2024_United_States_presidential_election_in_Georgia

2024 United States presidential election in Georgia

2024 United States presidential election in Georgia

Election in Georgia


The 2024 United States presidential election in Georgia is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Georgia voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Georgia has 16 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which it neither gained nor lost a seat.[1] Georgia is considered to be a crucial swing state in 2024.[2]

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Despite being located in the conservative Bible Belt and Deep South regions, Georgia has become competitive since the start of the 2020s and is considered as purple to slightly red state today, after having been a moderately red state in the late 2000s going through the 2010s. The last Republican presidential candidate to win Georgia by double digits, and the only one to win the state more than once, was fellow Southerner George W. Bush. This leftward shift is mainly attributed to the rapid population growth that the progressive and diverse Atlanta metro, which holds much of the state's population, has experienced in the 21st century, including an influx of African Americans, Asian Americans, Latinos and progressive Whites. In 2020, Joe Biden very narrowly carried the state by 0.23%, making Georgia the closest state that election and making Biden the first Democrat since Southerner Bill Clinton in 1992 to win the state's electoral votes, and the first non-Southern Democrat to do so since John F. Kennedy in 1960.

Incumbent President Biden is running for reelection to a second term.[3] If he carries the state once more, he will become the first Democratic presidential candidate since favorite son Jimmy Carter in 1980 to carry the state in two consecutive presidential elections. This race is considered to be a tossup given the state's nearly even partisan lean, however, most polls show Trump to be the favorite to win. Attorney Robert F. Kennedy Jr. has gathered enough signatures to appear on the ballot, as he announced in late February.[4]

Primary elections

Democratic primary

The Georgia Democratic primary was held on March 12, 2024.[5]

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Republican primary

The Georgia Republican primary was held on March 12, 2024.[7]

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General election

Predictions

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Polling

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
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Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
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Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
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Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West
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Hypothetical polling
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
Gavin Newsom vs. Donald Trump
Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley
Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis
Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Joe Biden vs. Mike Pence
Joe Biden vs. generic Republican

See also

Notes

  1. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. No Labels candidate
  3. "Someone else" with 10%
Partisan clients
  1. Poll sponsored by The Heritage Foundation
  2. Poll sponsored by Citizens to Save Our Republic PAC
  3. Poll sponsored by Hardworking Americans PAC
  4. Poll conducted for the John Bolton Super PAC
  5. Poll sponsored by Trump's campaign

References

  1. Wang, Hansi; Jin, Connie; Levitt, Zach (April 26, 2021). "Here's How The 1st 2020 Census Results Changed Electoral College, House Seats". NPR. Archived from the original on August 19, 2021. Retrieved August 20, 2021.
  2. Gellman, Barton (July 29, 2022). "How Six States Could Overturn the 2024 Election". The Atlantic. Retrieved August 6, 2022.
  3. "Georgia Democratic Delegation 2024". www.thegreenpapers.com. Retrieved May 5, 2023.
  4. "2024 PRES PREF PRIMARY ELECTIO". Varun's Live Election Maps. Retrieved March 12, 2024.
  5. "Georgia Republican Delegation 2024". www.thegreenpapers.com. Retrieved May 5, 2023.
  6. "Georgia Presidential Primary". The AP. Retrieved April 5, 2024.
  7. "2024 CPR Electoral College Ratings". cookpolitical.com. Cook Political Report. December 19, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
  8. "Presidential Ratings". insideelections.com. Inside Elections. April 26, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
  9. "2024 Electoral College ratings". centerforpolitics.org. University of Virginia Center for Politics. June 29, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
  10. "2024 presidential predictions". elections2024.thehill.com/. The Hill. December 14, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
  11. "2024 Presidential Forecast". projects.cnalysis.com/. CNalysis. December 30, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.

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