2020_United_States_Senate_election_in_New_Hampshire

2020 United States Senate election in New Hampshire
	Shaheen: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90%; Messner: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% ; No votes
U.S. senator before election; Jeanne Shaheen; Democratic	Elected U.S. Senator ; Jeanne Shaheen; Democratic

2020 United States Senate election in New Hampshire

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The 2020 United States Senate election in New Hampshire was held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of New Hampshire, concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Democratic Senator Jeanne Shaheen won reelection to a third term after comfortably defeating Republican nominee Bryant Messner by 15.6 points and sweeping every single county in the state. This marked the first Senate election since 1972 in which the Democrat carried Belknap County.

Quick Facts Nominee, Party ...

Shaheen's final margin outperformed Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden in the concurrent presidential election by around 8 percentage points.

The primary election was held on September 8, 2020.

Republican primary

Endorsements

Don Bolduc

Federal officials

Tom Cotton, U.S. senator from Arkansas and former U.S. Representative (AR-04) (2013–2015)^[38]
Bob Smith, former U.S. senator from New Hampshire (1990–2003) and U.S. Representative (NH-01) (1985–1990)^[39]
Michael Waltz, U.S. representative (FL-06)^[40]
Thomas E. White, former U.S. Secretary of the Army (2001–2004)^[40]

State officials

Kevin Avard, former state senator (2014–2018) and state representative (2010–2012)^[40]
Jim Coburn, former state representative (2004–2006) and Republican nominee in the 2006 New Hampshire gubernatorial election^[40]
Susan DeLemus, former state representative (2010–2012, 2014–2016)^[40]
Shaun Doherty, former state representative (2008–2012)^[40]
William Fowler, state representative^[40]
Bob Giuda, state senator and former state representative (2001–2007) and state House deputy majority leader (2003–2004)^[40]
Gary Hopper, state representative^[40]
Joseph Kenney, former executive councilor (2014–2019) and state senator (2003–2009)^[41]
Gary Lambert, former state senator (2010–2012)^[40]
Tim Merlino, state representative^[40]
Michael Moffett, former state representative (2016–2018)^[40]
Reed Panasiti, state representative^[40]
Terry Roy, state representative^[40]
Doug Scamman, former state representative (2004–2010) and state House speaker^[40]
David Testerman, state representative^[40]
Joshua Whitehouse, former state representative (2014–2016)^[40]
Raymond Wieczorek, former executive councilor (2002–2012) and mayor of Manchester (1990–2000)^[40]

Organizations

SEAL PAC^[40]
Senate Conservatives Fund^[42]

Individuals

Jeb Bush, 2016 Republican presidential candidate and former governor of Florida (1999–2007)^[43]
Jack Kimball, former New Hampshire Republican Party chair (2011)^{[citation needed]}

Corky Messner

Federal officials

Rand Paul, U.S. senator from Kentucky^[44]
Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States^[45]

State officials

Dennis Acton, state representative^[46]
Joe Alexander, state representative^[47]
Alan Bershtein, state representative^[46]
Regina Birdsell, state senator and former state representative (2010–2014)^{[citation needed]}
Tom Dolan, state representative^[47]
Fred Doucette, state representative^[48]
Jess Edwards, state representative^[49]
Aboul Khan, state representative^[46]
Tony Lekas, state representative^[47]
Norman Major, state representative^[46]
Charles McMahon, state representative^[47]
Chuck Morse, state senator, state Senate minority leader, and former state Senate president (2013–2018) and acting Governor (2017)^[50]
Bill O'Brien, Republican candidate in the 2020 U.S. Senate election in New Hampshire and former state representative (2004–2006, 2008–2016) and state House speaker (2010–2012)^[51]
Mark Pearson, state representative^[47]
Stephen Pearson, state representative^[47]
Kim Rice, state representative^[52]
Steve Schmidt, former state representative (2010–2018)^[52]
Thomas Walsh, state representative^[52]
Kenneth Weyler, state representative^[52]
Michael Yakubovich, state representative^[46]

Organizations

Individuals

John Campbell, former U.S. Army Vice Chief of Staff (2013–2014)^[49]

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[Messner-58] Poll conducted for Corky Messner.

[DB-59] Poll sponsored by Don Bolduc

[60] Poll sponsored by Lewandowski

[Key-55] Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear

[56] "Some other candidate" with 0%

[57] "Someone else" with 4%

[76] O'Donnell (L) with 0%; Undecided with 3%

[77] O'Donnell (L) with 2%; "Other" and Undecided with 0%

[78] O'Donnell (L) with 2%; "Someone else" with 1%; Undecided with 5%

[79] "Another candidate" with 1%; Undecided with 4%

[80] O'Donnell (L) with 2%; "Another Candidate" with 0%; Undecided with 4%

[81] O'Donnell (L) and "Refused" with 2%; "Other" with 0%; Undecided with 8%

[82] O'Donnell (L) with 4%; "Someone else" with 2%; Undecided with 5%

[83] "Someone else" with 2%; Undecided with 3%

[84] O'Donnell (L) with 0%; Undecided with 4%

[85] O'Donnell (L) with 3%; "Another Candidate" with 0%; Undecided with 2%

[86] "Another candidate" with 1%; Undecided with 6%

[87] O'Donnell (L) with 3%; Undecided with 6%

[88] "Another candidate" with 1%; Undecided with 11%

[89] "Another candidate" with 0%; Undecided with 13%

[90] "Another candidate" with 1%; Undecided with 13%

[91] "Another candidate" with 4%; Undecided with 17%

[92] O'Donnell (L) with 4%; Undecided with 6%

[A0U10-93] "Another candidate" with 0%; Undecided with 10%

[94] "Another candidate" with 1%; Undecided with 10%

[95] "Another candidate" with 5%; Undecided with 17%

[96] Undecided with 11%

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Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Jeanne Shaheen (incumbent)	142,012	93.88%
	Democratic	Paul Krautman	5,914	3.91%
	Democratic	Tom Alciere	2,992	1.98%
	Republican	Don Bolduc (write-in)	199	0.13%
	Republican	Corky Messner (write-in)	137	0.09%
	Republican	Andy Martin (write-in)	11	0.0%
	Republican	Gerard Beloin (write-in)	3	0.0%
Total votes			151,268	100.0%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 1]}	Margin of error	Don Bolduc	Corey Lewandowski	Corky Messner	Bill O'Brien	Other	Undecided
University of New Hampshire	August 28 – September 1, 2020	703 (LV)	± 3.7%	31%	–	52%	–	0%^{[lower-alpha 2]}	17%
Saint Anselm College	August 15–17, 2020	475 (RV)	± 4.5%	29%	–	31%	–	4%^{[lower-alpha 3]}	37%
The Tarrance Group^{[upper-alpha 1]}	July 12–14, 2020	401 (LV)	± 5%	27%	–	39%	–	–	–
Remington Research Group^{[upper-alpha 2]}	June 21–23, 2020	800 (LV)	–	8%	–	17%	–	–	73%
	April 2, 2020	O'Brien withdraws from the race
	December 31, 2019	Lewandowski announces he will not run
Emerson College	September 6–9, 2019	379 (RV)	± 5.0%	9%	29%	4%	7%	–	56%
Vote Adjustments/WMUR	September 5–6, 2019	402 (LV)	± 4.2%	9%	29%	2%	6%	–	49%
	September 4, 2019	Messner announces his candidacy
Remington Research (R)^{[upper-alpha 2]}	August 12–14, 2019	200 (RV)	–	21%	21%	2%	8%	–	47%
Fabrizio (R)^{[upper-alpha 3]}	August 11–12, 2019	400 (LV)	–	11%	30%	–	10%	–	–

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Corky Messner	69,801	50.26%
	Republican	Don Bolduc	58,749	42.30%
	Republican	Andy Martin	6,443	4.64%
	Republican	Gerard Beloin	3,098	2.23%
	Democratic	Jeanne Shaheen (write-in)	771	0.56%
	Democratic	Tom Alciere (write-in)	7	0.0%
	Democratic	Paul Krautmann (write-in)	7	0.0%
Total votes			138,876	100.0%

No.	Date	Host	Moderator	Link	Democratic	Republican	Libertarian
Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn
					Jeanne Shaheen	Bryant Messner	Justin O'Donnell
1	Oct. 15, 2022	New Hampshire Public Radio	Laura Knoy Annie Ropeik	YouTube	P	P	N
2	Oct. 25, 2022	WMUR		YouTube	P	P	N

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report^[57]	Safe D	October 29, 2020
Inside Elections^[58]	Safe D	October 28, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball^[59]	Likely D	November 2, 2020
Daily Kos^[60]	Safe D	October 30, 2020
Politico^[61]	Likely D	November 2, 2020
RCP^[62]	Lean D	October 23, 2020
DDHQ^[63]	Safe D	November 3, 2020
538^[64]	Safe D	November 2, 2020
Economist^[65]	Safe D	November 2, 2020

2020_United_States_Senate_election_in_New_Hampshire

2020 United States Senate election in New Hampshire

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Endorsements

Results

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Withdrew

Declined

Endorsements

Polling

Results

Other candidates

Libertarian Party

Nominee

Bull Moose Party

Did not qualify

General election

Debate

Predictions

Endorsements

Polling

Results

Results by congressional district

See also

Notes

References

External links

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Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 1]}	Margin of error	Jeanne Shaheen (D)	Corky Messner (R)	Other / Undecided
American Research Group	October 26–28, 2020	600 (LV)	± 4%	57%	40%	3%^{[lower-alpha 4]}
University of New Hampshire	October 24–28, 2020	864 (LV)	± 3.3%	54%	43%	2%^{[lower-alpha 5]}
Saint Anselm College	October 23–26, 2020	1,018 (LV)	± 3.1%	54%	39%	8%^{[lower-alpha 6]}
YouGov/UMass Lowell	October 16–26, 2020	757 (LV)	± 4.5%	57%	38%	5%^{[lower-alpha 7]}
University of New Hampshire	October 9–12, 2020	899 (LV)	± 3.3%	55%	40%	6%^{[lower-alpha 8]}
Suffolk University	October 8–12, 2020	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	51%	36%	13%^{[lower-alpha 9]}
Saint Anselm College	October 1–4, 2020	1,147 (LV)	± 2.9%	53%	38%	8%^{[lower-alpha 10]}
Emerson College	September 30 – October 1, 2020	700 (LV)	± 3.6%	55%	40%	5%^{[lower-alpha 11]}
American Research Group	September 25–28, 2020	600 (LV)	± 4%	56%	40%	4%^{[lower-alpha 12]}
University of New Hampshire	September 24–28, 2020	972 (LV)	± 3.1%	54%	41%	5%^{[lower-alpha 13]}
YouGov/UMass Lowell	September 17–25, 2020	657 (LV)	± 4.6%	56%	37%	7%^{[lower-alpha 14]}
University of New Hampshire	August 28 – September 1, 2020	1,889 (LV)	± 2.3%	54%	36%	9%^{[lower-alpha 15]}
University of New Hampshire	July 16–28, 2020	1,893 (LV)	± 2.2%	54%	35%	12%^{[lower-alpha 16]}
University of New Hampshire	June 18–22, 2020	932 (LV)	± 2.8%	50%	37%	13%^{[lower-alpha 17]}
University of New Hampshire	May 14–18, 2020	788 (LV)	± 3.2%	52%	34%	14%^{[lower-alpha 18]}
University of New Hampshire	February 19–25, 2020	576 (RV)	± 4.1%	52%	28%	21%^{[lower-alpha 19]}

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 1]}	Margin of error	Jeanne Shaheen (D)	Corey Lewandowski (R)	Other / Undecided
American Research Group	December 12–16, 2019	539 (RV)	± 4.2%	58%	35%	7%
Emerson College	November 22–26, 2019	1,184 (RV)	± 2.8%	52%	40%	8%
American Research Group	September 20–24, 2019	560 (RV)	± 4.1%	56%	34%	10%
Emerson College	September 6–9, 2019	1,041 (RV)	± 3.0%	49%	39%	12%
Remington Research (R)^{[upper-alpha 2]}	August 12–14, 2019	427 (RV)	± 4.7%	50%	37%	–

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 1]}	Margin of error	Jeanne Shaheen (D)	Chris Sununu (R)	Undecided
Emerson College Archived February 23, 2019, at the Wayback Machine	February 21–22, 2019	910 (RV)	± 3.2%	44%	44%	12%
YouGov/UMass Amherst	February 7–15, 2019	600 (RV)	± 4.8%	45%	42%	10%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 1]}	Margin of error	Generic Democrat	Generic Republican	Other	Undecided
Saint Anselm College	August 15–17, 2020	1,042 (RV)	± 3%	49%	44%	2%	4%
Saint Anselm College	Jun 13–16, 2020	1,072 (RV)	± 3%	46%	43%	2%	8%
Saint Anselm College	Apr 23–27, 2020	820 (RV)	± 3.4%	49%	42%	3%	6%

Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Democratic	Jeanne Shaheen (incumbent)	450,778	56.63%	+5.17%
	Republican	Bryant "Corky" Messner	326,229	40.99%	-7.22%
	Libertarian	Justin O'Donnell	18,421	2.32%	N/A
	Write-in		486	0.06%	–0.27%
Total votes			795,914	100.0%
	Democratic hold