2020_United_States_Senate_election_in_South_Carolina

2020 United States Senate election in South Carolina
	Graham: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90%; Harrison: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90%; Tie: 40–50%; No data
U.S. senator before election; Lindsey Graham; Republican	Elected U.S. Senator ; Lindsey Graham; Republican

2020 United States Senate election in South Carolina

Election

The 2020 United States Senate election in South Carolina was held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of South Carolina, concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

Quick Facts Nominee, Party ...

Incumbent Republican Senator Lindsey Graham won re-election for a fourth term and defeated Democratic nominee Jaime Harrison. Bill Bledsoe was also on the ballot, representing the Constitution Party. The primary elections were held on June 9, 2020.^[1]

Despite forecasting throughout the last few months of the race showing a very close race as well as Harrison having record fundraising numbers, Graham defeated Harrison by 54.4% to 44.2% and a margin of 10.2% in the November 3, 2020 general election. Harrison slightly outperformed Democratic nominee Joe Biden in the concurrent presidential election, who lost to President Donald Trump by 11.7% in South Carolina.^[2] The election coincidentally saw Graham and his Democratic opponent win approximately the same percentage points as in the 2002 senate race, in which Graham won his first term.

Notes

Partisan clients

This poll was sponsored by Harrison's campaign
This poll's sponsor, Lindsey Must Go, is a PAC opposing Lindsey Graham.
Poll sponsored by the DSCC, which has endorsed Jaime Harrison's campaign for the 2020 US Senate election in South Carolina before this poll's sampling period.
This poll's sponsor, Giffords, had endorsed Harrison prior to the sampling period
Poll sponsor is a Security in Strength PAC, a super PAC that supported Lindsey Graham during this poll's sampling period.
Poll sponsor, Collective PAC, had endorsed Harrison prior to this poll's sampling period.
Poll sponsored by Conservatives for Clean Energy

Voter samples

Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear
Warren with 3%; Kandies with 1%; Burns, Hill, Reynolds and Wilson with 0%
Would not vote with 2%
"Third party candidate" with 2%; "Refused" with 0%; Undecided with 6%
Bledsoe (C) with 4%; "Other candidate/write-in" with 1%
Archived November 13, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
Bledsoe (C) with 2%
Bledsoe (C) with 3%; "Other candidate or write-in" with 0%; Undecided with 5%
Bledsoe (C) and Undecided with 3%
"Refused" with 1%; Did/would not vote with 0%; Undecided with 2%
Bledsoe (C) with 3%; "Other" with 0%; "Undecided/Refused" with 5%
Archived October 15, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
Bledsoe (C) with 4%; would not vote with 2%; "Someone else" with 0%; "Undecided/Refused" with 8%
"Write-in candidate" with 1%; Undecided with 6%
Bledsoe (C) with 3%; Undecided with 5%
Bledsoe (C) with 3%
Standard VI response
Bledsoe (C) with 2%; Undecided with 9%
If the only candidates were Graham and Harrison
Undecided with 7%
"Someone else" with 0%; Undecided with 3%
"Someone else" with 2%; Undecided with 9%
Bledsoe (C) with 5%; "Other" with 1%; Undecided with 7%
Overlapping sample with the previous Morning Consult poll, but more information available regarding sample size
Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight
Undecided with 2%; would not vote with 1%; Undecided with 9%
Overlapping sample with the previous Morning Consult poll, but more information available regarding sample size and topline numbers
"Someone else" with 4%; Undecided with 8%
Undecided with 8%
"Other" with 1%; Undecided with 5%
Dunham (L) with 4%; Bledsoe (C) with 3%; Other with 1%; Undecided with 8%
"Someone else" with 10%; Undecided with 6%
Likely primary voters
Undecided with 6%
Undecided with 5%

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[Harrison-130] This poll was sponsored by Harrison's campaign

[lindseymustgo-135] This poll's sponsor, Lindsey Must Go, is a PAC opposing Lindsey Graham.

[137] Poll sponsored by the DSCC, which has endorsed Jaime Harrison's campaign for the 2020 US Senate election in South Carolina before this poll's sampling period.

[151] This poll's sponsor, Giffords, had endorsed Harrison prior to the sampling period

[156] Poll sponsor is a Security in Strength PAC, a super PAC that supported Lindsey Graham during this poll's sampling period.

[157] Poll sponsor, Collective PAC, had endorsed Harrison prior to this poll's sampling period.

[CCE-158] Poll sponsored by Conservatives for Clean Energy

[Key-23] Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear

[24] Warren with 3%; Kandies with 1%; Burns, Hill, Reynolds and Wilson with 0%

[25] Would not vote with 2%

[123] "Third party candidate" with 2%; "Refused" with 0%; Undecided with 6%

[124] Bledsoe (C) with 4%; "Other candidate/write-in" with 1%

[125] Archived November 13, 2020, at the Wayback Machine

[126] Bledsoe (C) with 2%

[127] Bledsoe (C) with 3%; "Other candidate or write-in" with 0%; Undecided with 5%

[128] Bledsoe (C) and Undecided with 3%

[129] "Refused" with 1%; Did/would not vote with 0%; Undecided with 2%

[131] Bledsoe (C) with 3%; "Other" with 0%; "Undecided/Refused" with 5%

[132] Archived October 15, 2020, at the Wayback Machine

[133] Bledsoe (C) with 4%; would not vote with 2%; "Someone else" with 0%; "Undecided/Refused" with 8%

[134] "Write-in candidate" with 1%; Undecided with 6%

[136] Bledsoe (C) with 3%; Undecided with 5%

[138] Bledsoe (C) with 3%

[139] Standard VI response

[140] Bledsoe (C) with 2%; Undecided with 9%

[141] If the only candidates were Graham and Harrison

[142] Undecided with 7%

[SE0U3-143] "Someone else" with 0%; Undecided with 3%

[144] "Someone else" with 2%; Undecided with 9%

[145] Bledsoe (C) with 5%; "Other" with 1%; Undecided with 7%

[prevMorn-146] Overlapping sample with the previous Morning Consult poll, but more information available regarding sample size

[147] Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight

[148] Undecided with 2%; would not vote with 1%; Undecided with 9%

[149] Overlapping sample with the previous Morning Consult poll, but more information available regarding sample size and topline numbers

[150] "Someone else" with 4%; Undecided with 8%

[152] Undecided with 8%

[153] "Other" with 1%; Undecided with 5%

[154] Dunham (L) with 4%; Bledsoe (C) with 3%; Other with 1%; Undecided with 8%

[155] "Someone else" with 10%; Undecided with 6%

[159] Likely primary voters

[160] Undecided with 6%

[161] Undecided with 5%

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Norrell, Mandy [@MPowersNorrell] (February 21, 2019). "Thank you!!! I actually have no plans to run for US Senate, so that eliminates that concern, but what a sign of a healthy party it would be if we were to have a robust primary! I am so excited about the caliber of candidate we have in @harrisonjaime ! He will be amazing!" (Tweet). Retrieved June 30, 2019 – via Twitter.

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Biden, Joe [@JoeBiden] (May 30, 2019). "South Carolina would be lucky to have @harrisonjaime representing them in the Senate. He has the character, intelligence, and integrity needed to serve his community well. I hope you'll #JoinJaime" (Tweet). Retrieved May 30, 2019 – via Twitter.

[auto18-39] [36]
Castro, Julian [@JulianCastro] (May 29, 2019). "South Carolinians will have a fantastic candidate for Senate in @harrisonjaime. I look forward to joining you on the trail and to making history next November. #JoinJaime" (Tweet). Retrieved May 29, 2019 – via Twitter.

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@KamalaHarris (June 11, 2019). "My friend @harrisonjaime has been an advocate for all people throughout his career and now he's running for U.S. Senate! I enjoyed seeing him this weekend and hope you'll check out his announcement video below" (Tweet) – via Twitter.

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Booker, Cory [@CoryBooker] (May 29, 2019). "Jaime, I am so incredibly proud of you. We've known each other for more than two decades. I have admired your dedication to community, to meeting people where they are. I know your heart ... and I know you will make a great U.S. Senator. #JoinJaime" (Tweet). Retrieved May 29, 2019 – via Twitter.

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Jaime Harrison [@harrisonjaime] (May 29, 2019). "I may not be a superhero, but I am a proud South Carolinian, and I'm ready to fight for a better future for our state and our country. I hope you are, too. Find out how you can #JoinJaime and get involved: https://jaimeharrison.com/" (Tweet) – via Twitter.

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Boxer, Barbara [@BarbaraBoxer] (May 30, 2019). "Jaime Harrison, @harrisonjaime, is ready -- ready to challenge Lindsey Graham for Senate in South Carolina, and ready to represent South Carolinians instead of the guy in the White House" (Tweet). Retrieved May 30, 2019 – via Twitter.

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Swalwell, Eric [@ericswalwell] (May 13, 2019). "Thank u, next. We are going to call it a day for @LindseyGrahamSC and elect @harrisonjaime as the next senator from #SouthCarolina" (Tweet). Retrieved May 12, 2019 – via Twitter.

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@thehill (September 19, 2020). "Rep. @AOC: "Jamie Harrison is going up against Lindsey Graham, one of the most spineless people in the Senate that…" (Tweet). Retrieved October 25, 2020 – via Twitter.

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Delaney, John [@JohnDelaney] (May 30, 2019). "Glad to see @harrisonjaime officially enter the race. The people of South Carolina are lucky to have you on their side. Proud to support you in this fight! #JoinJaime" (Tweet). Retrieved May 30, 2019 – via Twitter.

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Perriello, Tom [@tomperriello] (May 29, 2019). "The SC Senate race is officially one to watch now. I've known @harrisonjaime since college and have been blown away by his tireless dedication to and effectiveness at getting things done on the Hill for folks back home in SC" (Tweet). Retrieved May 30, 2019 – via Twitter.

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Ryan, Tim [@TimRyan] (May 30, 2019). "Jamie and I have been in a political foxhole many times when we were in the majority in 2007-11. He is exactly who we need in the Senate taking on the issues that are important to all the forgotten people in America" (Tweet). Retrieved May 30, 2019 – via Twitter.

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Walsh, Joe [@WalshFreedom] (May 14, 2020). "Damn pathetic Lindsey. I'm not a Democrat, but Lindsey Graham needs to go. He's nothing but a Trump enabler. Support Lindsey's Democratic opponent, @harrisonjaime" (Tweet). Retrieved May 19, 2020 – via Twitter.

[auto40-53] [50]
Bullock, Steve [@GovernorBullock] (May 30, 2019). "If we're going to take back this country, we've got to support folks who take on the corrupt system to make change in places others may not expect. South Carolina is lucky to have @harrisonjaime at the ready to #SendLindseyHome!" (Tweet). Retrieved May 30, 2019 – via Twitter.

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Grimes, Alison [@AlisonForKY] (May 30, 2019). "Proud to support my friend, @harrisonjaime! It's time for @LindseyGrahamSC to go! RT to to send that message & #JoinJaime!" (Tweet). Retrieved May 31, 2019 – via Twitter.

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Pepper, David [@DavidPepper] (May 31, 2019). "I just gave to @harrisonjaime -- you should too! @LindseyGrahamSC needs to go, and Jaime will bring inspired leadership to the Senate--which both South Carolina and America desperately need" (Tweet). Retrieved May 31, 2019 – via Twitter.

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de Blasio, Bill [@BilldeBlasio] (May 30, 2019). ".@harrisonjaime is much needed shakeup to the status quo who will deliver real change for working people! #JoinJaime" (Tweet). Retrieved May 29, 2019 – via Twitter.

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Gillum, Andrew [@AndrewGillum] (February 8, 2019). "Sign me up, @harrisonjaime! Ready to send you to the U.S. Senate! 👊🏾" (Tweet). Retrieved February 9, 2019 – via Twitter.

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Adler, Charlie [@charlie_adler] (April 1, 2020). "I wouldn't send you or your disgusting campaign a dime if you were shooting gold ingots out of your ass ! @harrisonjaime #VoteJaimeHarrison #GetLindseyGrahamOutOfOffice #VoteBlueToEndThisNightmare" (Tweet). Retrieved April 1, 2020 – via Twitter.

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Bryce, Randy [@IronStache] (May 29, 2019). "Go get 'em @harrisonjaime!" (Tweet). Retrieved May 30, 2019 – via Twitter.

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Hamill, Mark [@HamillHimself] (June 2, 2019). "Dear Jamie- If you can #SendLindsayHome, I'll give you a MILLION likes & you'll be my 2nd favorite Harrison. Your potential new #FanBoy, Mar🐫 #FORCEHimOuttaTheSenate" (Tweet). Retrieved June 2, 2019 – via Twitter.

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Handler, Chelsea [@chelseahandler] (June 2, 2019). "Let's replace Lindsey Graham with this guy @harrisonjaime. He's running in South Carolina" (Tweet). Retrieved June 2, 2019 – via Twitter.

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Hirsch, Alex [@_AlexHirsch] (June 6, 2020). "Lindsey Graham once called Trump a "race-baiting xenophobic bigot"- until Trump was elected & Graham became his lackey. DONATE to Jaime Harrison to defeat Graham and TAKE BACK THE SENATE!" (Tweet). Retrieved June 7, 2020 – via Twitter.

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Lassner, Andy [@andylassner] (May 29, 2019). "I've already donated twice to @harrisonjaime because it's time to #SendLindseyHome" (Tweet). Retrieved May 29, 2019 – via Twitter.

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Lynch, Jane [@janemarielynch] (May 30, 2019). "👇This guy, @harrisonjaime and people like him will bring back honor and dignity to a badly damaged congress. He'll also send @LindseyGrahamSC tush back home. South Carolina must be so proud to call @harrisonjaime their very own!" (Tweet). Retrieved May 30, 2019 – via Twitter.

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Obeidallah, Dean [@DeanObeidallah] (May 30, 2019). "Look forward to speaking with @harrisonjaime on my @SXMProgress show tonight. He's the Democrat running against Senator Lindsey Graham in South Carolina and we need to support Jaime in this race! He will be on 7:05PMET on @SIRIUSXM channel 127" (Tweet). Retrieved May 30, 2019 – via Twitter.

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Rhimes, Shonda [@shondarhimes] (May 30, 2019). "I'm not from South Carolina. But if you need a burst of inspiration and reminder of what politics should be about, watch this video from @harrisonjaime who is challenging Lindsay Graham. And if you ARE from South Carolina...?" (Tweet). Retrieved May 30, 2019 – via Twitter.

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"2020 Statewide General Election Night Reporting - U.S. Senate". South Carolina Election Commission. November 11, 2020. Retrieved November 11, 2020.

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Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Lindsey Graham (incumbent)	317,512	67.69%
	Republican	Michael LaPierre	79,932	17.04%
	Republican	Joe Reynolds	43,029	9.17%
	Republican	Dwayne "Duke" Buckner	28,570	6.09%
Total votes			469,043	100.00%

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report^[97]	Tossup	October 29, 2020
Inside Elections^[98]	Tilt R	October 28, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball^[99]	Lean R	November 2, 2020
Daily Kos^[100]	Lean R	October 30, 2020
Politico^[101]	Lean R	November 2, 2020
RCP^[102]	Tossup	October 23, 2020
DDHQ^[103]	Lean R	November 3, 2020
538^[104]	Likely R	November 2, 2020
Economist^[105]	Lean R	November 2, 2020

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 1]}	Margin of error	Lindsey Graham (R)	Jaime Harrison (D)	Other / Undecided
Optimus	October 31 – November 2, 2020	817 (LV)	± 3.9%	51%	41%	7%^{[lower-alpha 4]}
Data For Progress	October 27 – November 1, 2020	1,121 (LV)	± 2.9%	49%	46%	5%^{[lower-alpha 5]}
Swayable Archived November 13, 2020, at the Wayback Machine^{[lower-alpha 6]}	October 23 – November 1, 2020	416 (LV)	± 7.5%	46%	52%	2%^{[lower-alpha 7]}
Morning Consult	October 22–31, 2020	904 (LV)	± 3%	46%	44%	–
Data for Progress	October 22–27, 2020	1,196 (LV)	± 2.8%	46%	46%	8%^{[lower-alpha 8]}
Starboard Communications	October 26, 2020	800 (LV)	–	52%	43%	6%^{[lower-alpha 9]}
East Carolina University	October 24–25, 2020	763 (LV)	± 4.1%	49%	47%	3%^{[lower-alpha 10]}
Morning Consult	October 11–20, 2020	926 (LV)	± 3.2%	45%	47%	–
Brilliant Corners Research & Strategies (D)^{[upper-alpha 1]}	October 11–16, 2020	525 (LV)	± 4.6%	45%	47%	8%^{[lower-alpha 11]}
Siena College/NYT Upshot Archived October 15, 2020, at the Wayback Machine^{[lower-alpha 12]}	October 9–14, 2020	605 (LV)	± 3.5%	46%	40%	14%^{[lower-alpha 13]}
Data for Progress	October 8–11, 2020	801 (LV)	± 3.5%	46%	47%	7%^{[lower-alpha 14]}
Morning Consult	October 2–11, 2020	903 (LV)	± 3%	48%	42%	–
ALG Research (D) Archived October 19, 2020, at the Wayback Machine^{[upper-alpha 2]}	September 29 – October 5, 2020	711 (LV)	–	46%	46%	8%^{[lower-alpha 15]}
GBAO Strategies (D)^{[upper-alpha 3]}	September 24–28, 2020	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	47%	48%	3%^{[lower-alpha 16]}
Data for Progress (D)	September 23–28, 2020	824 (LV)	± 3.4%	45%^{[lower-alpha 17]}	44%	11%^{[lower-alpha 18]}
Data for Progress (D)	September 23–28, 2020	824 (LV)	± 3.4%	47%^{[lower-alpha 19]}	46%	7%^{[lower-alpha 20]}
Quinnipiac University	September 23–27, 2020	1,123 (LV)	± 2.9%	48%	48%	3%^{[lower-alpha 21]}
YouGov	September 22–25, 2020	1,080 (LV)	± 3.8%	45%	44%	11%^{[lower-alpha 22]}
Brilliant Corners Research & Strategies (D)^{[upper-alpha 1]}	September 21–24, 2020	608 (LV)	± 4%	43%	45%	13%^{[lower-alpha 23]}
Morning Consult	September 11–20, 2020	764 (LV)	± (3% – 4%)	46%^{[lower-alpha 24]}	45%	9%
Morning Consult	September 8–17, 2020	782 (LV)^{[lower-alpha 25]}	± (2% – 4%)	45%^{[lower-alpha 24]}	46%	–
Quinnipiac University	September 10–14, 2020	969 (LV)	± 3.2%	48%	48%	3%^{[lower-alpha 21]}
Morning Consult	September 2–11, 2020	~764 (LV)	± (3%-4%)	44%	46%	–
Morning Consult	August 23 – September 1, 2020	~764 (LV)	± (3%-4%)	46%	43%	–
Morning Consult	August 13–22, 2020	~764 (LV)	± (3%-4%)	45%	42%	–
Morning Consult	August 3–12, 2020	~764 (LV)	± (3%-4%)	45%	45%	–
Quinnipiac University	July 30 – August 3, 2020	914 (RV)	± 3.2%	44%	44%	12%^{[lower-alpha 26]}
Morning Consult	July 24 – August 2, 2020	741 (LV)	± 4.0%	44%^{[lower-alpha 27]}	43%	12%^{[lower-alpha 28]}
Morning Consult	July 23 – August 1, 2020	~764 (LV)	± (3%-4%)	44%	43%	–
Public Policy Polling (D)^{[upper-alpha 4]}	July 30–31, 2020	1,117 (V)	± 3.0%	47%	44%	8%^{[lower-alpha 29]}
Morning Consult	July 13–22, 2020	~764 (LV)	± (3%-4%)	46%	42%	–
ALG Research (D) Archived July 28, 2020, at the Wayback Machine^{[upper-alpha 2]}	July 15–20, 2020	591 (LV)	–	49%	45%	6%^{[lower-alpha 30]}
Brilliant Corners Research & Strategies (D)^{[upper-alpha 1]}	July 13–19, 2020	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	43%	41%	16%^{[lower-alpha 31]}
Gravis Marketing	July 17, 2020	604 (LV)	± 4.0%	48%	41%	10%
Civiqs/Daily Kos	May 23–26, 2020	591 (RV)	± 4.5%	42%	42%	16%^{[lower-alpha 32]}
Brilliant Corners Research & Strategies (D)^{[upper-alpha 1]}	March 3–11, 2020	804 (LV)	± 3.8%	47%	43%	9%
NBC News/Marist	February 18–21, 2020	2,382 (RV)	± 2.6%	54%	37%	9%
East Carolina University	January 31 – February 2, 2020	1,756 (RV)	± 2.7%	51%	38%	11%
Change Research	December 6–11, 2019	998 (LV)	± 3.1%	47%	45%	9%
Benchmark Research (R)^{[upper-alpha 5]}	October 15–21, 2019	450 (RV)	± 4.2%	53%	30%	18%
Change Research (D)^{[upper-alpha 6]}	September 17–21, 2019	809 (LV)	± 3.4%	50%	43%	7%
Change Research	June 11–14, 2019	2,312 (RV)	± 2.0%	52%	35%	13%
WPA Intelligence (R)^{[upper-alpha 7]}	March 11–13, 2019	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	55%	32%	12%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 1]}	Margin of error	Yes	No	Other / Undecided
Change Research/Post and Courier	December 6–11, 2019	998 (LV)^{[lower-alpha 33]}	± 3.1%	37%	53%	10%
Emerson College	Feb 28-Mar 2, 2019	755 (RV)	± 3.5%	47%	52%	1%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 1]}	Margin of error	Generic Republican	Generic Democrat	Other / Undecided
Quinnipiac University	September 23–27, 2020	1,123 (LV)	± 2.9%	49%	44%	6%^{[lower-alpha 34]}
Quinnipiac University	September 10–14, 2020	969 (LV)	± 3.2%	52%	44%	5%^{[lower-alpha 35]}

2020_United_States_Senate_election_in_South_Carolina

2020 United States Senate election in South Carolina

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Withdrew

Declined

Endorsements

Polling

Results

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Withdrawn

Declined

Endorsements

Other candidates

Libertarian Party

General Election write-in candidate

Withdrawn

Constitution Party

Independents

Withdrawn

General election

Predictions

Advertisements

Endorsements

Polling

Fundraising

Debates

Results

See also

Notes

References

Further reading

External links

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2020 United States senate election in South Carolina debates
No.	Date & Time	Host	Location	Moderator	Participants
Key: P Participant. N Non-invitee.					Republican	Democratic
Key: P Participant. N Non-invitee.					United States senator Lindsey Graham	Former SCDP chairman Jaime Harrison
1	October 3, 2020 8:00 p.m. EDT	Allen University	Columbia, South Carolina	Judi Gatson	P	P

Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Republican	Lindsey Graham (incumbent)	1,369,137	54.44%	+0.17%
	Democratic	Jaime Harrison	1,110,828	44.17%	+5.39%
	Constitution	Bill Bledsoe	32,845	1.30%	N/A
	Write-in		2,294	0.09%	-0.29%
Total votes			2,515,104	100.00%
	Republican hold