2023_Castilian-Manchegan_regional_election
2023 Castilian-Manchegan regional election
Regional election in Spain
The 2023 Castilian-Manchegan regional election was held on Sunday, 28 May 2023, to elect the 11th Cortes of the autonomous community of Castilla–La Mancha. All 33 seats in the Cortes were up for election. The election was held simultaneously with regional elections in eleven other autonomous communities and local elections all throughout Spain.
Quick Facts All 33 seats in the Cortes of Castilla–La Mancha 17 seats needed for a majority, Registered ...
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All 33 seats in the Cortes of Castilla–La Mancha 17 seats needed for a majority | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Opinion polls | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Registered | 1,591,262  1.2% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Turnout | 1,091,741 (69.6%)0.2 pp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Constituency results map for the Cortes of Castilla–La Mancha | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Electoral system
The Cortes of Castilla–La Mancha were the devolved, unicameral legislature of the autonomous community of Castilla–La Mancha, having legislative power in regional matters as defined by the Spanish Constitution and the Castilian-Manchegan Statute of Autonomy, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a regional president.[1] Voting for the Cortes was on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprised all nationals over 18 years of age, registered in Castilla–La Mancha and in full enjoyment of their political rights. Amendments to the electoral law in 2022 abolished the "begged" or expat vote system (Spanish: Voto rogado), under which Spaniards abroad were required to apply for voting before being permitted to vote.[2] The expat vote system was attributed responsibility for a major decrease in the turnout of Spaniards abroad during the years it had been in force.[3]
The 33 members of the Cortes of Castilla–La Mancha were elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with an electoral threshold of three percent of valid votes—which included blank ballots—being applied in each constituency. Seats were allocated to constituencies, corresponding to the provinces of Albacete, Ciudad Real, Cuenca, Guadalajara and Toledo, with each being allocated an initial minimum of three seats and the remaining 18 being distributed in proportion to their populations.[1][4]
As a result of the aforementioned allocation, each Cortes constituency was entitled the following seats:[5]
More information Seats, Constituencies ...
| Seats | Constituencies |
|---|---|
| 9 | Toledo |
| 7 | Albacete, Ciudad Real |
| 5 | Cuenca, Guadalajara |
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The use of the D'Hondt method might result in a higher effective threshold, depending on the district magnitude.[6]
Election date
The term of the Cortes of Castilla–La Mancha expired four years after the date of their previous election. Elections to the Cortes were fixed for the fourth Sunday of May every four years. The previous election was held on 26 May 2019, setting the election date for the Cortes on Sunday, 28 May 2023.[1][4][7]
The president had the prerogative to dissolve the Cortes of Castilla–La Mancha and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence was in process, no nationwide election was due and some time requirements were met: namely, that dissolution did not occur either during the first legislative session or within the legislature's last year ahead of its scheduled expiry, nor before one year had elapsed since a previous dissolution. Any snap election held as a result of these circumstances would not alter the period to the next ordinary election, with elected deputies merely serving out what remained of their four-year terms. In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional president within a two-month period from the first ballot, the candidate from the party with the highest number of seats was to be deemed automatically elected.[1]
The election to the Cortes of Castilla–La Mancha were officially triggered on 4 April 2023 after the publication of the election decree in the Official Journal of Castilla–La Mancha (DOCM), scheduling for the chamber to convene on 22 June.[5]
The table below shows the composition of the parliamentary groups in the Cortes at the time of dissolution.[8]
The electoral law allowed for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, coalitions and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form a coalition ahead of an election were required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors needed to secure the signature of at least one percent of the electorate in the constituencies for which they sought election, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list of candidates.[4][7]
Below is a list of the main parties and electoral alliances which contested the election:
More information Candidacy, Parties and alliances ...
| Candidacy | Parties and alliances |
Leading candidate | Ideology | Previous result | Gov. | Ref. | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes (%) | Seats | ||||||||
| PSOE | List |
.jpg) |
Emiliano García-Page | Social democracy | 44.10% | 19 |  Y |
[10] | |
| PP | List
|
.jpg) |
Francisco Núñez | Conservatism Christian democracy |
28.53% | 10 |  N |
[11] | |
| CS | List |
.jpg) |
Carmen Picazo | Liberalism | 11.38% | 4 | N |
[12] | |
| Vox | List
|
.jpg) |
David Moreno | Right-wing populism Ultranationalism National conservatism |
7.02% | 0 | N |
[13] | |
| Unidas Podemos CLM |
List
|
.jpg) |
José Luis García Gascón | Left-wing populism Direct democracy Democratic socialism |
6.92% | 0 | N |
[14] [15] | |
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Election debates
The tables below list opinion polling results in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll.
Graphical summary
Local regression trend line of poll results from 26 May 2019 to 28 May 2023, with each line corresponding to a political party.
Voting intention estimates
The table below lists weighted voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 17 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Cortes of Castilla–La Mancha.
- Color key:
Poll conducted after legal ban on opinion polls
More information Polling firm/Commissioner, Fieldwork date ...
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout |  |
 |
 |
 |
 |
 |
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 regional election | 28 May 2023 | — | 69.6 | 45.0 17 |
33.7 12 |
1.0 0 |
12.8 4 |
4.2 0 |
0.3 0 |
11.3 |
| GAD3/RTVE–FORTA[p 1] | 12–27 May 2023 | 4,000 | ? | 44.2 16/18 |
34.0 12/13 |
1.5 0 |
11.4 3/4 |
6.8 0 |
– | 10.2 |
| PSOE[p 2] | 22 May 2023 | ? | ? | 47.0– 48.0 18/19 |
29.0– 30.0 10/12 |
– | 10.0– 11.0 1/2 |
– | – | 18.0 |
| NC Report/La Razón[p 3] | 22 May 2023 | ? | ? | 40.4 16 |
37.3 14/15 |
– | 10.9 2/3 |
– | – | 3.1 |
| KeyData/Público[p 4] | 18 May 2023 | ? | 71.2 | 41.0 17 |
35.7 14 |
2.4 0 |
11.1 2 |
6.1 0 |
– | 5.3 |
| Sigma Dos/El Mundo[p 5] | 15–18 May 2023 | 1,200 | ? | 42.3 15/17 |
34.8 13/14 |
1.2 0 |
13.5 3/4 |
6.6 0 |
– | 7.5 |
| ElectoPanel/El Plural[p 6][p 7] | 11–17 May 2023 | 600 | ? | 40.2 16 |
37.2 15 |
2.6 0 |
10.7 2 |
6.5 0 |
1.6 0 |
3.0 |
| Data10/OKDiario[p 8] | 15–16 May 2023 | 1,500 | ? | 40.5 16 |
38.6 15 |
1.9 0 |
10.7 2 |
5.7 0 |
– | 1.9 |
| Target Point/El Debate[p 9] | 9–15 May 2023 | 800 | ? | 42.2 16/18 |
36.4 13/15 |
1.2 0 |
10.8 2/3 |
6.3 0 |
– | 5.8 |
| SocioMétrica/El Español[p 10] | 8–14 May 2023 | ? | ? | 40.4 15/17 |
37.0 14/16 |
2.4 0 |
11.4 2/3 |
5.9 0 |
– | 3.4 |
| ElectoPanel/El Plural[p 11][p 12] | 4–10 May 2023 | 600 | ? | 40.1 16 |
37.3 15 |
2.6 0 |
10.7 2 |
6.5 0 |
1.7 0 |
2.8 |
| IMOP/El Confidencial[p 13] | 4–6 May 2023 | 1,295 | 66 | 46.5 18/19 |
31.6 12/13 |
2.3 0 |
12.1 2 |
4.8 0 |
– | 14.9 |
| ElectoPanel/El Plural[p 14][p 15] | 26 Apr–3 May 2023 | 600 | ? | 39.7 16 |
37.0 15 |
2.6 0 |
10.8 2 |
6.5 0 |
1.7 0 |
2.7 |
| CIS[p 16][p 17] | 10–26 Apr 2023 | 971 | ? | 47.2 16/22 |
28.1 9/11 |
2.7 0 |
11.4 2/4 |
6.9 0/2 |
– | 19.1 |
| ElectoPanel/El Plural[p 18][p 19] | 19–25 Apr 2023 | 600 | ? | 39.4 16 |
? 15 |
? 0 |
11.0 2 |
6.5 0 |
? 0 |
? |
| ElectoPanel/El Plural[p 20][p 21] | 12–18 Apr 2023 | 600 | ? | 38.9 15 |
36.5 15 |
2.5 0 |
11.6 3 |
6.4 0 |
2.2 0 |
2.4 |
| Sigma Dos/El Mundo[p 22] | 17 Apr 2023 | ? | ? | 40.6 15/16 |
36.6 13/15 |
2.8 0 |
10.8 3/4 |
6.9 0 |
– | 4.0 |
| Data10/OKDiario[p 23] | 10–13 Apr 2023 | 1,500 | ? | 38.6 15 |
38.8 16 |
2.5 0 |
10.2 2 |
6.4 0 |
– | 0.2 |
| ElectoPanel/El Plural[p 24][p 25] | 5–11 Apr 2023 | 600 | ? | 38.1 14 |
36.4 15 |
2.2 0 |
12.7 4 |
6.5 0 |
2.0 0 |
1.7 |
| SocioMétrica/El Español[p 26] | 3–7 Apr 2023 | 1,200 | ? | 38.8 15 |
37.2 14 |
2.8 0 |
11.8 4 |
6.4 0 |
– | 1.6 |
| Idus3/PSOE[p 27] | 3–5 Apr 2023 | 500 | ? | 45.1 18/20 |
31.0 11/13 |
2.7 0 |
9.8 1/3 |
5.4 0 |
– | 14.1 |
| ElectoPanel/El Plural[p 28][p 29] | 27 Mar–4 Apr 2023 | 600 | ? | 37.5 14 |
36.4 15 |
2.3 0 |
13.3 4 |
6.7 0 |
2.0 0 |
1.1 |
| NC Report/La Razón[p 30] | 17–24 Mar 2023 | ? | ? | 39.3 15 |
37.6 14 |
– | 11.0 4 |
– | – | 1.7 |
| KeyData/Público[p 31] | 15 Mar 2023 | ? | 71.3 | 39.5 16 |
36.7 15 |
2.9 0 |
10.5 2 |
6.5 0 |
– | 2.8 |
| Data10/OKDiario[p 32] | 14–16 Feb 2023 | 1,500 | ? | 40.8 16 |
38.3 16 |
2.7 0 |
9.1 1 |
6.5 0 |
– | 2.5 |
| Idus3/PSOE[p 33] | 9–27 Jan 2023 | 4,723 | ? | 44.2 17/19 |
32.5 11/13 |
2.6 0 |
10.6 1/3 |
5.6 0 |
– | 11.7 |
| PP[p 34] | 21 Jan 2023 | ? | ? | ? 16 |
? 14 |
– | ? 3 |
– | – | ? |
| GAD3/PP[p 35] | 16 Jan 2023 | ? | ? | ? 18 |
? 14 |
– | ? 1 |
– | – | ? |
| CIS[lower-alpha 2][p 36][p 37] | 17 Nov–2 Dec 2022 | 449 | ? | 44.4 15/22 |
22.5 6/13 |
2.0 0 |
13.4 1/6 |
9.6 0/4 |
– | 21.9 |
| Idus3/PSOE[p 38] | 3–25 Nov 2022 | 4,350 | ? | 46.0 18/19 |
30.8 12/13 |
3.7 0 |
11.9 1/3 |
5.9 0 |
– | 15.2 |
| Sigma Dos/El Mundo[p 39][p 40] | 18–24 Nov 2022 | 1,100 | ? | 39.9 16/17 |
34.2 14/15 |
3.5 0 |
10.4 3/4 |
6.4 0 |
– | 5.7 |
| PP[p 41] | 5 Oct 2022 | ? | 66.9 | 39.2 15/16 |
38.9 15/16 |
1.5 0 |
10.8 2 |
4.7 0 |
– | 0.3 |
| Idus3/PSOE[p 42] | 16–20 May 2022 | 800 | ? | 44.9 18/19 |
31.9 11/12 |
3.2 0 |
9.5 3/4 |
5.0 0 |
– | 13.0 |
| NC Report/PP[p 43][p 44] | 2–18 May 2022 | 2,400 | 66.3 | 39.5 16 |
37.0 14 |
3.2 0 |
11.1 3 |
6.2 0 |
– | 2.5 |
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 45] | 28 Feb–13 Apr 2022 | 324 | ? | 38.6 15 |
35.3 14 |
2.9 0 |
13.1 4 |
6.8 0 |
1.7 0 |
3.3 |
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 46] | 1 Dec–14 Jan 2022 | 191 | ? | 39.7 15 |
35.7 14 |
2.8 0 |
12.5 4 |
6.6 0 |
1.2 0 |
4.0 |
| Idus3/PSOE[p 47] | 3–17 Dec 2021 | 4,723 | ? | 45.5 18/19 |
30.9 11/13 |
3.6 0 |
12.5 2/4 |
5.5 0 |
– | 14.6 |
| GAD3/PSOE[p 48][p 49] | 20 Nov–3 Dec 2021 | 1,202 | ? | 42.9 17/19 |
30.7 11/12 |
4.3 0 |
13.0 3/4 |
6.9 0 |
– | 12.2 |
| Idus3/PSOE[p 50] | 4–15 Oct 2021 | 2,500 | ? | 42.5 18/20 |
30.2 12/13 |
5.1 0 |
13.2 1/2 |
5.9 0 |
– | 12.3 |
| NC Report/La Tribuna[p 51] | 14 Oct 2021 | 1,450 | 64.6 | 38.9 15 |
38.1 15 |
3.4 0 |
11.9 3 |
5.3 0 |
– | 0.8 |
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 52] | 13 Jul–21 Aug 2021 | 223 | ? | 39.8 16 |
36.7 15 |
– | 11.0 2 |
6.2 0 |
– | 3.1 |
| Idus3/PSOE[p 53] | 24–28 May 2021 | 1,200 | ? | ? 17/18 |
? 12/13 |
? 0 |
? 2/4 |
? 0 |
– | ? |
| NC Report/La Razón[p 54][p 55] | 19–25 May 2021 | 1,450 | ? | 38.6 15 |
38.3 15 |
3.4 0 |
12.0 3 |
5.1 0 |
– | 0.3 |
| PSOE[p 56] | 19 Dec 2020 | ? | ? | 42.0 18 |
33.0 12/13 |
7.1 0/1 |
10.0 3/4 |
5.0 0 |
– | 9.0 |
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 57] | 15 Jul 2020 | 850 | ? | 38.6 16 |
33.5 14 |
7.7 0 |
10.2 2 |
8.1 1 |
– | 5.1 |
| PSOE[p 58][p 59] | 29 Jun–10 Jul 2020 | 2,500 | ? | 42.3 18 |
31.5 11/12 |
7.6 1/2 |
? 1/2 |
6.4 0 |
– | 10.8 |
| SyM Consulting[p 60][p 61] | 20–22 May 2020 | 3,209 | 68.3 | 37.5 13/16 |
29.6 9/13 |
5.9 0 |
16.5 6 |
8.4 1/3 |
– | 7.9 |
| NC Report/La Razón[p 62] | 17–21 May 2020 | 1,858 | ? | 40.3 16 |
33.7 14 |
6.5 0 |
11.2 3 |
6.4 0 |
– | 6.6 |
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 63][p 64] | 1 Apr–15 May 2020 | ? | ? | 40.4 18 |
36.2 14 |
5.8 0 |
7.9 1 |
8.0 0 |
– | 4.2 |
| Numeral 8/La Tribuna[p 65] | 20–24 Jan 2020 | 1,050 | ? | 43.4 18 |
29.9 11 |
9.1 3 |
8.6 1 |
7.6 0 |
– | 13.5 |
| PSOE[p 66][p 67] | 3 Dec 2019 | ? | ? | ? 18/20 |
? 8/9 |
? 2/3 |
? 3/4 |
? 0 |
– | ? |
| November 2019 general election | 10 Nov 2019 | — | 70.6 | 33.1 (13) |
26.9 (10) |
6.8 (0) |
21.9 (9) |
9.2 (1) |
– | 6.2 |
| 2019 regional election | 26 May 2019 | — | 69.4 | 44.1 19 |
28.5 10 |
11.4 4 |
7.0 0 |
6.9 0 |
– | 15.6 |
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Voting preferences
The table below lists raw, unweighted voting preferences.
More information Polling firm/Commissioner, Fieldwork date ...
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | |
|
|
|
|
 ? |
 N |
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 regional election | 28 May 2023 | — | 31.5 | 23.5 | 0.7 | 9.0 | 2.9 | — | 28.9 | 8.0 |
| CIS[p 16] | 10–26 Apr 2023 | 971 | 38.4 | 18.2 | 1.2 | 8.9 | 4.8 | 21.7 | 2.9 | 20.2 |
| Idus3/PSOE[p 27] | 3–5 Apr 2023 | 500 | 30.5 | 16.1 | 0.7 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 32.2 | 6.9 | 14.4 |
| Idus3/PSOE[p 33] | 9–27 Jan 2023 | 4,723 | 30.0 | 17.0 | 0.6 | 7.4 | 2.7 | 32.2 | 6.9 | 13.0 |
| CIS[p 36] | 17 Nov–2 Dec 2022 | 449 | 29.9 | 13.9 | 0.7 | 9.1 | 6.3 | 28.9 | 5.4 | 16.0 |
| Idus3/PSOE[p 68] | 3–25 Nov 2022 | 4,350 | 28.8 | 15.4 | 0.8 | 6.4 | 2.8 | 35.2 | 7.5 | 13.4 |
| Idus3/PSOE[p 69] | 16–20 May 2022 | 800 | 32.0 | 17.9 | 0.9 | 7.9 | 2.8 | 28.2 | 7.3 | 14.1 |
| Idus3/PSOE[p 47] | 3–17 Dec 2021 | 4,723 | 31.5 | 18.3 | 1.1 | 9.4 | 3.5 | 24.1 | 9.1 | 13.2 |
| November 2019 general election | 10 Nov 2019 | — | 23.3 | 18.9 | 4.8 | 15.4 | 6.5 | — | 28.6 | 4.4 |
| 2019 regional election | 26 May 2019 | — | 30.9 | 20.0 | 8.0 | 4.9 | 4.8 | — | 29.2 | 10.9 |
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Victory likelihood
The table below lists opinion polling on the perceived likelihood of victory for each party in the event of a regional election taking place.
More information Polling firm/Commissioner, Fieldwork date ...
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | |
|
|
|
|
Other/ None |
? |
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GAD3/PSOE[p 48] | 20 Nov–3 Dec 2021 | 1,202 | 56.5 | 17.9 | 0.5 | 3.7 | 0.7 | 28.1 | 38.6 | |
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Preferred President
The table below lists opinion polling on leader preferences to become president of the Junta of Communities of Castilla–La Mancha.
More information Polling firm/Commissioner, Fieldwork date ...
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | |
|
|
 |
|
Other/ None/ Not care |
? |
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Page PSOE |
Núñez PP |
Picazo CS |
Cañizares Vox |
Gascón UP | ||||||
| IMOP/El Confidencial[p 13] | 4–6 May 2023 | 1,295 | 42.0 | 13.0 | – | – | – | – | – | 29.0 |
| Idus3/PSOE[p 70] | 9–27 Jan 2023 | 4,723 | 46.2 | 13.9 | – | – | – | 26.8 | 13.1 | 32.3 |
| Idus3/PSOE[p 71] | 16–20 May 2022 | 800 | 47.5 | 12.4 | – | – | – | 22.9 | 17.2 | 35.1 |
| Idus3/PSOE[p 47][p 72] | 3–17 Dec 2021 | 4,723 | 58.0 | 18.0 | – | – | – | 24.0 | 40.0 | |
| GAD3/PSOE[p 48] | 20 Nov–3 Dec 2021 | 1,202 | 38.0 | 11.2 | 1.8 | 5.4 | 2.4 | 41.2 | 26.8 | |
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Overall
More information Parties and alliances, Popular vote ...
| Parties and alliances | Popular vote | Seats | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | % | ±pp | Total | +/− | ||
| Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE) | 490,288 | 45.04 | +0.94 | 17 | –2 | |
| People's Party (PP) | 366,312 | 33.65 | +5.12 | 12 | +2 | |
| Vox (Vox) | 139,607 | 12.83 | +5.81 | 4 | +4 | |
| United We Can Castilla–La Mancha (Unidas Podemos CLM) | 45,317 | 4.16 | –2.76 | 0 | ±0 | |
| Citizens–Party of the Citizenry (CS) | 10,885 | 1.00 | –10.38 | 0 | –4 | |
| Animalist Party with the Environment (PACMA)1 | 10,727 | 0.99 | +0.19 | 0 | ±0 | |
| Empty Spain (España Vaciada) | 3,654 | 0.33 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
| +CUENCA Now–Empty Spain (+CU–EV) | 1,984 | 0.18 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
| Empty Spain (España Vaciada) | 1,670 | 0.15 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
| Country with Managers (País con Gestores) | 2,151 | 0.20 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
| Castilian Party–Commoners' Land–Zero Cuts (PCAS–TC–RC) | 1,345 | 0.12 | –0.01 | 0 | ±0 | |
| Communist Party of the Peoples of Spain (PCPE) | 989 | 0.09 | –0.03 | 0 | ±0 | |
| Here Now (Aquí Ahora) | 724 | 0.07 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
| Your Fatherland (TÚpatria) | 585 | 0.05 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
| Spanish Phalanx of the CNSO (FE–JONS) | 299 | 0.03 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
| Blank ballots | 15,570 | 1.43 | +0.62 | |||
| Total | 1,088,453 | 33 | ±0 | |||
| Valid votes | 1,088,453 | 98.28 | –0.67 | |||
| Invalid votes | 19,054 | 1.72 | +0.67 | |||
| Votes cast / turnout | 1,107,507 | 69.60 | +0.15 | |||
| Abstentions | 483,755 | 30.40 | –0.15 | |||
| Registered voters | 1,591,262 | |||||
| Sources[18] | ||||||
Footnotes:
| ||||||
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More information Popular vote ...
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Distribution by constituency
More information Constituency, PSOE ...
| Constituency | PSOE | PP | Vox | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| % | S | % | S | % | S | |
| Albacete | 42.6 | 3 | 35.5 | 3 | 12.4 | 1 |
| Ciudad Real | 46.6 | 4 | 34.5 | 2 | 12.0 | 1 |
| Cuenca | 47.4 | 3 | 33.6 | 2 | 10.5 | − |
| Guadalajara | 42.2 | 2 | 30.3 | 2 | 16.1 | 1 |
| Toledo | 45.6 | 5 | 33.2 | 3 | 13.3 | 1 |
| Total | 45.0 | 17 | 33.7 | 12 | 12.8 | 4 |
| Sources[18] | ||||||
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Further information: Third government of Emiliano García-Page
- Opinion poll sources
- "El PSOE ganaría las elecciones en Castilla-La Mancha, según el sondeo de GAD3 para CMM". CMM (in Spanish). 28 May 2023.
- "Las encuestas del PSOE disparan a Page en Castilla-La Mancha y pintan bien para Vara". The Objective (in Spanish). 22 May 2023.
- "Elecciones autonómicas: El PP arrebataría al PSOE la Comunidad Valenciana, Castilla-La Mancha y La Rioja". La Razón (in Spanish). 22 May 2023.
- "Page reeditaría su mayoría absoluta en Castilla-La Mancha pese al ascenso de PP y Vox". Público (in Spanish). 20 May 2023.
- "Page pelea por dos diputados con PP y Vox para evitar el vuelco en Castilla-La Mancha". Electomanía (in Spanish). 20 May 2023.
- "Este sondeo electoral evidencia por qué votar a Podemos en Castilla-La Mancha puede ayudar a gobernar a PP y Vox". El Plural (in Spanish). 20 May 2023.
- "EP Autonómico (20My – Final): nos espera un 28M de infarto". Electomanía (in Spanish). 20 May 2023.
- "PP y Vox suman mayoría absoluta para arrebatar Castilla-La Mancha a Page". OKDiario (in Spanish). 19 May 2023.
- "El fuerte ascenso de PP y Vox deja a Page caminando sobre el alambre". El Debate (in Spanish). 12 May 2023.
- "Page ganaría hoy pero el PP podría arrebatarle Castilla-La Mancha por el hundimiento de Podemos". El Español (in Spanish). 17 May 2023.
- "Unidas Podemos lastraría la gobernanza de Page en Castilla - La Mancha". El Plural (in Spanish). 13 May 2023.
- "ElectoPanel Autonómico (13M)". Electomanía (in Spanish). 13 May 2023.
- "García-Page absorbe voto de Ciudadanos y repetirá mayoría absoluta en Castilla-La Mancha". El Confidencial (in Spanish). 12 May 2023.
- "El escenario electoral en Castilla-La Mancha, más ajustado imposible en este sondeo". El Plural (in Spanish). 6 May 2023.
- "ElectoPanel Autonómico (6M)". Electomanía (in Spanish). 6 May 2023.
- "Preelectoral elecciones municipales y autonómicas 2023. Comunidad Autónoma de Castilla-La Mancha (Estudio nº 3402. Abril 2023)" (PDF). CIS (in Spanish). 11 May 2023.
- "Estimación de voto. Municipios, grandes ciudades y Comunidades Autónomas (Estudio nº 3402. Abril 2023)" (PDF). CIS (in Spanish). 11 May 2023.
- "Victoria incontestable de Page, que roza la mayoría absoluta en Castilla-La Mancha". El Plural (in Spanish). 29 April 2023.
- "ElectoPanel Autonómico (29A)". Electomanía (in Spanish). 29 April 2023.
- "Castilla-La Mancha / El PSOE gana el escaño que pierde Vox". El Plural (in Spanish). 23 April 2023.
- "ElectoPanel Autonómico (22A)". Electomanía (in Spanish). 22 April 2023.
- "Page pierde la mayoría absoluta y se abre la vía a un gobierno de PP y Vox en Castilla-La Mancha". El Mundo (in Spanish). 17 April 2023.
- "El PP de Paco Núñez destrona al PSOE de Page y roza la mayoría absoluta a mes y medio del 28M". OKDiario (in Spanish). 14 April 2023.
- "ElectoPanel Castilla-La Mancha / El PSOE ganaría las elecciones y Podemos se quedaría fuera del Parlamento". El Plural (in Spanish). 15 April 2023.
- "ElectoPanel Autonómico (15A) – varias CCAA en un puño". Electomanía (in Spanish). 15 April 2023.
- "Page podría perder el Gobierno de Castilla-La Mancha pese a superar al PP por 1,6 puntos". El Español (in Spanish). 14 April 2023.
- "Una nueva encuesta da mayoría absoluta al PSOE de Page en Castilla-La Mancha, que podría incluso mejorar resultados". PeriódicoCLM (in Spanish). 14 April 2023.
- "ElectoPanel Castilla-La Mancha / El PSOE gana las elecciones aunque la derecha podría gobernar". El Plural (in Spanish). 8 April 2023.
- "EP Autonómico 8A – comienza el juego". Electomanía (in Spanish). 8 April 2023.
- "PP y PSOE, a un escaño de diferencia en Castilla-La Mancha". La Razón (in Spanish). 27 March 2023.
- "El PSOE y las derechas libran una batalla voto a voto en Castilla-La Mancha, feudo socialista". Público (in Spanish). 19 March 2023.
- "El PP ya empata con el PSOE de Page en escaños y podría gobernar con apoyo de Vox". OKDiario (in Spanish). 18 February 2023.
- "Page repetiría mayoría absoluta, pese a la subida del PP e irrupción de Vox, y es el único que aprueba en Castilla-La Mancha". Periódico CLM (in Spanish). 30 March 2023.
- "Revuelta de barones del PP contra Feijóo por insistir en que gobierne la lista más votada". El Confidencial Digital (in Spanish). 21 January 2023.
- "Una encuesta del PP da la mayoría absoluta a García-Page en CLM". La Voz del Tajo (in Spanish). 18 January 2023.
- "Macroencuesta sobre tendencias en voto autonómico (Estudio nº 3386. Noviembre-diciembre 2022)" (PDF). CIS (in Spanish). 22 December 2022.
- "Estimación de escaños elecciones autonómicas (Estudio nº 3386. Macroencuesta sobre tendencias en voto autonómico)" (PDF). CIS (in Spanish). 22 December 2022.
- "García-Page obtendría una nueva y holgada mayoría absoluta en Castilla-La Mancha". El Digital Castilla-La Mancha (in Spanish). 18 December 2022.
- "Page al borde de perder Castilla-La Mancha tras comenzar la derogación de la sedición". El Mundo (in Spanish). 27 November 2022.
- "CASTILLA-LA MANCHA. Encuesta SigmaDos 28/11/2022: PODEMOS-IU 6,4%, PSOE 39,9% (16/17), Cs 3,5%, PP 34,2% (14/15), VOX 10,4% (2)". Electográfica (in Spanish). 28 November 2022.
- "El PSOE pierde Castilla-La Mancha: la encuesta que explica el giro fiscal de Page". Voz Pópuli (in Spanish). 5 October 2022.
- "García-Page revalidaría su mayoría absoluta en Castilla-La Mancha pese a la irrupción de Vox". El Digital de Castilla-La Mancha (in Spanish). 31 May 2022.
- "Una encuesta del PP otorga 14 diputados a Paco Núñez en C-LM y le abre la opción de formar Gobierno con 3 escaños de Vox". Europa Press (in Spanish). 2 June 2022.
- "CASTILLA-LA MANCHA. Encuesta NC Report 02/06/2022: PODEMOS-IU 6,2%, PSOE 39,5% (16), Cs 3,2%, PP 37,0% (14), VOX 11,1% (3)". Electograph (in Spanish). 2 June 2022.
- "ElectoPanel Castilla-La Mancha (15A): Page perdería el gobierno autonómico, Vox sube y el PP les necesitaría". Electomanía (in Spanish). 15 April 2022.
- "EP Castilla-La Mancha (15E): Page se mantiene en cabeza, pero la subida de Vox le arrebataría el Gobierno". Electomanía (in Spanish). 15 January 2022.
- "García-Page volvería a gobernar Castilla-La Mancha con mayoría absoluta pese al ascenso de Vox". El Digital Castilla-La Mancha (in Spanish). 16 January 2022.
- "Una encuesta de GAD3 concede una nueva mayoría absoluta a García-Page con el PP en ascenso". El Digital Castilla-La Mancha (in Spanish). 26 January 2022.
- "Estimación de elecciones en Castilla-La Mancha". GAD3 (in Spanish). 26 January 2022.
- "Page aguanta el desgaste de la pandemia y hoy revalidaría su mayoría absoluta en Castilla-La Mancha". infoCLM (in Spanish). 28 October 2021.
- "El PP gobernaría con Vox, y Cs se quedaría fuera de Cortes". La Tribuna de Ciudad Real (in Spanish). 14 October 2021.
- "Una encuesta augura que el PP gobernaría hoy en Castilla-La Mancha con el apoyo de VOX". El Digital de Castilla-La Mancha (in Spanish). 1 September 2021.
- "Page aguanta el desgaste de la pandemia y hoy revalidaría su mayoría absoluta en Castilla-La Mancha". El Digital Castilla-La Mancha (in Spanish). 30 May 2021.
- "Castilla-La Mancha: PP y Vox gobernarían ante el castigo al PSOE". La Razón (in Spanish). 30 May 2021.
- "CASTILLA-LA MANCHA. Encuesta NC Report 31/05/2021: PODEMOS-IU 5,1%, PSOE 38,6% (15), Cs 3,5%, PP 38,3% (15), VOX 12,0% (3)". Electográfica (in Spanish). 31 May 2021.
- "El PSOE también extrapola a la región la última encuesta, y esto es lo que sale". El Digital Castilla-La Mancha (in Spanish). 22 December 2020.
- "EP Autonómico (15Jul): En C-LM, Page baja y necesitaría a UP para seguir gobernando. Sube Vox". Electomanía (in Spanish). 15 July 2020.
- "El PSOE mantendría la mayoría absoluta en CLM". La Tribuna de Ciudad Real (in Spanish). 28 July 2020.
- "García-Page mantendría la mayoría absoluta según una encuesta interna del PSOE". Voces de Cuenca (in Spanish). 28 July 2020.
- "Estimación Mayo 2020. Castilla-La Mancha. Autonómicas 2023". SyM Consulting (in Spanish). 30 May 2020.
- "CASTILLA-LA MANCHA. Encuesta SyM Consulting 30/05/2020: UNIDAS PODEMOS 8,4% (1/3), PSOE 37,5% (13/16), Cs 5,9%, PP 29,6% (9/13), VOX 16,5% (6)". Electograph (in Spanish). 30 May 2020.
- "El aviso de Page se cumple: el pacto con Bildu resta al PSOE". La Razón (in Spanish). 31 May 2020.
- "EP (17My): Castilla-La Mancha – Page retiene la absoluta. Ciudadanos, fuera del Parlamento". Electomanía (in Spanish). 17 May 2020.
- "MacroPanel Autonómico (17My): 8 gobiernos para PSOE+, 8 para PP+ y 3 para otros+". Electomanía (in Spanish). 17 May 2020.
- "Page resiste en la región y mantiene la mayoría absoluta". La Tribuna de Toledo (in Spanish). 3 February 2020.
- "Encuesta del PSOE CLM: Page sube y la bajada de PP y Cs metería a Vox en las Cortes". El Digital Castilla-La Mancha (in Spanish). 3 December 2019.
- "Page repetiría y la extrema derecha entraría por primera vez en las Cortes si las elecciones se celebraran hoy". Periódico CLM (in Spanish). 3 December 2019.
- "La encuesta que pronostica una nueva mayoría absoluta de Page en Castilla-La Mancha". El Digital de Albacete (in Spanish). 19 December 2022.
- "Una encuesta del PSOE le otorga una nueva mayoría absoluta en Castilla-La Mancha". elDiario.es (in Spanish). 31 May 2022.
- "El PSOE da la réplica con otra encuesta al estudio electoral que otorga la Junta a Paco Núñez". El Digital Castilla-La Mancha (in Spanish). 20 March 2023.
- "Una encuesta encargada por el PSOE dice que Page es el preferido como presidente por el 47,49%". ABC (in Spanish). 31 May 2022.
- "Una encuesta interna del PSOE da la mayoría absoluta a García Page en Castilla-La Mancha". El Periódico de España (in Spanish). 3 January 2022.
- Other
- Ley Orgánica 9/1982, de 10 de agosto, de Estatuto de Autonomía de Castilla-La Mancha (Organic Law 9) (in Spanish). 10 August 1982. Retrieved 15 September 2017.
- Reig Pellicer, Naiara (16 December 2015). "Spanish elections: Begging for the right to vote". cafebabel.co.uk. Retrieved 17 July 2017.
- Araque Conde, Pilar (8 June 2022). "El Congreso acaba con el voto rogado: diez años de trabas burocráticas para los residentes en el extranjero". Público (in Spanish). Madrid. Retrieved 31 July 2022.
- Ley 5/1986, de 23 de diciembre, electoral de Castilla-La Mancha (Law 5) (in Spanish). 23 December 1986. Retrieved 15 September 2017.
- "Decreto 32/2023, de 3 de abril, del Presidente de la Junta de Comunidades, por el que se convocan elecciones a Cortes de Castilla-La Mancha". Diario Oficial de Castilla-La Mancha (in Spanish) (66): 11957–11972. 4 April 2023. ISSN 1575-0051.
- Gallagher, Michael (30 July 2012). "Effective threshold in electoral systems". Trinity College, Dublin. Archived from the original on 30 July 2017. Retrieved 22 July 2017.
- Ley Orgánica 5/1985, de 19 de junio, del Régimen Electoral General (Organic Law 5) (in Spanish). 19 June 1985. Retrieved 8 April 2023.
- "Elecciones a las Cortes de Castilla - La Mancha (1983 - 2019)". Historia Electoral.com (in Spanish). Retrieved 15 August 2019.
- "Composition. 10th Legislature". www.cortesclm.es (in Spanish). Cortes de Castilla-La Mancha. Retrieved 23 July 2020.
- "Emiliano García-Page, reelegido secretario general del PSCM-PSOE con el 99,7 por ciento de los votos". La Voz de Talavera (in Spanish). 31 October 2021. Retrieved 12 November 2021.
- Ruiz, Javier (12 November 2021). "El PP de Castilla-La Mancha encara la carrera para desbancar a Page". El Confidencial (in Spanish). Toledo. Retrieved 12 November 2021.
- Morlanes, Alberto (7 February 2023). "Doblete de Carmen Picazo por CS: el 28-M optará a la Junta y también a la Alcaldía de Albacete". El Español (in Spanish). Retrieved 18 April 2023.
- "David Moreno, portavoz de Vox en Talavera, será el candidato a la Junta en Castilla-La Mancha". elDiario.es (in Spanish). 26 December 2022. Retrieved 5 January 2023.
- "José Luis García Gascón, elegido nuevo coordinador de Podemos Castilla-La Mancha". Cadena SER (in Spanish). 20 June 2020. Retrieved 30 March 2023.
- "García Gascón, elegido candidato de la confluencia de izquierdas en Castilla-La Mancha". El Digital Castilla-La Mancha (in Spanish). 23 February 2023. Retrieved 30 March 2023.
- Avilés, Alicia; Bravo, Francisca (23 May 2023). "Debate electoral en Castilla-La Mancha: todos contra un Page que defiende la "moderación" y haber "cumplido"". elDiario.es (in Spanish). Retrieved 23 May 2023.
- "#ElDebateCMM, moderado por Sonia Trigueros y @OscarGPrieto, emitido anoche en #CMM logró un share del 10,4% con una media de 67.000 espectadores". CMM Noticias (in Spanish). 23 May 2023. Retrieved 23 May 2023.
- "Acuerdo de 14/06/2023, de la Junta Electoral de Castilla-La Mancha, por el que se ordena la publicación en el Diario Oficial de Castilla-La Mancha de los resultados generales y por circunscripciones de las elecciones a las Cortes Regionales 2023". Diario Oficial de Castilla-La Mancha (in Spanish) (114). Junta de Comunidades de Castilla-La Mancha: 21577–21583. 16 June 2023. ISSN 1575-0051.
- Avilés Pozo, Alicia (6 July 2023). "El último barón socialista con mayoría absoluta: Page, investido presidente". elDiario.es (in Spanish). Retrieved 9 July 2023.