2018_United_States_Senate_election_in_Tennessee

2018 United States Senate election in Tennessee

2018 United States Senate election in Tennessee

Election of US Senator Marsha Blackburn

The 2018 United States Senate election in Tennessee took place on November 6, 2018, concurrently with other elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Republican Senator Bob Corker opted to retire instead of running for a third term. Republican U.S. Representative Marsha Blackburn won the open seat, defeating former Democratic Governor Phil Bredesen.

For related races, see 2018 United States Senate elections.
Not to be confused with 2018 Tennessee Senate election.
Quick Facts Turnout, Nominee ...

Early in the campaign, Bob Corker said that Blackburn's opponent, Democrat Phil Bredesen, was "a very good mayor, a very good governor, a very good businessperson", that he had "real appeal" and "crossover appeal", and that the two of them had cooperated well over the years. But Corker said he would vote for Blackburn and donate to her campaign, and questioned whether Bredesen would be able to win a Senate seat in a red state like Tennessee.[2][3] After Corker's praise for Bredesen, Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell warned Corker that such comments could cost the Republican Party its Senate majority.[3] Shortly after Corker's comments, Trump tweeted an endorsement of Blackburn.[3]

In October 2018, Tennessean singer-songwriter Taylor Swift endorsed Bredesen. The endorsement was notable given that Swift had previously been publicly apolitical, but spoke out because Blackburn's voting record in Congress "appalled" and "terrified" her. Swift shared a link to the nonpartisan voter registration website Vote.org, which saw a significant spike in page views and new registrations. Donald Trump criticized Swift's endorsement.[4][5][6]

This election was expected to be among the most competitive Senate races in 2018, with CNN calling it the single most important Senate race in the country. Polls showed the race as close until the confirmation hearings for Supreme Court Justice Brett Kavanaugh started, which many Tennesseans believed the Democratic Party handled poorly. This is believed to have mobilized Republican voters and cost Bredesen any chance of winning.[7] Bredesen also announced his support for Kavanaugh, which some believe cost him supporters.[8]

On election day, Blackburn defeated Bredesen. This was Tennessee's closest Senate race since 2006, with Blackburn winning by a 10.8% margin. The primaries took place on August 2, 2018, with Blackburn and Bredesen winning their respective party nominations.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

  • Aaron Pettigrew, truck driver[10]

Withdrawn

Declined

Speculation surrounding Senator Corker

On September 26, 2017, Republican Senator Bob Corker announced that he would not seek another term in 2018.[28] Many called on Corker to reverse his decision to retire.[who?] Former U.S. Representative Fincher dropped out of the race, calling on Corker to jump back in and challenge U.S. Representative Blackburn for the GOP nomination. Fincher said in a statement that the GOP should unite "behind a candidate who can win" the general election. Blackburn said she would remain in the race even if Corker reversed his decision. Amid the speculation about Corker's decision, many of Tennessee's Republican politicians, including many in the Tennessee General Assembly, reiterated their support for Blackburn.[29] Corker's chief of staff announced on February 27, 2018, that Corker would stick with his plan to retire.[30]

Endorsements

Polling

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Hypothetical polling

Results

Results by county:
Blackburn
  •   Blackburn—70–80%
  •   Blackburn—80–90%
  •   Blackburn—90%
More information Party, Candidate ...

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Withdrawn

  • James Mackler, attorney and veteran[33]
  • Bill Bailey, teaching assistant and retired UPS trailer mechanic[34]

Declined

Results

Results by county:
Bredesen
  •   Bredesen—80–90%
  •   Bredesen—>90%
More information Party, Candidate ...

Independents

  • Dean Hill, US Army Veteran, Ex-Government, Business Owner, Realtor

General election

Predictions

More information Source, Ranking ...

Debates

Endorsements

Marsha Blackburn (R)
U.S. Executive Branch officials
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
Governors
Local and statewide politicians
Individuals
Organizations
Newspapers
Phil Bredesen (D)
Former U.S. Executive Branch officials
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
Individuals
Labor unions
Organizations
Newspapers

Fundraising

More information Campaign finance reports as of Sep 30, 2018, Candidate (party) ...

Polling

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
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Hypothetical polling
with generic Republican and generic Democrat
with Bob Corker
with Stephen Fincher
with Clay Travis
with Bob Corker and generic Democrat
with Peyton Manning

Results

On November 6, 2018, Blackburn defeated Bredesen in the general election, carrying all but three counties, the largest number of counties ever won in an open senate election in Tennessee.[136] Although polls began to show the race in Blackburn's favor following the Kavanaugh hearings, Blackburn won by a larger margin than all but one poll showed.

More information Party, Candidate ...

By county

More information County, Marsha Blackburn Republican ...
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

See also

Notes

  1. [n 1]
    Swift's October endorsement is reported to have helped increase the youth demographic's early voting in Tennessee by 664%[124]

References

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    ".@MarshaBlackburn is a wonderful woman who has always been there when we have needed her. Great on the Military, Border Security and Crime. Loves and works hard for the people of Tennessee. She has my full endorsement and I will be there to campaign with her!". Twitter.
  57. [57]
    Mike Pence. "PROUD to support our friend @VoteMarsha for US Senate representing Tennessee. Marsha Blackburn is a rock-ribbed conservative who has been a champion of President Trump's pro-jobs, pro-military, AMERICA FIRST agenda & will be critical ally in the Senate. She has our full support!". Twitter.
  58. [58]
    Marsha Blackburn. ".@CondoleezzaRice is a leader for our country and our party, and I am so honored to earn her endorsement. In the Senate, I will continue to fight for our shared principles". Twitter.
  59. [59]
    Lamar Alexander. "I have supported Marsha Blackburn as a candidate for the U.S. House of Representatives, and I support her again as a candidate for the United States Senate. She has served Tennesseans well. I look forward to working with her to make the Senate a more effective institution". Twitter.
  60. [60]
    John Boozman. "We need every #ProLife vote we can get in the Senate and @VoteMarsha has been a champion for the dignity and worth of the unborn. Appreciate her bold stand for life and I know she'll keep up the fight in the Senate. #VoteLife #VoteMarsha". Twitter.
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    Marsha Blackburn. "Thrilled to have Senator @TomCottonAR in Tennessee today to support my campaign! #TeamMarsha". Twitter.
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    Deb Fischer. ".@VoteMarsha is a strong voice for life. Her voice should not be silenced. We need more strong pro-life women like Marsha in the senate. #TNSen". Twitter.
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    Chris Bundgaard. "Former Republican presidential candidate Sen Marco Rubio campaigns for U-S Senate candidate Rep Marsha Blackburn at Latinos For TN event @WKRN". Twitter.
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    Marsha Blackburn. "Excited to have Senator @ThomTillis and Senator @TomCottonAR in Tennessee to support my campaign. I look forward to working alongside them in the U.S. Senate to continue on the great progress we've made in our nation! #TeamMarsha". Twitter.
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    David Kustoff. "Starting our day at the Madison County GOP HQ Grand Opening! Im on the campaign trail today with my friend @VoteMarsha. West Tennessee needs Marsha as our next Senator!". Twitter.
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    Ron Ramsey. "Peaceful protesters deserve our respect. Marauding mobs do not. These agitators make no point. They promote no cause. Their only mission is disruption. They respect nothing & no one, including the victims of Pittsburgh. We will not be intimidated. We will vote. #StandWithMarsha". Twitter.
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    Randy McNally. "I've been consistently impressed by @VoteMarsha's dedication to fiscal conservatism. This dedication is needed now more than ever at the federal level. It is time for all @TNGOP to rally around @VoteMarsha for Senate". Twitter.
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    Jay Dean Reedy. "When @FortCampbell was in danger of losing 20,000 personnel, @VoteMarsha took action to secure jobs and resources for our armed forces. We can always count on Marsha to be a friend to our military! Vote early for Marsha Blackburn for the U.S. Senate". Twitter.
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    Blackburn, Marsha (October 24, 2018). ".@TheLeeGreenwood is a strong leader in Tennessee's recording industry and true American patriot. I'm grateful to have his support as I work to defend faith, family, and freedom in the U.S. Senate. #TennesseeValuespic.twitter.com/epdXv5ufXg".
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    Marsha Blackburn. "Honored to have Art Laffer's endorsement in my race for U.S. Senate. As a conservative economist and close Reagan advisor, I'm thrilled to have his advice and continued support for our campaign". Twitter.
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    Bill Lee. "Brett Kavanaugh is an excellent pick for SCOTUS. He is a strong defender of the Constitution and he deserves a swift confirmation in the Senate. This is also a reminder on the importance of keeping conservatives in the Senate like @VoteMarsha to ensure confirmation". Twitter.
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    Ronna McDaniel. "The choice is clear: Elect someone with Tennessee values, or elect someone with Chuck Schumer's. @VoteMarsha on November 6! #TNSen". Twitter.
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    Candace Owens. "On the heels of @taylorswift13 feeling the need to, as all Hollywood elitists do, use black people and minorities as pawns to brainwash people into doing their bidding— I would like come out to Tennessee and campaign for @MarshaBlackburn. Marsha, let's do this! #MAGA". Twitter.
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    Marsha Blackburn. ".@DaveRamsey has been a good friend of mine ever since we worked together to stop the massive job-killing state income tax in Tennessee. He is a brilliant economic mind, trusted counsel, and I'm honored to have his support as we work to win in November". Twitter.
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    Marsha Blackburn. ".@MichaelWSmith and his wife Debbie are dear friends of mine and strong defenders of our Tennessee values. Michael has championed faith, family, and freedom through his music and I look forward to taking these same values to the U.S. Senate". Twitter.
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    Blackburn, Marsha (October 22, 2018). "Southern hospitality & warm welcomes are true #TennesseeValues. It's an honor to have @EricTrump in West Tennessee today to support our campaign, & I look forward to working alongside #TeamTrump in the U.S. Senate to continue making America great again! #MAGA #TeamMarshapic.twitter.com/bDQEhzQEuO".
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    Blackburn, Marsha (October 22, 2018). "Phil Bredesen will go along to get along with Washington liberals every time. @AllWaltrip wants his next Senator to represent conservative values, & I'm the only one Tennesseans can count on to do that.pic.twitter.com/V6jFkeYjGK".
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