2020_United_States_presidential_election_in_Alabama

2020 United States presidential election in Alabama

2020 United States presidential election in Alabama

Election in Alabama


The 2020 United States presidential election in Alabama took place on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states and the District of Columbia participated.[1] Alabama voters chose nine electors[2] to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote pitting incumbent Republican President Donald Trump and his running mate, incumbent Vice President Mike Pence, against Democratic challenger and former Vice President Joe Biden and his running mate, United States Senator Kamala Harris of California. Also on the ballot was the Libertarian nominee, psychology lecturer Jo Jorgensen and her running mate, entrepreneur and podcaster Spike Cohen. Write-in candidates were permitted without registration, and their results were not individually counted.[3][4]

Quick Facts Turnout, Nominee ...

Prior to the election, all 14 news organizations making predictions considered this a state Trump would win, or otherwise a safe red state. Trump won the state with 62.03% of the vote to Biden's 36.57%.

Primary elections

The primary elections were held on Super Tuesday, March 3, 2020.

Republican primary

As one of the Super Tuesday states, little campaigning has been done here, and the focus had been on the highly competitive Republican senatorial primary, which was expected to boost turnout.[citation needed]

More information Candidate, Popular vote ...

Former Massachusetts Governor Bill Weld challenged incumbent president Donald Trump in the Republican primary in Alabama.[5] Trump received 96.22% of the vote[6] and all 50 delegates,[7] while Weld received only 1.52% of the vote. Uncommitted votes made up the other 2.27%.

Democratic primary

Biden won the Alabama primary with 63.28% of the vote, winning 44 delegates. Bernie Sanders came in second place with 16.54% of the vote, getting 8 delegates. No other candidates won any delegates from Alabama.

More information Candidate, Votes ...
Popular vote share by county
  Biden—40–50%
  Biden—50–60%
  Biden—60–70%
  Biden—70–80%

General election

Predictions

More information Source, Ranking ...

Polling

Graphical summary

Aggregate polls

More information Source of poll aggregation, Dates administered ...
Polls
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
More information Former candidates, Poll source ...
More information Hypothetical polling, Poll source ...

Fundraising

According to the Federal Election Commission, in 2019 and 2020, Donald Trump and his interest groups raised $4,412,645.01,[25] Joe Biden and his interest groups raised $2,412,420.93,[26] and Jo Jorgensen raised $8,172.29[27] from Alabama-based contributors.

Candidate ballot access

In addition, write-in candidates were allowed without registration, and their votes were not counted individually.[3][4]

Electoral slates

The voters of Alabama cast their ballots for electors, or representatives to the Electoral College, rather than directly for the President and Vice President. Alabama is allocated 9 electors because it has 7 congressional districts and 2 senators. All candidates who appear on the ballot or qualify to receive write-in votes must submit a list of 9 electors who pledge to vote for their candidate and their running mate. Whoever wins the most votes in the state is awarded all 9 electoral votes. Their chosen electors then vote for president and vice president. Although electors are pledged to their candidate and running mate, they are not obligated to vote for them. An elector who votes for someone other than their candidate is known as a faithless elector. In the state of Alabama, a faithless elector's vote is counted and not penalized.[28][29]

The electors of each state and the District of Columbia met on December 15, 2020, to cast their votes for president and vice president. All 9 pledged electors from Alabama cast their votes for President Donald Trump and Vice President Mike Pence. The Electoral College itself never meets as one body. Instead, the electors from each state and the District of Columbia met in their respective capitols. The electoral vote was tabulated and certified by Congress in a joint session on January 6, 2021 per the Electoral Count Act.

These electors were nominated by each party in order to vote in the Electoral College should their candidate win the state:[30][31][32]

Donald Trump and Mike Pence
Republican Party
Joe Biden and Kamala Harris
Democratic Party
Jo Jorgensen and Spike Cohen
Libertarian Party
Jacquelyn Gay
Jeana S. Boggs
Joseph R. Fuller
John H. Killian
J. Elbert Peters
Joan Reynolds
Rick Pate
Dennis H. Beavers
John Wahl
Brooke Tanner Battle
Linda Coleman-Madison
Earl Hilliard Jr.
Sigfredo Rubio
Lashunda Scales
James Box Spearman
Patricia Todd
Sheila Tyson
Ralph Young
Pascal Bruijn
Lorelei Koory
Shane A. Taylor
Jason Matthew Shelby
Elijah J. Boyd
Dennis J. Knizley
Laura Chancey Lane
Anthony G. Peebles
Franklin R. Dillman

Results

State senate district results:
More information Party, Candidate ...

Results by county

More information County, Donald Trump Republican ...

Results by congressional district

Trump won 6 of 7 congressional districts.[34] Trump's 81.2% in Alabama's 4th district was his best showing of any congressional district in the nation.

More information District, Trump ...

Analysis

A socially conservative Bible Belt state, Alabama has voted for the Republican candidate in every election since 1980 and has done so by double-digit margins in all of them except 1980, 1992, and 1996. Most analysts expected the state to be uncompetitive.

Biden only won Jefferson County and 12 counties in the Black Belt; Trump won all other counties.

This election coincided with the 2020 U.S. Senate election in Alabama, where incumbent Democrat Doug Jones – who was elected by a 21,924 vote margin in a 2017 special election – ran for a full six-year term but was defeated by Republican football coach Tommy Tuberville. Despite losing, Jones outperformed Biden by 5.1 percentage points.

Exit polls

Edison

The following are estimates from exit polls conducted by the Edison Research for the National Election Pool (encompassing ABC News, CBS News, CNN, and NBC News) interviewing 1,201 Alabama voters, adjusted to match the actual vote count.[35]

More information Edison exit polling), Demographic subgroup ...

Associated Press

The following are estimates from exit polls conducted by the University of Chicago for the Associated Press interviewing 1,905 likely voters in Alabama, adjusted to match the actual vote count.[37]

More information Associated Press exit polling), Demographic subgroup ...

See also

Notes

  1. Candidate withdrew after the New Hampshire primary when absentee voting had already begun.
  2. Candidate withdrew shortly before the primary when absentee voting had already begun.
  3. Candidate withdrew during the first days of the absentee voting period.
  4. CBS News' presidential election ratings uniquely do not contain a category for Safe/Solid races.
  5. NPR's presidential election ratings uniquely do not contain a category for Safe/Solid races.
  6. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  7. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  8. Overlapping sample with the previous SurveyMonkey/Axios poll, but more information available regarding sample size
  9. "Other candidate or write-in" with 0%
  10. "Refused" with 0%
  11. "Someone else" with 2%
  12. "Trump does not deserve to be re-elected" with 42% as opposed to "Trump deserves to be re-elected"
  13. Jorgensen and Cohen were nominated by the Libertarian Party of Alabama but placed on the ballot as independents because the party did not have ballot access.
Partisan clients
  1. Poll sponsored by Tommy Tuberville's campaign.
  2. The Consumer Energy Alliance is a pro-Keystone XL lobbying group
  3. Poll sponsored by Doug Jones' campaign

References

  1. Kelly, Ben (August 13, 2018). "US elections key dates: When are the 2018 midterms and the 2020 presidential campaign?". The Independent. Archived from the original on August 2, 2018. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
  2. "2020 November General Election Sample Ballot". Alabama Secretary of State. Archived from the original on September 20, 2020. Retrieved December 4, 2020.
  3. "Republican Party – Official 2020 Primary Election Results". Alabama.gov. Alabama Secretary of State. March 11, 2020. Archived from the original on March 29, 2020. Retrieved March 25, 2020.
  4. "Alabama Election Results 2020". PBS NewsHour. Retrieved March 26, 2020.
  5. "Democratic Party – Official 2020 Primary Election Results". Alabama.gov. Alabama Secretary of State. March 11, 2020. Archived from the original on March 29, 2020. Retrieved March 25, 2020.
  6. "Delegate Tracker". interactives.ap.org. Associated Press. Retrieved November 24, 2022.
  7. "2020 POTUS Race ratings" (PDF). The Cook Political Report. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  8. "POTUS Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  9. "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2020 President". crystalball.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  10. 2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College Predictions Archived April 23, 2020, at the Wayback Machine, Niskanen Center, March 24, 2020, retrieved: April 19, 2020.
  11. "Niskanen Center electoral college map". 270toWin. September 15, 2020. Retrieved December 19, 2020.
  12. David Chalian; Terence Burlij (June 11, 2020). "Road to 270: CNN's debut Electoral College map for 2020". CNN. Retrieved June 16, 2020.
  13. "Forecasting the US elections". The Economist. Retrieved July 7, 2020.
  14. "2020 Election Battleground Tracker". CBS News. July 12, 2020. Retrieved July 13, 2020.
  15. "ABC News Race Ratings". CBS News. July 24, 2020. Retrieved July 24, 2020.
  16. Montanaro, Domenico (August 3, 2020). "2020 Electoral Map Ratings: Trump Slides, Biden Advantage Expands Over 270 Votes". NPR.org. Retrieved August 3, 2020.
  17. "Biden dominates the electoral map, but here's how the race could tighten". NBC News. August 6, 2020. Retrieved August 6, 2020.
  18. "2020 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. August 12, 2020. Retrieved August 14, 2020.
  19. "Faithless Elector State Laws". FairVote. July 7, 2020. Retrieved December 9, 2020.
  20. "Certification of Dem Electors" (PDF). alabama.gov. Alabama Secretary of State. Retrieved December 8, 2020.
  21. "GOP Final Certification 8-27-2020" (PDF). alabama.gov. Alabama Secretary of State. Retrieved December 8, 2020.
  22. "State of Alabama: Canvass of Results" (PDF). November 23, 2020. Retrieved November 23, 2020.
  23. "Alabama 2020 President exit polls". CNN. Archived from the original on December 3, 2020. Retrieved March 26, 2021.

Further reading


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