2024_United_States_Senate_election_in_Virginia

2024 United States Senate election in Virginia

2024 United States Senate election in Virginia

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The 2024 United States Senate election in Virginia will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Virginia. Incumbent Democratic Senator Tim Kaine is running for re-election to a third term in office. Kaine was re-elected with 57.0% of the vote in 2018. Primary elections will take place on June 18, 2024.[1]

For related races, see 2024 United States Senate elections.

Quick Facts Nominee, Party ...

Background

Virginia is considered to be a moderately blue state at the federal level, with Joe Biden carrying Virginia by about 10 percentage points in the 2020 presidential election. Democrats control both U.S. Senate seats, a majority in its U.S. representative congressional delegation, and both houses of the Virginia General Assembly. However, Republicans flipped all three statewide constitutional offices in the 2021 elections.[2][3][4]

Kaine was first elected in 2012 by 6 points, defeating former U.S. Senator George Allen, and won re-election in 2018 by 16 points.[5][6]

This race is considered to be clearly favoring Kaine as he is popular amongst Virginian voters and typically over-performs other down-ballot candidates.[7]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Endorsements

Tim Kaine
U.S representatives
Individuals
Organizations
Labor unions

Fundraising

More information Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023, Candidate ...

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Endorsements

Hung Cao
Individuals
Jonathan Emord
U.S. representatives
Scott Parkinson
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
Individuals
Organizations

Fundraising

More information Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023, Candidate ...

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...

General election

Predictions

More information Source, Ranking ...

Polling

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Hypothetical polling
Tim Kaine vs. Glenn Youngkin

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...

Notes

  1. $528,167 of this total was self-funded by Emord
  2. Did not file for Q4
  3. $10,000 of this total was self-funded by Vitiello
  4. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  5. None/Would not vote with 2%, other with 1%
  6. None/Would not vote with 5%, other with 5%

References

  1. [1]
    "2024 State Primary Election Dates". www.ncsl.org. Retrieved May 13, 2023.
  2. [2]
    "Live election results: 2020 Virginia results". www.politico.com. Retrieved April 20, 2023.
  3. [3]
    Oliver, Ned (March 3, 2021). "Democrats have controlled Virginia government for two years. Here's what they've done". Virginia Mercury. Retrieved April 20, 2023.
  4. [4]
    "GOP sweeps statewide races with 2 down-ballot wins". AP NEWS. November 2, 2021. Retrieved April 20, 2023.
  5. [5]
    "Virginia Elections Database » 2012 U.S. Senate General Election". Virginia Elections Database. Retrieved April 20, 2023.
  6. [6]
    "Virginia | Full Senate results". www.cnn.com. Retrieved April 20, 2023.
  7. [7]
    Flynn, Meagan; Vozzella, Laura (January 20, 2023). "Va. Sen. Tim Kaine says he will seek another term". The Washington Post. Retrieved January 20, 2023.
  8. [8]
    "GIFFORDS PAC Endorses Senator Tim Kaine for Reelection". Giffords. February 22, 2024. Retrieved February 26, 2024.
  9. [9]
    "NextGen PAC Endorses Senator Tim Kaine Ahead of 2024 Elections". NextGen America PAC. May 10, 2023. Retrieved May 10, 2023.
  10. [10]
    "2024 – Feminist Majority PAC". feministmajoritypac.org. Retrieved February 9, 2024.
  11. [11]
    "Presenting the official Spring 2024 Harvard Dems Endorsement Results! Congratulations to all who were endorsed! 🫶🏻✨". www.instagram.com. Retrieved February 8, 2024.
  12. [12]
    "2024 Endorsements". 2024 Endorsements. Retrieved March 25, 2024.
  13. [13]
    "Meet JAC's 2024 Candidates | Joint Action Committee for Political Affairs". jacpac.org. Archived from the original on September 1, 2023. Retrieved September 1, 2023.
  14. [14]
    "Tim Kaine". JStreetPAC. October 16, 2023. Retrieved August 26, 2023.
  15. [15]
    "LCV Action Fund Announces First Round of Congressional Endorsements". League of Conservation Voters. Retrieved July 27, 2023.
  16. [16]
    NCPSSM. "National Seniors' Advocacy Group Endorses Sen. Tim Kaine for Re-Election". NCPSSM. Retrieved January 5, 2024.
  17. [17]
    Dison, Denis (September 20, 2023). "NRDC Action Fund Endorses 51 House, Senate Incumbents". NRDC Action Fund. Retrieved September 20, 2023.
  18. [18]
    "2024 Endorsements". Population Connection Action Fund. Retrieved August 25, 2023.
  19. [19]
    "2024 Endorsements | Sierra Club Independent Action". www.sierraclubindependentaction.org. Retrieved January 14, 2024.
  20. [20]
    "Virginia - COMPAC Endorsements". United Mine Workers of America. Retrieved April 2, 2024.
  21. [21]
    "2024 Election United States Senate - Virginia". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved August 11, 2023.
  22. [22]
    Minock, Nick (July 18, 2023). "Hung Cao launches website and files paperwork to run for 2024 US Senate race in Virginia". WJLA.com.
  23. [23]
    Churchill, Victoria (January 31, 2023). "Constitutional Litigator Jonathan Emord Announces U.S. Senate Run". The Republican Standard. Retrieved January 31, 2023.
  24. [24]
    Rankin, Sarah (January 20, 2023). "Democratic Sen. Tim Kaine of Virginia to seek reelection". AP News. Archived from the original on January 20, 2023. Retrieved April 21, 2023.
  25. [25]
    Rankin, Sarah (April 3, 2023). "Scott Parkinson runs for Tim Kaine's seat". The Virginia Pilot. Archived from the original on April 3, 2023.
  26. [26]
    Martz, Michael (August 5, 2023). "Meet the 8 Republicans (and counting) who want to unseat Sen. Tim Kaine". Richmond Times-Dispatch. Retrieved August 26, 2023.
  27. [27]
    "A true patriot's endosement". PoliticalEmails. Archived from the original on February 23, 2024. Retrieved February 22, 2024.
  28. [28]
    "U.S. SENATE CANDIDATE JONATHAN EMORD RECEIVES THE ENDORSEMENTS OF RON PAUL AND BARRY GOLDWATER, JR". FOX 59. March 14, 2023. Retrieved March 15, 2023.
  29. [29]
    Johnson, Julia (May 2023). "Tim Kaine GOP challenger holds fundraiser with Trump and DeSantis supporters alike". Washington Examiner. Retrieved January 13, 2024.
  30. [30]
    Hazard, Charlotte. "Ex-DeSantis Hill staffer runs for U.S. Senate, says pandemic was his call for change". Just the News. Retrieved January 13, 2024.
  31. [31]
    Shipley, Jonathan (May 31, 2023). "Former Baraboo resident eyes Virginia Senate". News Republic. Retrieved January 13, 2024.
  32. [32]
    Martz, Michael (February 2, 2024). "Here's how much money Sen. Tim Kaine has raised in bid for new term". Richmond Times Dispatch. Retrieved April 21, 2024.
  33. [33]
    "David N. Bossie and Citizens United Political Victory Fund Endorse Scott Parkinson for U.S. Senate from Virginia". cupvf.com. April 24, 2023. Retrieved May 1, 2023.
  34. [34]
    "Candidates & Referendums June 18, 2024 Primary Elections". elections.Virginia.Gov. April 15, 2024.
  35. [35]
    "2024 Senate Race ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 25, 2023.
  36. [36]
    "Election Ratings". Elections Daily. August 1, 2023. Retrieved August 2, 2023.
  37. [37]
    "Senate Ratings". Inside Elections. January 6, 2023. Retrieved January 10, 2023.
  38. [38]
    "2024 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. January 24, 2023. Retrieved February 13, 2023.
  39. [39]
    "'24 Senate Forecast". CNalysis. Retrieved November 21, 2023.
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