June 9, 2022). "Every Republican challenger of Rep. Steven Palazzo endorses his runoff opponent Mike Ezell". Mississippi Today. Nonprofit Mississippi News. Retrieved June 26, 2022.
  29. Burns, Haskel (September 29, 2021). "Former Mayor Dupree qualifies to run for Palazzo's 4th Congressional District seat". www.hubcityspokes.com. Retrieved November 11, 2021.
  30. Corder, Frank (May 16, 2022). "MS04: Democrat candidate Sellers picks up college chapter, union endorsements ahead of Primary". yallpolitics.com. Y'all Politics. Retrieved June 16, 2022.
  31. "Graham Hudson Pledges to Support Term Limits on Congress". www.termlimits.com. U.S. Term Limits. March 9, 2021. Retrieved August 5, 2021.
  32. Corder, Frank (November 3, 2022). "Trump endorses Ezell ahead of MS04 Congressional Midterm Election". magnoliatribune.com. Retrieved February 10, 2023.
  33. "Certification of Votes For United States House of Representatives, District Four" (PDF). Secretary of State of Mississippi. Retrieved December 13, 2022.

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