Opinion_polling_for_the_2022_Portuguese_legislative_election

Opinion polling for the 2022 Portuguese legislative election

Opinion polling for the 2022 Portuguese legislative election

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In the run up to the 2022 Portuguese legislative election, various organisations carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Portugal. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls are from the 2019 Portuguese legislative election, held on 6 October, to the day the next election was held on 30 January.

Nationwide polling

Graphical summary

Local regression of polls conducted.

Polling

Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded but both are displayed in bold. The lead column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. Poll results use the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication.

  Exit poll

More information Polling firm/Link, Fieldwork date ...

Hypothetical scenarios

More information Polling firm/Link, Fieldwork date ...
Hypothetical polling

Paulo Rangel as PSD leader

Constituency polling

Madeira

More information Polling firm/Link, Fieldwork date ...

Leadership polls

Preferred prime minister

Poll results showing public opinion on who would make the best prime minister are shown in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first.

António Costa vs Rui Rio

More information Polling firm/Link, Fieldwork date ...

Cabinet approval/disapproval ratings

Graphical summary

Polling

Poll results showing public opinion on the performance of the Government are shown in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first.

More information Polling firm/Link, Fieldwork date ...

Notes

  1. Tracking Poll
  2. Results presented here exclude undecideds/refuse to answer or vote (24.1%). With their inclusion results are: PS: 29.8%; PSD: 24.8%; CHEGA: 5.2%; CDU: 4.1%; BE: 3.8%; IL: 3.3%; PAN: 0.9%; CDS-PP: 0.7%; Livre: 0.5%; Others/Invalid: 3.0%.
  3. Results presented here exclude undecideds (17.8%). With their inclusion results are: PS: 29.0%; PSD: 24.1%; BE: 7.0%; CHEGA: 5.8%; CDU: 4.9%; IL: 4.6%; PAN: 3.5%; CDS-PP: 0.9%; Livre: 0.5%; Others/Invalid: 1.9%.
  4. Results presented here exclude undecideds (17.1%). With their inclusion results are: PS: 29.4%; PSD: 22.2%; CHEGA: 7.4%; BE: 5.5%; IL: 5.3%; CDU: 3.7%; PAN: 2.9%; CDS-PP: 1.3%; Livre: 0.7%; Others/Invalid: 4.4%.
  5. Results presented here exclude undecideds, non voters and non responsive (14.3% + 5.7% + 10.2%). With their inclusion results are: PS: 24.5%; PSD: 15.1%; CHEGA: 7.5%; BE: 6.0%; PAN: 3.7%; CDU: 3.1%; IL: 2.5%; CDS-PP: 1.6%; Livre: 0.4%; Others/Invalid: 5.3%.

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