Opinion_polling_for_the_2012_French_presidential_election

Opinion polling for the 2012 French presidential election

Opinion polling for the 2012 French presidential election

Add article description


This page lists public opinion polls conducted for the 2012 French presidential election, which was held on 22 April 2012 with a run-off on 6 May 2012.

Unless otherwise noted, all polls listed below are compliant with the regulations of the national polling commission (Commission nationale des sondages) and utilize the quota method.

First round

Starting on 12 January 2012, Ifop-Fiducial published a "rolling" poll for Paris Match and Europe 1 which is listed in the tables below as "Ifop-Fiducial" without an asterisk, while separate polls not conducted as part of the "rolling" poll are listed with an asterisk (*).[1] Polls conducted specifically for subsample data are listed with two asterisks (**).

The publication of first-round polls was prohibited after midnight on 20 April 2012.[2]

Graphical summary

The averages in the graphs below were constructed using polls listed below conducted by the eight major French pollsters. The graphs are smoothed 14-day weighted moving averages, using only the most recent poll conducted by any given pollster within that range (each poll weighted based on recency).

Jean-Pierre Chevènement of the Citizen and Republican Movement (MRC) withdrew his candidacy on 1 February 2012 after failing to secure significant support.[3] Christine Boutin of the Christian Democratic Party (PCD) renounced her candidacy on 13 February and announced her support for Nicolas Sarkozy,[4] as did Hervé Morin of the New Centre (NC) on 16 February,[5] followed by Frédéric Nihous for Hunting, Fishing, Nature and Traditions (CPNT) on 22 February.[6] On 15 March, Dominique de Villepin of United Republic (RS) announced that he would not secure enough sponsorships to become a candidate "barring a republican miracle", effectively ending his campaign,[7] and Corinne Lepage of Cap21 was absent from the official list of candidates published on 19 March, having also failed to secure at least 500 sponsorships.[8]

Official campaign

More information Polling firm, Fieldwork date ...

17 October 2011 to 19 March 2012

More information Polling firm, Fieldwork date ...

8 July to 16 October 2011

More information Polling firm, Fieldwork date ...

13 May to 7 July 2011

More information Polling firm, Fieldwork date ...

28 February to 12 May 2011

More information Polling firm, Fieldwork date ...

20 August 2010 to 27 February 2011

More information Polling firm, Fieldwork date ...

29 October 2009 to 19 August 2010

More information Polling firm, Fieldwork date ...

31 October 2007 to 28 October 2009

More information Polling firm, Fieldwork date ...

By region

Corsica
More information Polling firm, Fieldwork date ...
Réunion
More information Polling firm, Fieldwork date ...
French residents overseas
More information Polling firm, Fieldwork date ...

By commune

Aubagne
More information Polling firm, Fieldwork date ...

Second round

Starting on 12 January 2012, Ifop-Fiducial published a "rolling" poll for Paris Match and Europe 1 which is listed in the tables below as "Ifop-Fiducial" without an asterisk, while separate polls not conducted as part of the "rolling" poll are listed with an asterisk (*).[1] Polls conducted specifically for subsample data are listed with two asterisks (**).

The publication of second-round polls was prohibited after midnight on 4 May 2012.[2]

Graphical summary

The averages in the graphs below were constructed using polls listed below conducted by the eight major French pollsters. The graphs are 14-day weighted moving averages, using only the most recent poll conducted by any given pollster within that range (each poll weighted based on recency).

Hollande–Sarkozy

More information Polling firm, Fieldwork date ...

By first round vote

More information Polling firm, Fieldwork date ...

By region

Corsica
More information Polling firm, Fieldwork date ...
Réunion
More information Polling firm, Fieldwork date ...
French residents overseas
More information Polling firm, Fieldwork date ...

By commune

Aubagne
More information Polling firm, Fieldwork date ...

Aubry–Sarkozy

More information Polling firm, Fieldwork date ...

Royal–Sarkozy

More information Polling firm, Fieldwork date ...

Strauss-Kahn–Sarkozy

More information Polling firm, Fieldwork date ...

Sarkozy–Le Pen

More information Polling firm, Fieldwork date ...

Hollande–Le Pen

More information Polling firm, Fieldwork date ...

Aubry–Le Pen

More information Polling firm, Fieldwork date ...

Strauss-Kahn–Le Pen

More information Polling firm, Fieldwork date ...

Aubry–Fillon

More information Polling firm, Fieldwork date ...

Strauss-Kahn–Fillon

More information Polling firm, Fieldwork date ...

Delanoë–Sarkozy

More information Polling firm, Fieldwork date ...

Bayrou–Sarkozy

More information Polling firm, Fieldwork date ...

See also


References

  1. "" La présidentielle en temps réel " avec le rolling Ifop – Paris Match – Europe 1 – Fiducial" (PDF). Ifop. 11 January 2012. Archived from the original (PDF) on 24 February 2018. Retrieved 24 February 2018.
  2. "Communiqué du 20 avril 2012". Commission des sondages. 20 April 2012. Retrieved 24 February 2018.
  3. Sylvia Zappi (1 February 2012). "Sans moyens ni soutiens, Chevènement a tenté son baroud d'honneur". Le Monde. Retrieved 24 February 2018.
  4. Béatrice Houchard (13 February 2012). "Christine Boutin retire sa candidature". Le Figaro. Retrieved 24 February 2018.
  5. "Présidentielle : Hervé Morin se retire et se rallie à Nicolas Sarkozy". Sud Ouest. Agence France-Presse. 16 February 2012. Retrieved 24 February 2018.
  6. "Nihous renonce à se présenter et soutient Sarkozy". RTL. 22 February 2012. Archived from the original on 24 February 2018. Retrieved 24 February 2018.
  7. ""Sauf miracle", Dominique de Villepin ne sera pas candidat à la présidentielle". Le Monde. Agence France-Presse. 15 March 2012. Retrieved 24 February 2018.
  8. "Dix candidats en lice pour l'élection présidentielle". Le Parisien. 19 March 2012. Retrieved 24 February 2018.

Share this article:

This article uses material from the Wikipedia article Opinion_polling_for_the_2012_French_presidential_election, and is written by contributors. Text is available under a CC BY-SA 4.0 International License; additional terms may apply. Images, videos and audio are available under their respective licenses.