Panadura_Polling_Division

Panadura Polling Division

Polling Division in Sri Lanka

The Panadura Polling Division is a Polling Division in the Kalutara Electoral District, in the Western Province, Sri Lanka.

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Quick Facts Country, Province ...

Panadura
Polling Division

Coordinates: 6.706438°N 79.924384°E / 6.706438; 79.924384
Country	Sri Lanka
Province	Western Province, Sri Lanka
Electoral District	Kalutara Electoral District
Area
• Total	48.85 km² (18.86 sq mi)
Population (2012)^[1]
• Total	182,285
• Density	3,732/km² (9,670/sq mi)
ISO 3166 code	EC-03A

Presidential Election Results

Summary

The winner of Panadura has matched the final country result 7 out of 8 times. Hence, Panadura is a Strong Bellwether for Presidential Elections.

More information Year, Kalutara Electoral District ...

Year	Panadura		Kalutara Electoral District		MAE^[2] %	Sri Lanka		MAE^[3] %
2019		SLPP		SLPP	1.28%		SLPP	5.50%
2015		NDF		UPFA	3.54%		NDF	1.34%
2010		UPFA		UPFA	1.99%		UPFA	2.89%
2005		UPFA		UPFA	2.03%		UPFA	7.15%
1999		PA		PA	3.93%		PA	5.64%
1994		PA		PA	5.69%		PA	4.74%
1988		SLFP		SLFP	3.70%		UNP	7.70%
1982		UNP		UNP	0.80%		UNP	4.09%
Matches/Mean MAE	7/8		6/8		2.87%	8/8		4.88%

2019 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

More information Party, Kalutara Electoral District ...

Party		Panadura^[4]			Kalutara Electoral District			Sri Lanka
Party		Votes		%	Votes		%	Votes		%
	SLPP		57,447	58.01%		482,920	59.49%		6,924,255	52.25%
	NDF		35,761	36.11%		284,213	35.01%		5,564,239	41.99%
	NMPP		3,904	3.94%		27,681	3.41%		418,553	3.16%
	Other Parties (with < 1%)		1,916	1.93%		16,949	2.09%		345,452	2.61%
Valid Votes		99,028		99.17%	811,763		99.16%	13,252,499		98.99%
Rejected Votes		827		0.83%	6,847		0.84%	135,452		1.01%
Total Polled		99,855		84.11%	818,610		85.71%	13,387,951		83.71%
Registered Electors		118,719			955,080			15,992,568

2015 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

More information Party, Kalutara Electoral District ...

Party		Panadura^[5]			Kalutara Electoral District			Sri Lanka
Party		Votes		%	Votes		%	Votes		%
	NDF		46,820	50.15%		349,404	46.46%		6,217,162	51.28%
	UPFA		45,908	49.18%		395,890	52.65%		5,768,090	47.58%
	Other Parties (with < 1%)		627	0.67%		6,690	0.89%		138,200	1.14%
Valid Votes		93,355		98.78%	751,984		98.90%	12,123,452		98.85%
Rejected Votes		1,152		1.22%	8,381		1.10%	140,925		1.15%
Total Polled		94,507		82.30%	760,365		82.08%	12,264,377		78.69%
Registered Electors		114,828			926,346			15,585,942

2010 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

More information Party, Kalutara Electoral District ...

Party		Panadura^[6]			Kalutara Electoral District			Sri Lanka
Party		Votes		%	Votes		%	Votes		%
	UPFA		50,772	61.21%		412,562	63.06%		6,015,934	57.88%
	NDF		31,319	37.76%		231,807	35.43%		4,173,185	40.15%
	Other Parties (with < 1%)		856	1.03%		9,880	1.51%		204,494	1.97%
Valid Votes		82,947		99.34%	654,249		99.31%	10,393,613		99.03%
Rejected Votes		553		0.66%	4,541		0.69%	101,838		0.97%
Total Polled		83,500		79.10%	658,790		79.05%	10,495,451		66.70%
Registered Electors		105,569			833,360			15,734,587

2005 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

More information Party, Kalutara Electoral District ...

Party		Panadura^[7]			Kalutara Electoral District			Sri Lanka
Party		Votes		%	Votes		%	Votes		%
	UPFA		46,097	57.68%		341,693	55.48%		4,887,152	50.29%
	UNP		33,034	41.33%		266,043	43.20%		4,706,366	48.43%
	Other Parties (with < 1%)		790	0.99%		8,124	1.32%		123,521	1.27%
Valid Votes		79,921		99.06%	615,860		98.95%	9,717,039		98.88%
Rejected Votes		762		0.94%	6,517		1.05%	109,869		1.12%
Total Polled		80,683		79.63%	622,377		79.67%	9,826,908		69.51%
Registered Electors		101,328			781,175			14,136,979

1999 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

More information Party, Kalutara Electoral District ...

Party		Panadura^[8]			Kalutara Electoral District			Sri Lanka
Party		Votes		%	Votes		%	Votes		%
	PA		39,081	56.58%		281,217	52.88%		4,312,157	51.12%
	UNP		24,976	36.16%		217,423	40.88%		3,602,748	42.71%
	JVP		3,647	5.28%		23,770	4.47%		343,927	4.08%
	Other Parties (with < 1%)		1,369	1.98%		9,399	1.77%		176,679	2.09%
Valid Votes		69,073		97.17%	531,809		97.83%	8,435,754		97.69%
Rejected Votes		2,014		2.83%	11,796		2.17%	199,536		2.31%
Total Polled		71,087		77.46%	543,605		78.23%	8,635,290		72.17%
Registered Electors		91,768			694,860			11,965,536

1994 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

More information Party, Kalutara Electoral District ...

Party		Panadura^[9]			Kalutara Electoral District			Sri Lanka
Party		Votes		%	Votes		%	Votes		%
	PA		42,951	67.27%		295,686	61.47%		4,709,205	62.28%
	UNP		20,032	31.37%		178,466	37.10%		2,715,283	35.91%
	Other Parties (with < 1%)		865	1.35%		6,867	1.43%		137,040	1.81%
Valid Votes		63,848		98.58%	481,019		98.50%	7,561,526		98.03%
Rejected Votes		922		1.42%	7,309		1.50%	151,706		1.97%
Total Polled		64,770		72.33%	488,328		73.97%	7,713,232		69.12%
Registered Electors		89,554			660,191			11,158,880

1988 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

More information Party, Kalutara Electoral District ...

Party		Panadura^[10]			Kalutara Electoral District			Sri Lanka
Party		Votes		%	Votes		%	Votes		%
	SLFP		28,366	51.94%		179,761	49.57%		2,289,857	44.95%
	UNP		22,701	41.57%		169,510	46.74%		2,569,199	50.43%
	SLMP		3,548	6.50%		13,375	3.69%		235,701	4.63%
Valid Votes		54,615		98.56%	362,646		98.23%	5,094,754		98.24%
Rejected Votes		799		1.44%	6,537		1.77%	91,499		1.76%
Total Polled		55,414		70.74%	369,183		64.20%	5,186,256		55.87%
Registered Electors		78,330			575,008			9,283,143

1982 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

More information Party, Kalutara Electoral District ...

Party		Panadura^[11]			Kalutara Electoral District			Sri Lanka
Party		Votes		%	Votes		%	Votes		%
	UNP		26,648	48.88%		211,592	50.15%		3,450,815	52.93%
	SLFP		23,861	43.77%		185,874	44.06%		2,546,348	39.05%
	JVP		2,011	3.69%		14,499	3.44%		273,428	4.19%
	LSSP		1,776	3.26%		8,613	2.04%		58,531	0.90%
	Other Parties (with < 1%)		216	0.40%		1,314	0.31%		190,929	2.93%
Valid Votes		54,512		98.77%	421,892		98.76%	6,520,156		98.78%
Rejected Votes		677		1.23%	5,290		1.24%	80,470		1.22%
Total Polled		55,189		81.70%	427,182		83.97%	6,600,626		80.15%
Registered Electors		67,549			508,744			8,235,358

Parliamentary Election Results

Summary

The winner of Panadura has matched the final country result 5 out of 7 times. Hence, Panadura is a Weak Bellwether for Parliamentary Elections.

More information Year, Kalutara Electoral District ...

Year	Panadura		Kalutara Electoral District		MAE^[12] %	Sri Lanka		MAE^[13] %
2015		UPFA		UPFA	1.17%		UNP	2.33%
2010		UPFA		UPFA	2.94%		UPFA	1.06%
2004		UPFA		UPFA	4.90%		UPFA	3.89%
2001		UNP		UNP	1.49%		UNP	2.25%
2000		PA		PA	3.52%		PA	2.89%
1994		PA		PA	4.97%		PA	7.25%
1989		SLFP		UNP	7.26%		UNP	10.15%
Matches/Mean MAE	5/7		6/7		3.75%	7/7		4.26%

2015 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

More information Party, Kalutara Electoral District ...

Party		Panadura^[14]			Kalutara Electoral District			Sri Lanka
Party		Votes		%	Votes		%	Votes		%
	UPFA		40,809	46.63%		338,801	48.58%		4,732,664	42.48%
	UNP		39,190	44.78%		310,234	44.48%		5,098,916	45.77%
	JVP		6,253	7.14%		38,475	5.52%		544,154	4.88%
	Other Parties (with < 1%)		1,271	1.45%		9,951	1.43%		85,579	0.77%
Valid Votes		87,523		97.49%	697,461		97.00%	11,140,333		95.35%
Rejected Votes		2,232		2.49%	21,366		2.97%	516,926		4.42%
Total Polled		89,773		78.18%	719,001		80.13%	11,684,111		77.66%
Registered Electors		114,828			897,349			15,044,490

2010 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

More information Party, Kalutara Electoral District ...

Party		Panadura^[15]			Kalutara Electoral District			Sri Lanka
Party		Votes		%	Votes		%	Votes		%
	UPFA		37,818	59.64%		313,836	63.74%		4,846,388	60.38%
	UNP		18,022	28.42%		139,596	28.35%		2,357,057	29.37%
	DNA		7,340	11.57%		36,722	7.46%		441,251	5.50%
	Other Parties (with < 1%)		234	0.37%		2,246	0.46%		34,923	0.44%
Valid Votes		63,414		91.48%	492,400		90.41%	8,026,322		96.03%
Rejected Votes		5,851		8.44%	51,751		9.50%	581,465		6.96%
Total Polled		69,320		65.66%	544,606		65.21%	8,358,246		59.29%
Registered Electors		105,569			835,186			14,097,690

2004 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

More information Party, Kalutara Electoral District ...

Party		Panadura^[16]			Kalutara Electoral District			Sri Lanka
Party		Votes		%	Votes		%	Votes		%
	UPFA		35,687	48.03%		291,208	51.72%		4,223,126	45.70%
	UNP		24,020	32.32%		212,721	37.78%		3,486,792	37.73%
	JHU		14,274	19.21%		56,615	10.06%		552,723	5.98%
	Other Parties (with < 1%)		328	0.44%		2,475	0.44%		49,030	0.53%
Valid Votes		74,309		95.82%	563,019		94.82%	9,241,931		94.52%
Rejected Votes		3,240		4.18%	30,741		5.18%	534,452		5.47%
Total Polled		77,549		77.75%	593,760		79.58%	9,777,821		75.74%
Registered Electors		99,741			746,138			12,909,631

2001 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

More information Party, Kalutara Electoral District ...

Party		Panadura^[17]			Kalutara Electoral District			Sri Lanka
Party		Votes		%	Votes		%	Votes		%
	UNP		32,013	43.88%		254,339	45.94%		4,086,026	45.62%
	PA		29,288	40.14%		226,468	40.91%		3,330,815	37.19%
	JVP		9,435	12.93%		60,451	10.92%		815,353	9.10%
	SU		1,367	1.87%		5,103	0.92%		50,665	0.57%
	Other Parties (with < 1%)		857	1.17%		7,258	1.31%		86,426	0.97%
Valid Votes		72,960		95.23%	553,619		94.44%	8,955,844		94.77%
Rejected Votes		3,655		4.77%	32,617		5.56%	494,009		5.23%
Total Polled		76,615		79.40%	586,236		81.68%	9,449,878		76.03%
Registered Electors		96,487			717,764			12,428,762

2000 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

More information Party, Kalutara Electoral District ...

Party		Panadura^[18]			Kalutara Electoral District			Sri Lanka
Party		Votes		%	Votes		%	Votes		%
	PA		30,848	43.08%		255,175	46.86%		3,899,329	45.33%
	UNP		25,994	36.30%		217,215	39.89%		3,451,765	40.12%
	JVP		7,047	9.84%		38,373	7.05%		518,725	6.03%
	SU		4,035	5.63%		15,619	2.87%		127,859	1.49%
	NUA		2,857	3.99%		11,943	2.19%		185,593	2.16%
	Other Parties (with < 1%)		832	1.16%		6,193	1.14%		136,137	1.58%
Valid Votes		71,613		N/A	544,518		N/A	8,602,617		N/A

1994 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

More information Party, Kalutara Electoral District ...

Party		Panadura^[19]			Kalutara Electoral District			Sri Lanka
Party		Votes		%	Votes		%	Votes		%
	PA		39,309	58.52%		271,754	53.77%		3,887,805	48.94%
	UNP		25,692	38.25%		221,115	43.75%		3,498,370	44.04%
	MEP		1,163	1.73%		5,914	1.17%		68,538	0.86%
	SLPF		970	1.44%		6,238	1.23%		90,078	1.13%
	Other Parties (with < 1%)		41	0.06%		339	0.07%		813	0.01%
Valid Votes		67,175		96.22%	505,360		95.21%	7,943,688		95.20%
Rejected Votes		2,642		3.78%	25,397		4.79%	400,395		4.80%
Total Polled		69,817		77.96%	530,757		80.20%	8,344,095		74.75%
Registered Electors		89,554			661,793			11,163,064

1989 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

More information Party, Kalutara Electoral District ...

Party		Panadura^[20]			Kalutara Electoral District			Sri Lanka
Party		Votes		%	Votes		%	Votes		%
	SLFP		23,778	47.08%		131,510	40.94%		1,785,369	31.90%
	UNP		20,473	40.53%		160,069	49.84%		2,838,005	50.71%
	USA		3,025	5.99%		12,342	3.84%		141,983	2.54%
	SLMC		2,428	4.81%		12,971	4.04%		202,016	3.61%
	MEP		641	1.27%		2,690	0.84%		90,480	1.62%
	Other Parties (with < 1%)		165	0.33%		1,611	0.50%		67,723	1.21%
Valid Votes		50,510		95.90%	321,193		94.10%	5,596,468		93.87%
Rejected Votes		2,162		4.10%	20,139		5.90%	365,563		6.13%
Total Polled		52,672		68.55%	341,332		59.86%	5,962,031		63.60%
Registered Electors		76,836			570,193			9,374,164

Demographics

Ethnicity

The Panadura Polling Division has a Sinhalese majority (84.6%) and a significant Moor population (14.1%) . In comparison, the Kalutara Electoral District (which contains the Panadura Polling Division) has a Sinhalese majority (86.8%) ^[1]

Ethnicity in Panadura^[1]

Sinhalese (84.6%)

Moor (14.1%)

Other (1.3%)

Religion

The Panadura Polling Division has a Buddhist majority (78.6%) and a significant Muslim population (14.4%) . In comparison, the Kalutara Electoral District (which contains the Panadura Polling Division) has a Buddhist majority (83.4%) ^[1]

Religion in Panadura^[1]

Buddhist (78.6%)

Muslim (14.4%)

Roman Catholic (5.1%)

Other Christian (1.3%)

Other (0.6%)

References

[1]
"Census of Population and Housing 2012". statistics.gov.lk. Department of Census and Statistics, Sri Lanka. 2012.
[2]
The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Panadura and the Kalutara Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
[3]
The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Panadura and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
[4]
"2019 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2019. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
[5]
"2015 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
[6]
"2010 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
[7]
"2005 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2005. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
[8]
"1999 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1999. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
[9]
"1994 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
[10]
"1988 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1988. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
[11]
"1982 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1982. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
[12]
The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Panadura and the Kalutara Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
[13]
The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Panadura and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
[14]
"2015 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
[15]
"2010 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
[16]
"2004 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2004.
[17]
"2001 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2001.
[18]
"2000 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2000.
[19]
"1994 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
[20]
"1989 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1989.

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