Mark_Meuser
2022 United States Senate elections in California
Class III senate seat election
See also: 2022 United States Senate elections
Two 2022 United States Senate elections in California were held concurrently on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of California. There were two ballot items for the same Class 3 seat: a special election to fill the seat for the final weeks of the 117th United States Congress (ending on January 3, 2023), and a general election for a full term (beginning on the same day), starting in the 118th United States Congress.
Quick Facts Candidate, Party ...
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Special election county results
Regular election county results
Regular election results by congressional districtPadilla: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Meuser: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% | ||||||||||||||||
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Incumbent Democratic Senator Alex Padilla was appointed in 2021 by Governor Gavin Newsom to fill the vacancy created by Kamala Harris's election to the vice presidency in 2020, and he sought a full term.[1][2] A jungle primary for each of the terms took place on June 7.[3] The top two candidates in each primary, regardless of party, advanced to the special and regular general elections in November. With his advancement out of the primary, Mark P. Meuser (/ˈmɔɪʒər/ MOY-zhər) became the first Republican since 2012 to advance to the general election, as both the 2016 and 2018 Senate elections solely featured Democrats as the top two candidates. This race was a rematch between the two, as both had previously run for the secretary of state in 2018. Padilla easily won both elections.[4] Padilla became the first Latino elected to the U.S. Senate from California, and the first male elected to the Senate from California since Pete Wilson was re-elected in 1988 and the first male elected to the Class 3 Senate seat from California since Alan Cranston was re-elected in 1986.[5] This was the first time since 1988 where both major party nominees for a Senate seat in California were men and was also the first time where both major party nominees for the Class 3 Senate seat in California were men since 1986.
This was the best performance for a Republican candidate in a California Senate election since 2010.
Democratic Party
Advanced to general
- Alex Padilla, incumbent U.S. Senator (2021–present) and former secretary of state of California (2015–2021)[6]
Eliminated in primary
Declined
- Ro Khanna, U.S. Representative for California's 17th congressional district (2017–present) (endorsed Padilla)[9][10]
Republican Party
Advanced to general
Eliminated in primary
- James P. Bradley, businessman, candidate for U.S. Senate in 2018, and candidate for California's 33rd congressional district in 2020[7]
- Jon Elist, small business owner[7]
- Myron L. Hall, physician[7]
- Sarah Sun Liew, entrepreneur[7]
- Robert George Lucero Jr., consultant[7]
- Enrique Petris, businessman[7]
- Chuck Smith, retired law enforcement officer[7]
- Carlos Guillermo Tapia, businessman[7]
- Cordie Williams, marine veteran and doctor[7]
- Lijun Zhou, businesswoman (write-in, general election only)[11]
Withdrawn
- Elizabeth Heng, candidate for California's 16th congressional district in 2018 and former U.S. House staffer (ran in the CA-22 special election)[12][13][14]
- Yvonne R. Girard, retired government employee (died)[15]
Green Party
Eliminated in primary
- James "Henk" Conn, educator and candidate for mayor of Long Beach in 2018[7]
- Pamela Elizondo, entrepreneur[7]
Peace and Freedom Party
Eliminated in primary
- John Parker, candidate for U.S. Senate in 2018 and Workers World nominee for President of the United States in 2004 (running as write-in for special election)[16]
No party preference
Eliminated in primary
- Daphne Bradford, entrepreneur and candidate for president in 2020[7]
- Eleanor Garcia, industrial worker (Socialist Workers Party)[7]
- Don J. Grundmann, chiropractor (Constitution Party)[7]
- Deon D. Jenkins[7]
- Irene Ratliff (write-in, both general and special elections)[11]
- Marc Alexander Roth (write-in, general election only)[11]
- Mark A. Ruzon (write-in, general election only), software engineer (American Solidarity Party)[11]
James P. Bradley (R)
- Individuals
- Andrew Wakefield, former physician and anti-vaccine activist[17]
Mark Meuser (R)
- Newspapers
- Organizations
- California Republican Party[19]
- California Pro–Life Council[20]
- Rebuild California[21]
Alex Padilla (D)
- U.S. Senators
- Chuck Schumer, U.S. Senator from New York and Senate Majority Leader[22]
- Dianne Feinstein, U.S. Senator from California[23]
- Elizabeth Warren, U.S. Senator from Massachusetts[23]
- Statewide officials
- Gavin Newsom, Governor of California[23]
- Eleni Kounalakis, Lieutenant Governor of California[23]
- Shirley Weber, Secretary of State of California[24]
- Rob Bonta, Attorney General of California[24]
- Betty Yee, State Controller of California[23]
- Fiona Ma, California State Treasurer[23]
- Ricardo Lara, California Insurance Commissioner[23]
- Tony Thurmond, California State Superintendent of Public Instruction[23]
- U.S. Representatives
- Nancy Pelosi, U.S. Representative for CA-12 and Speaker of the House[22]
- Pete Aguilar, U.S. Representative for CA-31[22]
- Nanette Barragán, U.S. Representative for CA-44[22]
- Karen Bass, U.S. Representative for CA-37[22]
- Ami Bera, U.S. Representative for CA-07[22]
- Julia Brownley, U.S. Representative for CA-26[22]
- Salud Carbajal, U.S. Representative for CA-24[22]
- Tony Cárdenas, U.S. Representative for CA-27[22]
- Judy Chu, U.S. Representative for CA-29[22]
- Jim Costa, U.S. Representative for CA-16[22]
- Lou Correa, U.S. Representative for CA-46[22]
- Mark DeSaulnier, U.S. Representative for CA-11[22]
- Anna Eshoo, U.S. Representative for CA-18[22]
- John Garamendi, U.S. Representative for CA-03[22]
- Jimmy Gomez, U.S. Representative for CA-34[22]
- Josh Harder, U.S. Representative for CA-10[22]
- Jared Huffman, U.S. Representative for CA-02[22]
- Sara Jacobs, U.S. Representative for CA-53[22]
- Ro Khanna, U.S. Representative for CA-17[10]
- Barbara Lee, U.S. Representative for CA-13[22]
- Mike Levin, U.S. Representative for CA-49[22]
- Ted Lieu, U.S. Representative for CA-33[22]
- Zoe Lofgren, U.S. Representative for CA-19[22]
- Alan Lowenthal, U.S. Representative for CA-47[22]
- Doris Matsui, U.S. Representative for CA-06[22]
- Jerry McNerney, U.S. Representative for CA-09[22]
- Grace Napolitano, U.S. Representative for CA-32[22]
- Jimmy Panetta, U.S. Representative for CA-20[22]
- Scott Peters, U.S. Representative for CA-52[22]
- Katie Porter, U.S. Representative for CA-45[22]
- Raul Ruiz, U.S. Representative for CA-36[22]
- Adam Schiff, U.S. Representative for CA-28[22]
- Jackie Speier, U.S. Representative for CA-14[22]
- Eric Swalwell, U.S. Representative for CA-15[22]
- Lucille Roybal-Allard, U.S. Representative for CA-40[22]
- Linda Sánchez, U.S. Representative for CA-38[22]
- Brad Sherman, U.S. Representative for CA-30[22]
- Mark Takano, U.S. Representative for CA-41[22]
- Mike Thompson, U.S. Representative for CA-05[22]
- Norma Torres, U.S. Representative for CA-35[22]
- Juan Vargas, U.S. Representative for CA-51[22]
- Maxine Waters, U.S. Representative for CA-43[24]
- Organizations
- California Teachers Association[25]
- Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee[26]
- Equality California[27]
- NARAL Pro-Choice California[28]
- National Education Association[29]
- Newspapers
- La Opinión[30]
- The San Diego Union-Tribune[31]
- Los Angeles Times[32]
- The Fresno Bee[33]
- The Orange County Register[34]
- Marin Independent Journal[35]
- The San Luis Obispo Tribune[36]
- Stonewall Democrats clubs
John Parker (P&F)
- Organizations
Campaign
Incumbent senator Alex Padilla was appointed to the job in January 2021 following Kamala Harris's election to the office of Vice President of the United States.[43] Following his appointment, Padilla quickly began to focus on his 2022 election campaign, as the fact that he has not been elected to the position means that he has a relatively low profile.[9] Padilla's election strategy focused on advocating for progressive policies and building ties with left-wing organizations that had a poor relationship with California's other Senator, Dianne Feinstein.[9][44] The potential Democratic opponent to Padilla considered most likely to join the race was U.S. Representative Ro Khanna, a staunchly left-wing Democrat who rose to prominence as the co-chair of the Bernie Sanders 2020 presidential campaign, and who had a loyal base of support from California's Asian-American and Pacific Islander communities.[9][10] On August 9, 2021, Khanna announced that he would be endorsing Padilla for election, which was viewed as likely ending any possibility that Padilla would face a serious Democratic opponent.[45] It was noted by the San Francisco Chronicle that it was considered unlikely that Padilla would face any serious Republican opponent, as California's heavily Democratic lean caused potentially strong candidates, such as U.S. Representatives Mike Garcia and Young Kim, to prefer to remain in their positions rather than launch a long-shot Senate run.[46]
In April 2022, billionaire businessman Dan O'Dowd entered the race, launching a $650,000 ad campaign.[8] O'Dowd's goal with this ad buy, and with entering the race in the first place, was to "make computers safe for humanity"[47][48] and draw the attention of the public and politicians to the dangers of Tesla's unfinished Full Self-Driving software being rolled out to 100,000 cars on public roads.[49]
Special election blanket primary
Polling
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 2] |
Margin of error |
Daphne Bradford (NPP) |
James Bradley (R) |
Jon Elist (R) |
Myron Hall (R) |
Mark Meuser (R) |
Dan O'Dowd (D) |
Alex Padilla (D) |
Timothy Ursich Jr. (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Berkeley IGS | May 24–31, 2022 | 3,438 (LV) | ± 2.2% | 1% | 7% | 5% | 2% | 14% | 3% | 44% | 2% | 21% |
| SurveyUSA | May 13–15, 2022 | 709 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 1% | 8% | 7% | 3% | 11% | 6% | 40% | 2% | 22% |
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Results
Padilla
- 30–40%
- 40–50%
- 50–60%
- 60–70%
- 70–80%
Meuser
- 30–40%
- 40–50%
More information Party, Candidate ...
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Alex Padilla (incumbent) | 3,740,582 | 55.0 | |
| Republican | Mark P. Meuser | 1,503,480 | 22.1 | |
| Republican | James P. Bradley | 472,052 | 6.9 | |
| Republican | Jon Elist | 403,722 | 5.9 | |
| Democratic | Timothy J. Ursich | 226,447 | 3.3 | |
| Democratic | Dan O'Dowd | 191,531 | 2.8 | |
| Republican | Myron L. Hall | 143,038 | 2.1 | |
| No party preference | Daphne Bradford | 112,191 | 1.6 | |
| Peace and Freedom | John Parker (write-in) | 9,951 | 0.1 | |
| No party preference | Irene Ratliff (write-in) | 12 | 0.0 | |
| Total votes | 6,803,006 | 100.0 | ||
Close
Regular election blanket primary
Polling
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 2] |
Margin of error |
(D) Akinyemi Agbede |
(I) Daphne Bradford |
(R) James Bradley |
(G) James Conn |
(R) Jon Elist |
(G) Pamela Elizondo |
(I) Eleanor Garcia |
(I) Don Grundmann |
(R) Myron Hall |
(I) Deon Jenkins |
(R) Sarah Sun Liew |
(R) Robert Lucero Jr. |
(R) Mark Meuser |
(D) Dan O'Dowd |
(D) Alex Padilla |
(PF) John Parker |
(R) Enrique Petris |
(D) Douglas Pierce |
(D) Obaidul Huq Pirjada |
(R) Chuck Smith |
(R) Carlos Tapia |
(D) Timothy Ursich Jr. |
(R) Cordie Williams |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Berkeley IGS | May 24–31, 2022 | 3,438 (LV) | ± 2.2% | 1% | 0% | 3% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 11% | 1% | 42% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 22% |
| SurveyUSA | May 13–15, 2022 | 709 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 2% | 0% | 9% | 1% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 3% | 0% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 1% | 36% | 0% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 24% |
Close
Results
Padilla
- 20–30%
- 30–40%
- 40–50%
- 50–60%
- 60–70%
- 70–80%
Meuser
- 20–30%
More information Party, Candidate ...
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Alex Padilla (incumbent) | 3,725,544 | 54.1 | |
| Republican | Mark P. Meuser | 1,028,374 | 14.9 | |
| Republican | Cordie Williams | 474,321 | 6.9 | |
| Republican | Jon Elist | 289,716 | 4.2 | |
| Republican | Chuck Smith | 266,766 | 3.9 | |
| Republican | James P. Bradley | 235,788 | 3.4 | |
| Democratic | Douglas Howard Pierce | 116,771 | 1.7 | |
| Peace and Freedom | John Parker | 105,477 | 1.5 | |
| Republican | Sarah Sun Liew | 76,994 | 1.1 | |
| Democratic | Dan O'Dowd | 74,916 | 1.1 | |
| Democratic | Akinyemi Agbede | 70,971 | 1.0 | |
| Republican | Myron L. Hall | 66,161 | 1.0 | |
| Democratic | Timothy J. Ursich | 58,348 | 0.8 | |
| Republican | Robert George Lucero Jr. | 53,398 | 0.8 | |
| Green | James "Henk" Conn | 35,983 | 0.5 | |
| No party preference | Eleanor Garcia[lower-alpha 3] | 34,625 | 0.5 | |
| Republican | Carlos Guillermo Tapia | 33,870 | 0.5 | |
| Green | Pamela Elizondo | 31,981 | 0.5 | |
| Republican | Enrique Petris | 31,883 | 0.5 | |
| Democratic | Obaidul Huq Pirjada | 27,889 | 0.4 | |
| No party preference | Daphne Bradford | 26,900 | 0.4 | |
| No party preference | Don J. Grundmann[lower-alpha 4] | 10,181 | 0.1 | |
| No party preference | Deon D. Jenkins | 6,936 | 0.1 | |
| No party preference | Mark A. Ruzon (write-in) | 206 | 0.0 | |
| Republican | Lijun Zhou (write-in) | 58 | 0.0 | |
| No party preference | Irene Ratliff (write-in) | 7 | 0.0 | |
| No party preference | Marc Alexander Roth (write-in) | 1 | 0.0 | |
| Total votes | 6,884,065 | 100.0 | ||
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Predictions
More information Source, Ranking ...
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[53] | Solid D | March 4, 2022 |
| Inside Elections[54] | Solid D | April 1, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[55] | Safe D | March 1, 2022 |
| Politico[56] | Solid D | April 1, 2022 |
| RCP[57] | Safe D | February 24, 2022 |
| Fox News[58] | Solid D | May 12, 2022 |
| DDHQ[59] | Solid D | July 20, 2022 |
| 538[60] | Solid D | June 30, 2022 |
| The Economist[61] | Safe D | September 7, 2022 |
Close
Polling
- Special election
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 2] |
Margin of error |
Alex Padilla (D) |
Mark Meuser (R) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Research Co. | November 4–6, 2022 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 59% | 35% | 6% |
| SurveyUSA | October 7–10, 2022 | 1,013 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 56% | 34% | 10% |
Close
- Regular election
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 2] |
Margin of error |
Alex Padilla (D) |
Mark Meuser (R) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Research Co. | November 4–6, 2022 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 60% | 35% | 5% |
| USC | October 30 – November 2, 2022 | 802 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 63% | 37% | – |
| ActiVote | July 22 – October 20, 2022 | 208 (LV) | ± 7.0% | 65% | 35% | – |
| SurveyUSA | October 7–10, 2022 | 1,013 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 56% | 34% | 11% |
Close
Results
More information Party, Candidate ...
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Alex Padilla (incumbent) | 6,559,303 | 60.89% | N/A | |
| Republican | Mark Meuser | 4,212,446 | 39.11% | N/A | |
| Total votes | 10,771,749 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
| Democratic hold | |||||
Close
More information Party, Candidate ...
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Alex Padilla (incumbent) | 6,621,616 | 61.06% | N/A | |
| Republican | Mark Meuser | 4,222,025 | 38.94% | N/A | |
| Total votes | 10,843,641 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
| Democratic hold | |||||
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By county
More information By county, County ...
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By congressional district
Padilla won 42 of 52 congressional districts in the regular election, including two that elected Republicans.[63]
More information District, Padilla ...
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- In January 2021, Padilla was appointed by Governor Gavin Newsom to fill the vacancy caused by the resignation of Senator Kamala Harris, who had elected Vice President of the United States.
- Garcia is listed on the ballot as a "no party preference" candidate because the Socialist Workers Party did not have ballot access in California at the time the ballot was printed.[51]
- Grundmann is listed on the ballot as a "no party preference" candidate because the Constitution Party did not have ballot access in California at the time the ballot was printed.[52]
- Wilson, Reid (September 28, 2021). "California rule change means Padilla faces extra election". The Hill. Archived from the original on September 28, 2021. Retrieved September 28, 2021.
- Willon, Phil; McGreevy, Patrick (December 22, 2020). "Alex Padilla becomes California's first Latino U.S. senator, replacing Kamala Harris". Los Angeles Times. Retrieved December 22, 2020.
- "Statewide Direct Primary Election - June 7, 2022". California Secretary of State. Archived from the original on December 23, 2020. Retrieved September 28, 2021.
- "Alex Padilla makes history as first Latino elected to U.S. Senate from California". Los Angeles Times. November 9, 2022. Retrieved November 9, 2022.
- "Meet the history-makers of the 2022 midterm elections | CNN Politics". CNN. November 9, 2022.
- Ting, Eric (December 23, 2020). "Alex Padilla and Shirley Weber will run in 2022. They'll likely have challengers". SF Gate.
- "Primary Election - June 7, 2022". Archived from the original on March 26, 2022. Retrieved March 26, 2022.
- Cadelago, Christopher (April 16, 2022). "He wants to destroy Elon Musk. He could end up endangering the Dems' Senate plans". Politico. Archived from the original on April 16, 2022. Retrieved April 16, 2022.
- Haberkorn, Jennifer (May 3, 2021). "Sen. Alex Padilla, just months into the job, has a year and a half to convince voters he should keep it". Los Angeles Times.
- Marinucci, Carla (August 9, 2021). "Khanna won't challenge Padilla for Senate, ends intraparty threat from left". Politico. Retrieved August 9, 2021.
- "Official Certified List of Write-In Candidates - June 7, 2022" (PDF). California Secretary of State. May 27, 2022. Retrieved May 30, 2022.
- "FILING FEC-1503114". fec.gov. March 8, 2021. Retrieved March 8, 2021.
- Miller, Thaddeus (March 8, 2021). "Fresno native to challenge for a U.S. Senate seat, blasts Newsom. Can she win?". Fresno Bee.
- Taub, David (December 17, 2021). "Heng Enters House Race Even as the Lines Keep Changing". GV Wire. Retrieved December 18, 2021.
- "Yvonne For US Senate 2022". Yvonne For US Senate 2022. February 26, 2007. Retrieved June 3, 2022.
- Laurance, Jeremy (May 5, 2018). "Andrew Wakefield's MMR vaccine theory has been discredited for years, but he just won't go away". Independent.
- "News-Press announces its election endorsements". newspress.com. October 25, 2022. Retrieved October 27, 2022.
- Mehta, Seema (April 24, 2022). "California GOP endorses Brian Dahle for governor despite controversy over payment to party". Los Angeles Times. Retrieved April 25, 2022.
- "Mark Meuser's Ratings and Endorsements". justfacts.votesmart.org. Retrieved October 27, 2022.
- "Rebuild California Endorsements 2022 Primary Election". www.rebuildcalifornia.com. Retrieved October 27, 2022.
- Marinucci, Carla; Jeremy B. White; Graph Massara; Richard Tzul (April 20, 2021). "PADILLA launches 2022 reelection bid — PELOSI defends WATERS' remarks on CHAUVIN trial — CALIFORNIA giving up on climate ambitions? — GOP leaders want border meeting with HARRIS". Politico.
- "Alex Padilla Endorsements". alex-padilla.com. Retrieved May 9, 2021.
- "Elections 2022". California Teachers Association.
- "Sen. Padilla launches 2022 Senate campaign". KTXL. April 20, 2021.
- "Election Center". Equality California. Retrieved May 12, 2022.
- "Endorsements". NARAL Pro-Choice California. Retrieved May 12, 2022.
- "OUR RECOMMENDED CANDIDATES". Retrieved October 29, 2022.
- "Por Alex Padilla para el Senado federal". La Opinión (in Spanish). May 16, 2022. Retrieved May 26, 2022.
- "Endorsement: Our recommendations for House seats in the San Diego area and for the U.S. Senate". The San Diego Union-Tribune. May 19, 2022. Retrieved May 20, 2022.
- "Endorsement: The nation needs Alex Padilla in the U.S. Senate". Los Angeles Times. September 29, 2022. Retrieved October 27, 2022.
- "This U.S. Senate candidate is hard at work for California. Voters should look no further". www.fresnobee.com. October 5, 2022. Retrieved October 27, 2022.
- "Endorsement: Alex Padilla for U.S. Senate". www.ocregister.com. August 25, 2022. Retrieved October 27, 2022.
- "Editorial: Alex Padilla is the standout choice for U.S. Senate". www.marinij.com. September 26, 2022. Retrieved October 27, 2022.
- "California US Senator Alex Padilla deserves a full term". www.sanluisobispo.com. October 5, 2022. Retrieved October 27, 2022.
- "Endorsements". www.stonewalldems.org. Stonewall Democrats. Retrieved March 7, 2022.
- "Endorsements". Alice B. Toklas LGBTQ Democratic Club. Retrieved December 5, 2022.
- "East Bay Stonewall - Endorsements". www.eastbaystonewalldemocrats.org. Retrieved December 5, 2022.
- "Endorsements 2022 – Fresno Stonewall Democrats". Retrieved December 5, 2022.
- "Endorsements". Harvey Milk LGBTQ Democratic Club. Retrieved December 5, 2022.
- "2022 Endorsements". San Diego Democrats for Equality. Retrieved December 5, 2022.
- Deruy, Emily (January 18, 2021). "Alex Padilla: 5 things to know about California's new senator". Mercury News. Retrieved August 10, 2021.
- Garofoli, Joe (June 16, 2021). "Progressives fed up with Feinstein, want her to resign now". San Francisco Chronicle. Retrieved August 10, 2021.
- Garofoli, Joe (August 9, 2021). "Khanna considered challenging Padilla, but now he's endorsing him for Senate". San Francisco Chronicle. Retrieved August 9, 2021.
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