2024_Basque_regional_election
The 2024 Basque regional election was held on Sunday, 21 April 2024, to elect the 13th Parliament of the Basque Autonomous Community. All 75 seats in the Parliament were up for election.
Quick Facts All 75 seats in the Basque Parliament 38 seats needed for a majority, Registered ...
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All 75 seats in the Basque Parliament 38 seats needed for a majority | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Opinion polls | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Registered | 1,795,206  0.0%[1] | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Turnout | 1,070,467 (59.6%)[lower-alpha 1]8.8 pp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Election result by constituency | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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This election was the first since 2009 not to see Iñigo Urkullu as the leading candidate of the Basque Nationalist Party (PNV), after the party chose to replace the incumbent Lehendakari by a low profile politician at the provincial level, Imanol Pradales, following 12 years of uninterrupted government. The main opposition, EH Bildu, also ran under a new candidate, Pello Otxandiano, amid speculation that long-time leader Arnaldo Otegi could have led the candidacy following the end of his disqualification to run for public office. All other parliamentary parties but Podemos and Vox also ran under new candidates: Eneko Andueza by the Socialist Party of the Basque Country–Basque Country Left (PSE–EE), Javier de Andrés by the People's Party (PP)—which the PP+Cs alliance being discontinued and Citizens (CS) renounced to contest the election—and Alba García by Sumar.
The results showed a close race between the PNV and EH Bildu, with the former slightly outperforming opinion polls but with the latter securing a large increase of its popular support. The PSE–EE, which had been the junior partner to the PNV-led government since 2016, saw an unexpected increase in support to secure its best result since 2012. The PP increased its seat totals by one compared to the PP+Cs results in 2020, whereas the dissolution of the Elkarrekin Podemos alliance saw Sumar clinging on to one seat and Podemos losing all its representation. Vox was able to retain its seat for Álava.
Electoral system
The Basque Parliament was the devolved, unicameral legislature of the autonomous community of the Basque Country, having legislative power in regional matters as defined by the Spanish Constitution and the Basque Statute of Autonomy, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a lehendakari.[2] Voting for the Parliament was on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprised all nationals over 18 years of age, registered in the Basque Country and in full enjoyment of their political rights. Amendments to the electoral law in 2022 abolished the "begged" or expat vote system (Spanish: Voto rogado), under which Spaniards abroad were required to apply for voting before being permitted to vote.[3] The expat vote system was attributed responsibility for a major decrease in the turnout of Spaniards abroad during the years it had been in force.[4]
The 75 members of the Basque Parliament were elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with an electoral threshold of three percent of valid votes—which included blank ballots—being applied in each constituency. Seats were allocated to constituencies, corresponding to the provinces of Álava, Biscay and Gipuzkoa, with each being allocated a fixed number of 25 seats in order to provide for an equal parliamentary representation of the three provinces, as required under the regional statute of autonomy.[2][5]
Election date
The term of the Basque Parliament expired four years after the date of its previous election, unless it was dissolved earlier. The election decree was required to be issued no later than the twenty-fifth day prior to the date of expiry of parliament and published on the following day in the Official Gazette of the Basque Country (BOPV), with election day taking place on the fifty-fourth day from publication. The previous election was held on 12 July 2020, which meant that the legislature's term would have expired on 12 July 2024. The election decree was required to be published in the BOPV no later than 18 June 2024 with the election taking place on the fifty-fourth day from publication, setting the latest possible election date for the Parliament on Sunday, 11 August 2024.[2][5]
The lehendakari had the prerogative to dissolve the Basque Parliament at any given time and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence was in process. In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a lehendakari within a sixty-day period from the Parliament re-assembly, the Parliament was to be dissolved and a fresh election called.[6]
Following the announcement by Galician president Alfonso Rueda of a snap election in Galicia for 18 February 2024,[7] Urkullu was asked whether he would follow suit and make both elections be held simultaneously—as it had been the case since 2009.[8] To this, he simply stated that "the Basque Country is not Galicia", distancing himself from Rueda's decision.[9] Instead, it was expected that the Basque election would most likely be held in March or April 2024, to allow for more time to approve a final set of bills in the Basque Parliament as well as to avoid a simultaneous call with the European Parliament election on 9 June.[10][11]
The Basque Parliament was officially dissolved on 27 February 2024 after the publication of the dissolution decree in the BOPV, setting the election date for 21 April.[12]
The table below shows the composition of the parliamentary groups in the Parliament at the time of dissolution.[13]
More information Groups, Parties ...
| Groups | Parties | Legislators | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | Total | ||||
| Basque Nationalists Parliamentary Group | EAJ/PNV | 31 | 31 | ||
| EH Bildu Parliamentary Group | EH Bildu | 21 | 21 | ||
| Basque Socialists Parliamentary Group | PSE–EE (PSOE) | 10 | 10 | ||
| Elkarrekin Podemos–IU Parliamentary Group | Podemos | 4 | 6 | ||
| EzAn–IU | 2 | ||||
| Basque People's Parliamentary Group[15] | PP | 5[lower-alpha 4] | 5 | ||
| Mixed Group | Vox | 1 | 2 | ||
| CS | 1 | ||||
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The electoral law allows for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, coalitions and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form a coalition ahead of an election are required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors need to secure the signature of at least one percent of the electorate in the constituencies for which they seek election, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list of candidates.[5][17]
Below is a list of the main parties and electoral alliances which will likely contest the election:
More information Candidacy, Parties and alliances ...
Close
The key dates are listed below (all times are CET):[5][17][28]
- 26 February: The election decree is issued with the countersign of the Lehendakari after deliberation in the Council of Government.[12]
- 27 February: Formal dissolution of the Basque Parliament and beginning of a suspension period of events for the inauguration of public works, services or projects.
- 1 March: Initial constitution of historical territory and zone electoral commissions.
- 8 March: Deadline for parties and federations intending to enter into a coalition to inform the relevant electoral commission.
- 18 March: Deadline for parties, federations, coalitions, and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates to the relevant electoral commission.
- 20 March: Submitted lists of candidates are provisionally published in the Official Gazette of the Basque Country (BOPV).
- 23 March: Deadline for citizens entered in the Register of Absent Electors Residing Abroad (CERA) and for citizens temporarily absent from Spain to apply for voting.
- 24 March: Deadline for parties, federations, coalitions, and groupings of electors to rectify irregularities in their lists.
- 25 March: Official proclamation of valid submitted lists of candidates.
- 26 March: Proclaimed lists are published in the BOPV.
- 5 April: Official start of electoral campaigning.[12]
- 11 April: Deadline to apply for postal voting.
- 16 April: Official start of legal ban on electoral opinion polling publication, dissemination or reproduction and deadline for CERA citizens to vote by mail.
- 17 April: Deadline for postal and temporarily absent voters to issue their votes.
- 19 April: Last day of official electoral campaigning and deadline for CERA citizens to vote in a ballot box in the relevant consular office or division.[12]
- 20 April: Official 24-hour ban on political campaigning prior to the general election (reflection day).
- 21 April: Polling day (polling stations open at 9 am and close at 8 pm or once voters present in a queue at/outside the polling station at 8 pm have cast their vote). Provisional counting of votes starts immediately.
- 26 April: General counting of votes, including the counting of CERA votes.
- 30 April: Deadline for the general counting of votes to be carried out by the relevant electoral commission.
- 11 May: Deadline for elected members to be proclaimed by the relevant electoral commission.
- 18 May: Final deadline for definitive results to be published in the BOPV.
Party slogans
More information Party or alliance, Original slogan ...
| Party or alliance | Original slogan | English translation | Ref. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EAJ/PNV | « Aukeratu Euskadi. Elige Bienestar » | "Choose the Basque Country. Choose wellbeing" | [29] | |
| EH Bildu | « Aldaketa da orain. El futuro en tus manos » | "The change is now. The future in your hands" | ||
| PSE–EE (PSOE) | « Vota al que decide. Erabakia zurea » | "Vote for the one who decides. The decision is yours" | [29] | |
| Podemos–AV | « Elige izquierda » | "Choose the left" | ||
| Sumar | « Es tu tiempo. Euskadi berria » | "It's your time. The new Basque Country" | [30] | |
| PP | « Por una Euskadi abierta/Euskadi ireki baten alde » | "For an open Basque Country" | [31] | |
| Vox | « Sabes que es verdad » | "You know it's true" | [32] | |
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Election debates
More information Date, Organisers ...
| Date | Organisers | Moderator(s) | P Present[lower-alpha 6] S Surrogate[lower-alpha 7] NI Not invited A Absent invitee | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PNV | EH Bildu | PSE–EE | Podemos | Sumar | PP | Vox | Audience | Ref. | |||
| 9 April | Coordinadora de ONGD de Euskadi |
Begoña Beristain | S Legarreta |
S Urrea |
S Gallastegi |
S Gorritxo |
S Martínez |
S Garrido |
NI | — | [33] |
| 9 April | RTVE | Xabier Fortes Teresa Aguiló |
S Díez |
S Kortajarena |
P Andueza |
S De Uralde |
P García |
P De Andrés |
P Martínez |
14.2% (83,000)[lower-alpha 8] |
[36] |
| 10 April | Cadena SER | Eva Domaika | S Díez |
S De Eguilaz |
S Jilete |
NI | NI | S López |
NI | — | [37] |
| 10 April | EITB[lower-alpha 9] | Nerea Reparaz | P Pradales |
P Otxandiano |
P Andueza |
P Gorrotxategi |
S Larrea |
S Garrido |
A | 4.0% | [38] [39] |
| 12 April | AMPEA | Eva Silván | S Melgosa |
S Etxebarrieta |
S Jilete |
S González |
S García |
S Garrido |
NI | — | [40] |
| 12 April | Cadena SER | Eva Domaika | S Díez |
S Rodriguez |
S Itxaso |
S Soto |
S Martínez |
S Morales |
A | — | [41] |
| 15 April | El Diario Vasco | Estrella Vallejo Javier Roldán |
P Pradales |
P Otxandiano |
P Andueza |
S Soto |
P García |
P De Andrés |
NI | — | [42] |
| 16 April | EITB | África Baeta Xabier García Ramsden |
P Pradales |
P Otxandiano |
P Andueza |
P Gorrotxategi |
P García |
P De Andrés |
P Martínez |
17.4% (86,000) |
[38] [43] |
| 17 April | UN Etxea EGK |
Iratxe Uriarte | S Díez |
S Del Valle |
S Blanco |
S Mestraitua |
S Alonso |
S Velasco |
NI | — | [44] [45] |
| 17 April | Cadena SER | Eva Domaika | S Olano |
S Rodriguez |
S Corcuera |
S Soto |
S Hernández |
S Gotxi |
A | — | [46] |
| 18 April | El Correo | Marta Madruga Olatz Barriuso |
P Pradales |
P Otxandiano |
P Andueza |
P Gorrotxategi |
P García |
P De Andrés |
P Martínez |
— | [47] |
| 19 April | Cadena SER | Jon Egaña | P Pradales |
P Otxandiano |
P Andueza |
P Gorrotxategi |
P García |
P De Andrés |
P Martínez |
— | [48] |
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The tables below list opinion polling results in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll.
Graphical summary
Local regression trend line of poll results from 12 July 2020 to 21 April 2024, with each line corresponding to a political party.
Voting intention estimates
The table below lists weighted voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 38 seats are required for an absolute majority in the Basque Parliament.
- Color key:
Poll conducted after legal ban on opinion polls
More information Polling firm/Commissioner, Fieldwork date ...
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | PNV |  |
 |
 |
 |
 |
 |
 |
 |
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 regional election | 21 Apr 2024 | — | 59.6 | 34.9 27 |
32.2 27 |
14.1 12 |
2.2 0 |
– | 2.0 1 |
9.1 7 |
– | 3.3 1 |
2.7 |
| Gizaker/EiTB[p 1][p 2] | 15–21 Apr 2024 | 3,608 | ? | 35.7 26/28 |
32.9 26/28 |
14.3 10/12 |
3.6 1/2 |
– | 1.6 0 |
8.4 7 |
– | 2.6 0/2 |
2.8 |
| Sigma Dos/El Mundo[p 3] | 13–20 Apr 2024 | 2,104 | ? | 34.2 26/28 |
33.4 27/29 |
13.7 10/11 |
3.0 0/2 |
– | 2.0 0/1 |
8.6 7/8 |
– | 3.6 1/3 |
0.8 |
| KeyData/Público[p 4] | 15 Apr 2024 | ? | 62.7 | 34.7 28 |
34.5 29 |
13.2 10 |
2.3 0 |
– | 1.8 0/1 |
8.5 6/7 |
– | 3.1 1 |
0.2 |
| Data10/OKDiario[p 5] | 14–15 Apr 2024 | 1,500 | 61 | 34.2 27 |
34.4 29 |
13.1 10 |
2.2 0 |
– | 2.3 1 |
8.4 7 |
– | 3.1 1 |
0.2 |
| SocioMétrica/El Español[p 6] | 10–14 Apr 2024 | 1,500 | ? | 33.9 27/28 |
34.8 28/29 |
13.5 10/11 |
2.3 0 |
– | 2.0 0/1 |
8.1 6/7 |
– | 3.4 0/3 |
0.9 |
| ElectoPanel/Crónica Vasca[p 7] | 27 Mar–13 Apr 2024 | 1,391 | ? | 34.7 28 |
34.1 29 |
12.9 10 |
2.8 0 |
– | 2.0 1 |
9.4 7 |
– | 2.9 0 |
0.6 |
| Target Point/El Debate[p 8] | 9–12 Apr 2024 | 1,001 | ? | 35.2 28/29 |
33.9 27/28 |
13.3 10/11 |
2.0 0 |
– | 1.7 0/1 |
8.3 7/8 |
– | 3.5 0/2 |
1.3 |
| DYM/Henneo[p 9] | 8–12 Apr 2024 | 1,221 | ? | 35.6 28/29 |
36.0 28/29 |
13.7 9/10 |
1.8 0/1 |
– | ? 0 |
9.6 7/8 |
– | 2.3 0/1 |
0.4 |
| NC Report/La Razón[p 10] | 8–12 Apr 2024 | 1,000 | 66.7 | 35.3 28/29 |
34.3 28/29 |
12.3 10 |
2.4 0 |
– | 1.9 0/1 |
8.8 7/8 |
– | 3.2 0/1 |
1.0 |
| GAD3/ABC[p 11] | 8–12 Apr 2024 | 800 | ? | 35.6 27/29 |
34.2 28/30 |
12.6 10 |
2.6 0/1 |
– | 2.2 0/1 |
7.5 6/7 |
– | 2.9 0/2 |
1.3 |
| Sigma Dos/El Mundo[p 12] | 1–12 Apr 2024 | 1,489 | ? | 34.8 26/28 |
34.1 28/30 |
13.6 10/11 |
2.0 0/1 |
– | 2.4 0/1 |
8.5 7/8 |
– | 3.3 0/2 |
0.7 |
| Hamalgama Métrica/VozPópuli[p 13] | 8–11 Apr 2024 | 1,000 | 66.1 | 34.8 28 |
33.9 29 |
12.5 10 |
2.3 0 |
– | 2.3 1 |
8.3 7 |
– | 2.9 0 |
0.9 |
| Gizaker/EiTB[p 14] | 5–11 Apr 2024 | 1,800 | 60.8 | 34.2 26/27 |
34.9 28/29 |
14.0 10/12 |
2.4 0 |
– | 1.5 0 |
7.7 7 |
– | 3.8 1/2 |
0.5 |
| 40dB/Prisa[p 15][p 16] | 5–10 Apr 2024 | 1,200 | ? | 34.5 27/28 |
35.4 28/31 |
13.4 10/11 |
2.3 0 |
– | 1.9 0/1 |
8.2 6/7 |
– | 2.2 0 |
0.9 |
| Simple Lógica/elDiario.es[p 17] | 3–10 Apr 2024 | 946 | 56.0 | 33.8 27/28 |
34.4 28/29 |
12.8 9/10 |
3.0 0/1 |
– | 2.0 0 |
7.8 6/7 |
– | 3.6 2/3 |
0.6 |
| Celeste-Tel/Onda Cero[p 18] | 4–9 Apr 2024 | 1,100 | 65.2 | 35.5 28 |
33.9 29 |
13.2 10 |
1.9 0 |
– | 1.8 0 |
8.4 7 |
– | 3.0 1 |
1.6 |
| CIS[p 19][p 20] | 4–8 Apr 2024 | 4,025 | ? | 32.6– 33.5 |
34.2– 35.1 |
13.3– 14.1 |
3.1– 3.2 |
– | 2.7– 3.0 |
6.7– 7.0 |
– | 3.1– 3.6 |
1.6 |
| Data10/OKDiario[p 21] | 5–6 Apr 2024 | 1,500 | ? | 33.7 27 |
33.6 28 |
13.2 10 |
2.7 1 |
– | 2.2 1 |
8.7 7 |
– | 3.2 1 |
0.1 |
| GAD3/Mediaset[p 22][p 23] | 1–5 Apr 2024 | 800 | ? | 35.8 28/29 |
34.2 28/30 |
14.2 10/12 |
2.4 0 |
– | ? 0 |
7.8 6/7 |
– | ? 0 |
1.6 |
| Ikerfel/El Diario Vasco[p 24] | 26 Mar–5 Apr 2024 | 2,400 | 63.2 | 33.8 27 |
34.2 27/28 |
13.3 10/11 |
2.6 0 |
– | 2.1 0/1 |
8.6 6/7 |
– | 3.8 3 |
0.5 |
| NC Report/La Razón[p 25] | 25 Mar–5 Apr 2024 | 1,000 | 62.6 | 35.9 28/29 |
33.0 27/28 |
13.0 10 |
2.8 0 |
– | 1.7 0/1 |
8.6 8 |
– | 3.0 0/1 |
2.9 |
| KeyData/Público[p 26] | 4 Apr 2024 | ? | 61.6 | 35.3 28/29 |
33.2 29 |
13.3 10 |
2.5 0 |
– | 1.9 0/1 |
8.7 7 |
– | 3.0 0/1 |
2.1 |
| Sigma Dos/El Mundo[p 27] | 18 Mar–4 Apr 2024 | 2,089 | ? | 35.0 28 |
32.6 26/28 |
13.4 10/11 |
2.0 0 |
– | 2.1 0 |
9.8 7/8 |
– | 3.6 1/3 |
2.4 |
| Sigma Dos/El Mundo[p 28] | 18–26 Mar 2024 | 1,798 | ? | 34.8 27/28 |
32.9 26/27 |
13.3 10/11 |
2.9 0/1 |
– | 1.8 0 |
10.0 7/10 |
– | 3.2 0/2 |
1.9 |
| ElectoPanel/Crónica Vasca[p 29] | 1–26 Mar 2024 | 1,391 | ? | 34.1 28 |
33.9 28 |
12.4 10 |
2.6 0 |
– | 2.3 1 |
8.6 7 |
– | 3.2 1 |
0.2 |
| CIS (SocioMétrica)[lower-alpha 10][49] | 18–22 Mar 2024 | 4,998 | ? | 37.8 30/31 |
31.1 27/28 |
11.3 8/9 |
2.2 0 |
– | 3.3 1 |
8.2 6/7 |
– | 3.0 1 |
6.7 |
| CIS[p 30][p 31] | ? | 36.1 30/31 |
33.0 28/29 |
13.1 10/11 |
2.5 0/1 |
– | 1.9 0/1 |
7.7 5/6 |
– | 3.7 0/2 |
3.1 | ||
| Ikerfel/GPS[p 32] | 15–20 Mar 2024 | 3,030 | 61.2 | 35.7 29 |
33.7 29 |
13.1 10 |
2.4 0 |
– | 1.9 0 |
7.5 6 |
– | 2.8 1 |
2.0 |
| 40dB/Prisa[p 33][p 34] | 15–19 Mar 2024 | 1,200 | ? | 34.2 25/28 |
33.7 27/28 |
13.8 11/12 |
2.8 0/1 |
– | 2.1 1 |
8.1 6/7 |
– | 3.0 0/2 |
0.5 |
| Aztiker/Gara[p 35][p 36] | 11–18 Mar 2024 | 1,800 | ? | 33.4 26/28 |
34.0 28/30 |
13.9 11/12 |
3.0 0/1 |
– | 2.2 0/1 |
8.5 6/7 |
– | 3.1 1/2 |
0.6 |
| Gizaker/EiTB[p 37] | 8–14 Mar 2024 | 1,800 | 61.2 | 36.0 27/28 |
32.7 27/28 |
14.2 11 |
3.7 2 |
– | 1.4 0 |
8.3 7 |
– | 2.9 0 |
3.3 |
| ElectoPanel/Crónica Vasca[p 38] | 1–14 Mar 2024 | 1,284 | ? | 34.0 28 |
34.4 28 |
12.0 10 |
2.4 0 |
– | 2.5 1 |
9.3 7 |
– | 3.4 1 |
0.4 |
| Sigma Dos/El Mundo[p 39] | 1–14 Mar 2024 | 1,207 | ? | 34.3 26/28 |
32.3 26/27 |
14.7 11 |
0.9 0 |
– | 1.3 0 |
10.1 7/8 |
– | 6.0 3 |
2.0 |
| ElectoPanel/Crónica Vasca[p 40] | 16–28 Feb 2024 | 1,301 | ? | 33.9 27 |
34.2 28 |
11.5 9 |
2.4 0 |
– | 2.5 1 |
9.0 7 |
– | 4.0 3 |
0.3 |
| ElectoPanel/Crónica Vasca[p 41] | 2–15 Feb 2024 | 1,287 | ? | 34.1 27 |
31.5 26 |
14.6 11 |
2.1 0 |
– | 2.6 1 |
8.9 7 |
– | 5.1 3 |
2.6 |
| Ikerfel/GPS[p 42] | 30 Jan–2 Feb 2024 | 3,030 | 60.9 | 34.6 27 |
32.4 27 |
14.2 11 |
3.0 1 |
– | 2.5 1 |
7.7 6 |
– | 2.7 2 |
2.2 |
| ElectoPanel/Crónica Vasca[p 43] | 18 Jan–1 Feb 2024 | 1,392 | ? | 33.5 25 |
31.0 26 |
15.3 13 |
0.8 0 |
– | 2.2 1 |
9.2 7 |
– | 5.3 3 |
2.5 |
| Gizaker/EiTB[p 44][p 45] | 24–29 Jan 2024 | 1,800 | 64.2 | 35.8 28 |
32.1 26 |
14.8 12 |
4.0 2 |
– | 1.6 0 |
7.3 6 |
– | 3.2 1 |
3.7 |
| 64.2 | 35.8 27 |
32.1 26 |
14.8 11 |
[lower-alpha 11] | – | 1.6 0 |
7.3 6 |
– | 7.2 5 |
3.7 | |||
| Ikerfel/El Diario Vasco[p 46] | 19–26 Jan 2024 | 2,400 | ? | ? 25/26 |
? 27/28 |
? 11/12 |
? 0 |
– | ? 0/1 |
? 6/8 |
– | ? 3 |
? |
| 59.9 | 34.3 25/26 |
33.0 27 |
15.0 11/12 |
[lower-alpha 11] | – | 1.6 0/1 |
7.2 5/6 |
– | 7.1 4/6 |
1.3 | |||
| ElectoPanel/Crónica Vasca[p 47] | 1 Dec–17 Jan 2024 | 1,470 | ? | 33.4 26 |
31.7 27 |
14.4 11 |
1.0 0 |
– | 2.5 1 |
8.9 7 |
– | 5.7 3 |
1.7 |
| Sigma Dos/El Mundo[p 48] | 26 Dec–9 Jan 2024 | 1,200 | ? | 35.8 28 |
32.0 24/25 |
15.2 11/13 |
– | – | 1.3 0 |
8.3 6/7 |
– | 7.0 4 |
3.8 |
| ElectoPanel/Crónica Vasca[p 49] | 1 Dec–4 Jan 2024 | 1,470 | ? | 32.8 26 |
31.9 27 |
14.2 11 |
1.4 0 |
– | 2.5 1 |
9.6 7 |
– | 6.3 3 |
0.9 |
| Hamalgama Métrica/VozPópuli[p 50] | 20–27 Dec 2023 | 1,000 | 65 | 37.1 28 |
32.1 26 |
10.6 8 |
[lower-alpha 11] | – | 2.9 1 |
10.6 9 |
– | 4.9 3 |
5.0 |
| Aztiker/Gara[p 51][p 52] | 7–20 Dec 2023 | 1,800 | ? | 31.5 24/25 |
32.1 24/27 |
15.3 11/12 |
[lower-alpha 11] | – | 2.8 1 |
9.4 6/8 |
– | 7.7 6 |
0.6 |
| Ikerfel/GPS[p 53] | 21–24 Nov 2023 | 3,030 | 62.0 | 37.1 29 |
29.9 25 |
14.3 11 |
6.5 3 |
– | 2.1 0 |
8.0 7 |
– | – | 7.2 |
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 54] | 29 Oct–24 Nov 2023 | 1,390 | ? | 32.4 25 |
32.9 26 |
14.4 11 |
7.6 5 |
– | 2.5 1 |
9.5 7 |
– | – | 0.5 |
| Sigma Dos/El Mundo[p 55] | 13–15 Sep 2023 | 800 | ? | 32.1 25 |
32.5 27 |
17.0 13 |
5.1 3 |
– | 2.8 1 |
7.9 6 |
1.1 0 |
– | 0.4 |
| 2023 general election | 23 Jul 2023 | — | 65.1 | 24.0 (17) |
23.9 (18) |
25.3 (20) |
[lower-alpha 11] | – | 2.6 (1) |
11.6 (10) |
– | 11.1 (9) |
1.3 |
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 56] | 28 May–15 Jun 2023 | 5,804 | ? | 34.7 28 |
31.2 24 |
12.3 9 |
9.2 6 |
– | 2.6 1 |
9.5 7 |
– | – | 3.5 |
| 2023 foral elections | 28 May 2023 | — | 60.0 | 34.5 (26) |
28.8 (24) |
16.2 (13) |
7.0 (5) |
– | 1.5 (1) |
8.9 (7) |
– | – | 5.7 |
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 57] | 15 Mar–29 Apr 2022 | 228 | ? | 36.2 28 |
29.0 24 |
12.2 9 |
8.8 6 |
8.6 7 |
2.0 1 |
[lower-alpha 12] | [lower-alpha 12] | – | 7.2 |
| Ikerfel/GPS[p 58][p 59] | 21–25 Feb 2022 | 3,333 | 55.2 | 39.3 31 |
27.3 22 |
14.3 12 |
7.0 4 |
– | 2.7 1 |
6.2 5 |
– | – | 12.0 |
| Ikerfel/GPS[p 60][p 61] | 29 Nov–3 Dec 2021 | 3,333 | 55.5 | 39.6 31 |
27.5 23 |
14.0 10 |
6.7 4 |
– | 2.2 1 |
6.7 6 |
– | – | 12.1 |
| Ikerfel/GPS[p 62][p 63] | 27 Sep–1 Oct 2021 | 3,333 | 56.2 | 39.4 31 |
27.7 23 |
13.9 11 |
6.8 4 |
6.9 5 |
1.9 1 |
[lower-alpha 12] | [lower-alpha 12] | – | 11.7 |
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 64] | 15 Sep 2021 | ? | ? | 40.0 31 |
27.3 23 |
13.5 10 |
6.4 4 |
8.2 7 |
1.7 0 |
[lower-alpha 12] | [lower-alpha 12] | – | 12.7 |
| Ikerfel/GPS[p 65][p 66] | 17–21 May 2021 | 3,333 | 55.1 | 39.0 31 |
27.5 22 |
13.6 10 |
6.6 4 |
7.7 7 |
1.7 1 |
[lower-alpha 12] | [lower-alpha 12] | – | 11.5 |
| 2020 regional election | 12 Jul 2020 | — | 50.8 | 38.7 31 |
27.6 21 |
13.5 10 |
8.0 6 |
6.7 6 |
1.9 1 |
[lower-alpha 12] | [lower-alpha 12] | – | 11.1 |
Close
Voting preferences
The table below lists raw, unweighted voting preferences.
More information Polling firm/Commissioner, Fieldwork date ...
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | PNV | |
|
|
|
|
|
|
 ? |
 N |
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 regional election | 21 Apr 2024 | — | 21.6 | 20.0 | 8.7 | 1.2 | – | 1.4 | 5.7 | 2.0 | — | 37.5 | 1.6 |
| DYM/Henneo[p 67] | 8–12 Apr 2024 | 1,221 | 17.7 | 25.2 | 8.3 | 3.9 | – | 1.5 | 7.6 | 3.6 | 20.9 | 8.2 | 7.5 |
| Gizaker/EiTB[p 68] | 5–11 Apr 2024 | 1,800 | 23.0 | 28.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | – | – | 2.0 | 2.0 | – | – | 5.0 |
| 40dB/Prisa[p 16] | 5–10 Apr 2024 | 1,200 | 19.6 | 19.9 | 12.0 | 3.5 | – | 2.6 | 5.6 | 3.7 | 19.5 | 8.9 | 0.3 |
| Simple Lógica/elDiario.es[p 17] | 3–10 Apr 2024 | 946 | 18.7 | 22.3 | 9.8 | – | – | – | 4.9 | – | 18.6 | – | 3.6 |
| CIS[p 19] | 4–8 Apr 2024 | 4,025 | 22.8 | 25.2 | 8.9 | 1.9 | – | 1.5 | 4.6 | 1.4 | 26.3 | 5.2 | 2.4 |
| CIS[p 30] | 18–22 Mar 2024 | 4,998 | 27.9 | 25.9 | 10.1 | 1.9 | – | 1.6 | 4.9 | 2.3 | 19.4 | 3.5 | 2.0 |
| Ikerfel/GPS[p 32] | 15–20 Mar 2024 | 3,030 | 18.7 | 18.7 | 5.0 | 0.8 | – | 0.5 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 40.3 | 11.7 | Tie |
| 40dB/Prisa[p 34] | 15–19 Mar 2024 | 1,200 | 20.9 | 18.9 | 9.7 | 3.3 | – | 3.4 | 3.8 | 3.2 | 25.2 | 5.7 | 2.0 |
| Gizaker/EiTB[p 69] | 8–14 Mar 2024 | 1,800 | 22.5 | 26.9 | 5.0 | 1.3 | – | 0.3 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 29.9 | 9.7 | 4.4 |
| Ikerfel/GPS[p 42] | 30 Jan–2 Feb 2024 | 3,030 | 21.3 | 19.8 | 7.6 | 1.3 | – | 1.3 | 2.6 | 1.5 | 30.6 | 12.1 | 1.5 |
| Gizaker/EITB[p 70] | 24–29 Jan 2024 | 1,800 | 23.2 | 25.2 | 5.2 | 1.8 | – | 0.7 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 28.6 | 10.4 | 2.0 |
| Ikerfel/GPS[p 53] | 21–24 Nov 2023 | 3,030 | 23.5 | 19.5 | 6.9 | 2.8 | – | 0.6 | 3.2 | – | 30.6 | 10.8 | 4.0 |
| 2023 general election | 23 Jul 2023 | — | 16.1 | 16.1 | 17.0 | [lower-alpha 11] | – | 1.8 | 7.7 | 7.4 | — | 32.4 | 0.9 |
| 2023 foral elections | 28 May 2023 | — | 20.4 | 17.0 | 9.6 | 4.1 | – | 0.9 | 5.2 | – | — | 40.0 | 3.4 |
| Ikerfel/GPS[p 58] | 21–25 Feb 2022 | 3,333 | 24.1 | 13.9 | 7.7 | 4.9 | – | 0.8 | 1.0 | – | 31.4 | 13.0 | 10.2 |
| Ikerfel/GPS[p 60] | 29 Nov–3 Dec 2021 | 3,333 | 27.9 | 14.6 | 6.5 | 4.6 | – | 0.7 | 1.5 | – | 28.8 | 12.2 | 13.3 |
| Ikerfel/GPS[p 62] | 27 Sep–1 Oct 2021 | 3,333 | 26.6 | 14.5 | 6.6 | 4.9 | 1.4 | 0.4 | [lower-alpha 12] | – | 32.1 | 11.5 | 12.1 |
| Ikerfel/GPS[p 65] | 17–21 May 2021 | 3,333 | 24.9 | 13.9 | 5.9 | 4.3 | 1.6 | 0.4 | [lower-alpha 12] | – | 30.6 | 15.2 | 11.0 |
| 2020 regional election | 12 Jul 2020 | — | 20.3 | 14.5 | 7.1 | 4.2 | 3.5 | 1.0 | [lower-alpha 12] | – | — | 47.1 | 5.8 |
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Victory preferences
The table below lists opinion polling on the victory preferences for each party in the event of a regional election taking place.
Victory likelihood
The table below lists opinion polling on the perceived likelihood of victory for each party in the event of a regional election taking place.
More information Polling firm/Commissioner, Fieldwork date ...
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | PNV | |
|
|
Other/ None |
? |
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GAD3/Mediaset[p 22] | 8 Apr 2024 | ? | 72.0 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 9.3 | 63.0 |
| CIS[p 30] | 18–22 Mar 2024 | 4,998 | 60.5 | 27.2 | 2.0 | – | 0.9 | 9.3 | 33.3 |
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 71] | 31 Dec–12 Jan 2024 | 4,250 | 32.7 | 55.7 | – | – | – | 11.6 | 23.0 |
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Preferred Lehendakari
The table below lists opinion polling on leader preferences to become lehendakari.
More information Polling firm/Commissioner, Fieldwork date ...
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | .jpg) |
.jpg) |
.jpg) |
.jpg) |
.jpg) |
.jpg) |
.jpg) |
Other/ None/ Not care |
? |
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pradales PNV |
Otxan. EH Bildu |
Andueza PSE–EE |
Gorrotx. Podemos |
De Andrés PP |
Martínez Vox |
García Sumar | ||||||
| DYM/Henneo[p 67] | 8–12 Apr 2024 | 1,221 | 28.0 | 30.9 | – | – | – | – | – | – | 41.1 | 2.9 |
| Gizaker/EiTB[p 72] | 5–11 Apr 2024 | 1,800 | 27.8 | 27.0 | 3.1 | 0.7 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 1.1 | – | 38.6 | 0.8 |
| 40dB/Prisa[p 16] | 5–10 Apr 2024 | 1,200 | 23.5 | 19.8 | 9.5 | 3.5 | 5.7 | 2.1 | 3.3 | 13.3 | 19.2 | 3.7 |
| CIS[p 19] | 4–8 Apr 2024 | 4,025 | 28.2 | 26.8 | 8.9 | 2.8 | 4.0 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 6.3 | 19.4 | 1.4 |
| CIS[p 30] | 18–22 Mar 2024 | 4,998 | 30.4 | 26.1 | 8.2 | 1.7 | 4.0 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 7.9 | 18.3 | 4.3 |
| 40dB/Prisa[p 34] | 15–19 Mar 2024 | 1,200 | 24.8 | 21.5 | 7.3 | 4.3 | 4.8 | 2.8 | 3.3 | 11.0 | 20.2 | 3.3 |
| Gizaker/EiTB[p 73] | 8–14 Mar 2024 | 1,800 | 26.0 | 26.1 | 4.1 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.8 | – | 40.2 | 0.1 |
| Gizaker/EiTB[p 45] | 24–29 Jan 2024 | 1,800 | 25.4 | 25.3 | 5.3 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 1.2 | – | 39.3 | 0.1 |
Close
The table below shows registered vote turnout on election day without including voters from the Census of Absent-Residents (CERA). Compared to past elections, 2024 elections turnout data are to be gathered at 13:00 and 18:00 (instead of 12:00 and 17:00 at previous elections).[50]
More information Province, Time ...
| Province | Time | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13:00[lower-alpha 13] | 18:00[lower-alpha 14] | 20:00 | |||||||
| 2020 | 2024 | +/– | 2020 | 2024 | +/– | 2020 | 2024 | +/– | |
| Álava | 13.51% | 25.93% | +12.42 | 33.21% | 48.73% | +15.52 | 50.31% | 61.11% | +10.80 |
| Biscay | 13.49% | 27.43% | +13.94 | 36.40% | 51.87% | +15.47 | 52.52% | 63.41% | +10.89 |
| Gipuzkoa | 15.48% | 30.02% | +14.54 | 36.67% | 50.73% | +14.06 | 54.57% | 61.71% | +7.14 |
| Total | 14.14% | 28.05% | +13.91 | 36.02% | 51.03% | +15.01 | 52.86% | 62.52% | +9.66 |
| Sources[51] | |||||||||
Close
Overall
More information Parties and alliances, Popular vote ...
| Parties and alliances | Popular vote | Seats | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | % | ±pp | Total | +/− | ||
| Basque Nationalist Party (EAJ/PNV) | 370,554 | 34.87 | –3.83 | 27 | –4 | |
| Basque Country Gather (EH Bildu) | 341,735 | 32.16 | +4.56 | 27 | +6 | |
| Socialist Party of the Basque Country–Basque Country Left (PSE–EE (PSOE)) | 149,660 | 14.08 | +0.56 | 12 | +2 | |
| People's Party (PP)1 | 97,149 | 9.14 | +2.43 | 7 | +1 | |
| Unite (Sumar)2 | 35,092 | 3.30 | n/a | 1 | –1 | |
| United We Can–Green Alliance (Podemos/Ahal Dugu–AV)2 | 23,679 | 2.23 | n/a | 0 | –4 | |
| Vox (Vox) | 21,396 | 2.01 | +0.07 | 1 | ±0 | |
| Animalist Party with the Environment (PACMA)3 | 5,481 | 0.52 | –0.02 | 0 | ±0 | |
| Blank Seats to Leave Empty Seats (EB/AZ) | 3,072 | 0.29 | +0.02 | 0 | ±0 | |
| For a Fairer World (PUM+J) | 1,628 | 0.15 | +0.03 | 0 | ±0 | |
| To Be (Izan) | 1,412 | 0.13 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
| Communist Party of the Workers of Spain (PCTE/ELAK) | 660 | 0.06 | ±0.00 | 0 | ±0 | |
| Humanist Party (PH) | 471 | 0.04 | +0.01 | 0 | ±0 | |
| Welcome (OE) | 181 | 0.02 | +0.01 | 0 | ±0 | |
| Blank ballots | 10,462 | 0.98 | +0.04 | |||
| Total | 1,062,632 | 75 | ±0 | |||
| Valid votes | 1,062,632 | 99.27 | +0.01 | |||
| Invalid votes | 7,835 | 0.73 | –0.01 | |||
| Votes cast / turnout | 1,070,467 | 59.63 | +8.85 | |||
| Abstentions | ||||||
| Registered voters | 1,795,206 | |||||
| Sources[52] | ||||||
Footnotes:
| ||||||
Close
More information Popular vote ...
Close
Distribution by constituency
More information Constituency, PNV ...
| Constituency | PNV | EH Bildu | PSE–EE | PP | Sumar | Vox | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| % | S | % | S | % | S | % | S | % | S | % | S | |||
| Álava | 26.8 | 7 | 29.2 | 8 | 16.2 | 4 | 15.9 | 4 | 3.7 | 1 | 3.7 | 1 | ||
| Biscay | 39.1 | 11 | 28.3 | 8 | 13.9 | 4 | 9.0 | 2 | 3.3 | − | 1.9 | − | ||
| Gipuzkoa | 31.4 | 9 | 39.9 | 11 | 13.4 | 4 | 6.4 | 1 | 3.1 | − | 1.5 | − | ||
| Total | 34.9 | 27 | 32.2 | 27 | 14.1 | 12 | 9.1 | 7 | 3.3 | 1 | 2.0 | 1 | ||
| Sources | ||||||||||||||
Close
The results were announced after polls in the region closed, with PNV securing the most votes, but finished with a tie with EH Bildu at 27 seats.[53]
- Results for PP+Cs in the 2020 election.
- Within the Elkarrekin Podemos alliance in the 2020 election.
- Results for Elkarrekin Podemos–IU (7.97%, 6 seats) and Equo Berdeak (1.30%, 0 seats) in the 2020 election.
- Basque-spoken debate.
- Within Sumar.
- Within PP+Cs.
- Opinion poll sources
- "Empate técnico entre PNV y EH Bildu a 26-28 escaños con la formación jeltzale como más votada". EiTB (in Spanish). 21 April 2024.
- "Los sondeos dan al PNV la victoria en votos, pero empatado en escaños con EH Bildu". El Español (in Spanish). 21 April 2024.
- "EH Bildu gana en escaños y el PNV en votos, pero podría no sumar mayoría con el PSOE, según el sondeo de Sigma Dos para EL MUNDO". El Mundo (in Spanish). 21 April 2024.
- "El PNV podrá gobernar Euskadi con el PSE pese a que EH Bildu será el primer partido en escaños, según las encuestas". Público (in Spanish). 15 April 2024.
- "Bildu ganará las elecciones y el PSOE decidirá quién gobierna el País Vasco". OKDiario (in Spanish). 15 April 2024.
- "Bildu se acerca al 21-A con leve ventaja sobre el PNV pero la mayoría prefiere a Pradales de lehendakari". El Español (in Spanish). 15 April 2024.
- "Bildu ganaría en escaños, el PNV sería el más votado y Podemos y Sumar desaparecerían". Crónica Vasca (in Spanish). 15 April 2024.
- "El PNV aguanta el tirón de Bildu y gana por la mínima en votos y escaños para alivio de Sánchez". El Debate (in Spanish). 14 April 2024.
- "Bildu alcanza al PNV en una disputada recta final de la campaña vasca, pero nacionalistas y PSE podrían reeditar Gobierno". 20 minutos (in Spanish). 15 April 2024.
- "Elecciones en País Vasco: la fuga de voto socialista y del PNV encumbra a Bildu". La Razón (in Spanish). 15 April 2024.
- "Bildu supera al PNV por la mínima y los socialistas decidirán el lendakari". ABC (in Spanish). 14 April 2024.
- "Bildu adelanta al PNV y entra en la recta final del 21-A empujado por la debacle de Podemos y Sumar". La Razón (in Spanish). 15 April 2024.
- "Bildu ganaría en el País Vasco por el desgaste del PNV, el fiasco del PSOE y la desaparición de Podemos". VozPópuli (in Spanish). 15 April 2024.
- "EH Bildu gana las elecciones autonómicas por primera vez, según EITB Focus". EiTB (in Spanish). 14 April 2024.
- "EH Bildu adelanta al PNV en la última semana de la campaña vasca". El País (in Spanish). 15 April 2024.
- "Informe preelectoral para las elecciones vascas. Ola 2. Abril 2024" (PDF). 40dB (in Spanish). 15 April 2024.
- "EH Bildu acaricia la victoria en Euskadi y pone en peligro la mayoría absoluta de PNV y PSOE". elDiario.es (in Spanish). 12 April 2024.
- "El PNV ganaría en votos, pero Bildu obtendría más escaños". Onda Cero (in Spanish). 11 April 2024.
- "Campaña de las elecciones autonómicas del País Vasco 2024 (Estudio nº 3451. Abril 2024)". CIS (in Spanish). 10 April 2024.
- "Estimación de voto (Estudio nº 3451. Campaña de las elecciones autonómicas del País Vasco 2024)". CIS (in Spanish). 10 April 2024.
- "El PSOE tendrá que decidir entre dar el Gobierno vasco a Bildu o salvar al PNV con el apoyo de Sumar". OKDiario (in Spanish). 8 April 2024.
- "Elecciones de País Vasco 2024: Bildu ganaría por la mínima, según el sondeo de GAD3 para Mediaset". Telecinco (in Spanish). 8 April 2024.
- "Barómetro Mediaset. Estimación elecciones vascas". GAD3 (in Spanish). 10 April 2024.
- "EH Bildu ganaría por la mínima en votos y escaños al PNV". El Diario Vasco (in Spanish). 14 April 2024.
- "Bildu roza el empate técnico con el PNV". La Razón (in Spanish). 8 April 2024.
- "El PSE tendría la llave del Gobierno entre Bildu y PNV en un Parlamento en el que Vox, Sumar y Podemos podrían quedarse fuera". Público (in Spanish). 7 April 2024.
- "Bildu blinda sus votos mientras en el PNV crecen la fuga y la indecisión". El Mundo (in Spanish). 8 April 2024.
- "Casi 45.000 indecisos del PNV decidirán una ajustada campaña con Bildu al alza". El Mundo (in Spanish). 28 March 2024.
- "El PNV y Bildu llegan empatados a la campaña del 21-A: ambos lograrían 28 escaños". Crónica Vasca (in Spanish). 2 April 2024.
- "Preelectoral del País Vasco. Elecciones autonómicas 2024 (Estudio nº 3448. Marzo 2024)". CIS (in Spanish). 1 April 2024.
- "Estimación de voto (Estudio nº 3448. Preelectoral del País Vasco. Elecciones autonómicas 2024)". CIS (in Spanish). 1 April 2024.
- "Elecciones Autonómicas: previsión de voto (Marzo 2024)" (PDF). Basque Government (in Spanish). 27 March 2024.
- "Empate entre PNV y EH Bildu en Euskadi a un mes de las elecciones autonómicas". El País (in Spanish). 25 March 2024.
- "Informe preelectoral para las elecciones vascas. Marzo 2024" (PDF). El País (in Spanish). 25 March 2024.
- "EH Bildu podría ganar la contienda más reñida de los últimos años". Naiz (in Spanish). 5 April 2024.
- "Empate técnico en escaños entre PNV y EH Bildu a un mes de las elecciones". EiTB (in Spanish). 21 March 2024.
- "El PNV y Bildu empatarían en las elecciones vascas del 21-A con Podemos y Sumar hundidos". Crónica Vasca (in Spanish). 18 March 2024.
- "Bildu sigue al alza y amenaza el poder de un PNV en decadencia con el PSOE de juez". El Mundo (in Spanish). 18 March 2024.
- "Bildu supera otra vez al PNV y ganaría las elecciones vascas en votos y escaños". Crónica Vasca (in Spanish). 4 March 2024.
- "El PNV se recupera, adelanta a Bildu y ganaría las elecciones vascas por la mínima". Crónica Vasca (in Spanish). 19 February 2024.
- "Elecciones Autonómicas: previsión de voto (Febrero 2024)" (PDF). Basque Government (in Spanish). 9 February 2024.
- "El PSE subiría tres escaños mientras PNV y Bildu se disputarían la victoria en las elecciones". Crónica Vasca (in Spanish). 5 February 2024.
- "Ajustada victoria del PNV con EH Bildu a dos escaños". EiTB (in Spanish). 2 February 2024.
- "EiTB Focus. Enero 2024. Elecciones Autonómicas. CAV" (PDF). Gizaker (in Spanish). 2 February 2024.
- "Ajustada victoria del PNV con EH Bildu a dos escaños". El Diario Vasco (in Spanish). 4 February 2024.
- "Bildu y PNV se mantienen en empate técnico a la espera de fecha para las elecciones vascas". Crónica Vasca (in Spanish). 21 January 2024.
- "El pacto con Otegi en Pamplona cambia el escenario vasco: crece el PNV por miedo a Bildu y el PSOE cae ya dos puntos". El Mundo (in Spanish). 16 January 2024.
- "Bildu adelanta al PNV y ganaría las elecciones vascas por un escaño". Crónica Vasca (in Spanish). 8 January 2024.
- "Un PNV y un PSOE a la baja podrían mantener su coalición de Gobierno en País Vasco con una raquítica mayoría". VozPópuli (in Spanish). 1 January 2024.
- "EH Bildu ganaría las elecciones en una pugna reñida a varias bandas". Naiz (in Spanish). 5 February 2024.
- "[A] PAÍS VASCO. Encuesta Aztiker 05/02/2024: EH BILDU 32,1% (24/27), EAJ-PNV 31,5% (24/25), PSE-EE 15,3% (11/12), PP 9,4% (6/8), ELKARREKIN 7,7% (6), VOX 2,8% (1)". Electográfica (in Spanish). 5 February 2024.
- "Elecciones Autonómicas: previsión de voto (Noviembre 2023)" (PDF). Basque Government (in Spanish). 1 December 2023.
- "ElectoPanel Euskadi (26N): EH Bildu, primero en votos y escaños". Electomanía (in Spanish). 26 November 2023.
- "Otegi cerca de ser 'lehendakari': fuerte caída del PNV y Sánchez tendría que decidir". El Mundo (in Spanish). 17 September 2023.
- "ElectoPanel Euskadi (18J): subida de EH Bildu, que se acerca al PNV". Electomanía (in Spanish). 18 June 2023.
- "EuskoPanel (30A): subida de EH Bildu, que roza el 30%. Ligero descenso del PNV". Electomanía (in Spanish). 30 April 2022.
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