2024_Moldovan_presidential_election
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Moldova on 20 October 2024.[1][2]
Quick Facts
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In addition, a referendum on whether Moldova should join the EU is to be held on the same day as the presidential election.[3]
Eligibility requirements
The Constitution of Moldova (Article 78, Clause 2) defines four conditions that a presidential candidate must satisfy: Moldovan citizenship, at least 40 years of age, residence in Moldova for at least 10 years, and ability to speak the state language. Article 80 of the Constitution establishes a term limit: one individual cannot serve more than 2 terms in a row.[4]
Procedure
Candidates can be nominated by a political party, an electoral alliance, or run as independents. They have to collect at least 15,000 voter signatures in their support from at least half of Moldova's level 2 administrative territorial units with at least 600 signatures in each of them.[5] The election results can be considered valid only if the turnout is above or equal to 33%. The candidate who receives an absolute majority of the votes is elected president. If no candidate receives a majority of the votes, a second round between the top 2 candidates is held two weeks after the first round. The candidate with the largest number of votes in the second round then becomes president.[6]
Declared
More information Name, Born ...
| Name | Born | Experience | Party | Ref | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Maia Sandu |
24 May 1972 (age 51) Risipeni, Fălești District (Moldavian SSR) |
President of Moldova (2020–present) Prime Minister of Moldova (2019) Minister of Education (2012–2015) |
Independent supported by PAS |
[7] | |
Renato Usatîi |
4 November 1978 (45) Fălești, Fălești District (Moldavian SSR) |
Mayor of Bălți (2015–2018, 2019–2021) | Our Party | [8] | |
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Potential
As of March 2024, the following people have been subjects of speculation about their potential candidacy within the previous six months:
- Igor Dodon, fifth President of Moldova (2016–2020)[9]
- Irina Vlah, Governor of Autonomous Territorial Unit of Gagauzia (2015–2023)[10]
- Natalia Morari, journalist, founder of TV8[11]
- Serghei Mișin, former leader of the Revival Party[12]
Declined
As of March 2022, the following people have been subjects of speculation about their potential candidacy within the previous six months, but they rejected and announced they won't candidate:
- Ion Ceban, 34th Mayor of Chișinău (2019–present)[13]
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Hypothetical candidates
More information Fieldwork date, Polling firm/ Commissioner ...
| Fieldwork date |
Polling firm/ Commissioner |
Sample size | Other | None/ Undecided/ Abstention | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maia Sandu | Igor Dodon | Ion Ceban | Ilan Shor | Vladimir Voronin | Ion Chicu | Marina Tauber | Renato Usatîi | Irina Vlah | |||||
| Independent | PSRM | MAN | ȘOR | PCRM | PDCM | ȘOR | PN | Independent | |||||
| 6–13 Apr 2024 | CBS-AXA–WatchDog[14] | 1,008 | 35.1% | 15.8% | 5.4% | 1.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | – | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 18.0% |
| 18–24 Mar 2024 | iData[15] | 1,131 | 27.9% | 13.3% | 4.4% | – | 2.6% | 5.7% | – | 3.0% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 32.3% |
| 27 Jan–22 Feb 2024 | IRI[16] | 1,247 | 30% | 24% | 6% | 4% | – | 5% | – | 4% | 4% | 1% | 22% |
| 7–12 Feb 2024 | CBS Research[17] | 1,104 | 29.8% | 14.8% | 4.5% | 8.5% | 1.6% | 5.0% | – | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 22.4% |
| 26–30 Jan 2024 | iData[18] | 1,011 | 24.1% | 29.7% | 46.2% | ||||||||
| 29 Nov–16 Dec 2023 | IMAS[19] | 954 | 30.1% | 24.0% | 8.1% | – | 2.7% | 6.1% | – | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 13.3% |
| 2–24 Sep 2023 | IMAS[20] | 822 | 27.8% | 16.0% | 6.0% | – | 4.3% | 5.9% | – | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 24.4% |
| 9–23 Aug 2023 | CBS-AXA–IPP[21] | 1,215 | 29.4% | 18.1% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 4.1% | – | 5.1% | – | 3.0% | 30.1% |
| 13–28 Jun 2023 | CBS-AXA–IPRE[22] | 1,120 | 32.6% | 17.8% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.3% | – | 1.5% | 24.0% |
| 10–19 Jun 2023 | CBS-AXA–WatchDog[23] | 1,121 | 37.9% | 14.2% | 6.2% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | – | 3.0% | 18.3% |
| 2–19 May 2023 | IMAS[24] | 1,112 | 28.5% | 23.9% | 8.3% | – | 3.7% | 7.2% | 2.7% | 3.8% | – | 4.1% | 18.0% |
| 27 Apr–8 May 2023 | iData[25] | 1,049 | 30.4% | 18.3% | 6.7% | 12.2% | – | 5.9% | – | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 17.7% |
| 4–13 Apr 2023 | CBS-AXA–WatchDog[26] | 1,015 | 38.3% | 18.4% | 6.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 3.2% | – | 1.9% | 19.2% |
| 15–26 Mar 2023 | iData[27] | 1,065 | 29.4% | 17.6% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 0.9% | 5.4% | – | 1.7% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 23.9% |
| 24 Feb–3 Mar 2023 | CBS-AXA–WatchDog[28] | 1,000 | 31.8% | 17.8% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 28.8% |
| 6–23 Feb 2023 | IMAS[29] | 1,100 | 25.2% | 20.4% | 8.2% | – | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.4% | – | 3.8% | 24.6% |
| 17–26 Jan 2023 | CBS-AXA–WatchDog[30] | 1,001 | 28.2% | 17.6% | 8.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 4.0% | 21.8% |
| 15–26 Dec 2022 | iData[31] | 1,006 | 27.2% | 24.1% | 10.0% | 13.4% | 0.6% | 5.0% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 3.0% | 16.0% |
| 10–29 Nov 2022 | IMAS[32] | 1,100 | 26.9% | 19.6% | 8.8% | – | 4.0% | 7.1% | 2.8% | 2.2% | – | 7.3% | 21.3% |
| 29 Oct–10 Nov 2022 | CBS Research/IPP[33] | 1,134 | 27.3% | 15.4% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 4.3% | – | – | 2.9% | – | 3.5% | 30.5% |
| 29 Sep–11 Oct 2022 | IDIS–CBS Research–IPRI[34] | 1,066 | 34.1% | 19.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 2.5% | – | 3.3% | 1.2% | 3.2% | 18.1% |
| 6–18 Jul 2022 | IMAS[35] | 1,007 | 24.4% | 25.4% | 9.2% | – | 7.1% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.8% | – | c. 5.4% | 16.0% |
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Second round
- Sandu vs. Dodon
More information Fieldwork date, Polling firm/ Commissioner ...
| Fieldwork date |
Polling firm/ Commissioner |
Sample size | None/ Undecided/ Abstention | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maia Sandu | Igor Dodon | ||||
| Independent | PSRM | ||||
| 6–13 Apr 2024 | CBS-AXA–WatchDog | 1,008 | 42.2% | 34.9% | 22.9% |
| 7–12 Feb 2024 | CBS Research[17] | 1,104 | 40.2% | 39.3% | 20.4% |
| 29 Nov–16 Dec 2023 | IMAS[19] | 954 | 35% | 46% | 19% |
| 2–19 May 2023 | IMAS[36] | 1,112 | 38% | 45% | 17% |
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- Sandu vs. Ceban
More information Fieldwork date, Polling firm/ Commissioner ...
| Fieldwork date |
Polling firm/ Commissioner |
Sample size | None/ Undecided/ Abstention | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maia Sandu | Ion Ceban | ||||
| Independent | MAN | ||||
| 6–13 Apr 2024 | CBS-AXA–WatchDog | 1,008 | 40.2% | 32.3% | 27.4% |
| 7–12 Feb 2024 | CBS Research[17] | 1,104 | 39.5% | 35% | 25.8% |
| 29 Nov–16 Dec 2023 | IMAS[19] | 954 | 34% | 42% | 24% |
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- Sandu vs. Usatîi
More information Fieldwork date, Polling firm/ Commissioner ...
| Fieldwork date |
Polling firm/ Commissioner |
Sample size | None/ Undecided/ Abstention | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maia Sandu | Renato Usatîi | ||||
| Independent | PN | ||||
| 29 Nov–16 Dec 2023 | IMAS[19] | 954 | 37% | 30% | 33% |
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- Sandu vs. Vlah
More information Fieldwork date, Polling firm/ Commissioner ...
| Fieldwork date |
Polling firm/ Commissioner |
Sample size | None/ Undecided/ Abstention | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maia Sandu | Irina Vlah | ||||
| Independent | Independent | ||||
| 6–13 Apr 2024 | CBS-AXA–WatchDog | 1,008 | 43.2% | 28.3% | 28.5% |
| 7–12 Feb 2024 | CBS Research[17] | 1,104 | 42.2% | 33% | 24.7% |
| 29 Nov–16 Dec 2023 | IMAS[19] | 954 | 38% | 35% | 27% |
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