2024_Galician_regional_election

2024 Galician regional election

2024 Galician regional election

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The 2024 Galician regional election was held on Sunday, 18 February 2024, to elect the 12th Parliament of the Autonomous Community of Galicia. All 75 seats in the Parliament were up for election.

Quick Facts All 75 seats in the Parliament of Galicia 38 seats needed for a majority, Registered ...

Overview

Electoral system

The Parliament of Galicia is the devolved, unicameral legislature of the autonomous community of Galicia, having legislative power in regional matters as defined by the Spanish Constitution and the Galician Statute of Autonomy, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a regional president.[1] Voting for the Parliament is on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprises all nationals over 18 years of age, registered in Galicia and in full enjoyment of their political rights. Amendments to the electoral law in 2022 abolished the "begged" or expat vote system (Spanish: Voto rogado), under which Spaniards abroad were required to apply for voting before being permitted to vote.[2] The expat vote system was attributed responsibility for a major decrease in the turnout of Spaniards abroad during the years it had been in force.[3]

The 75 members of the Parliament of Galicia are elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with an electoral threshold of five percent of valid votes—which includes blank ballots—being applied in each constituency. Seats are allocated to constituencies, corresponding to the provinces of A Coruña, Lugo, Ourense and Pontevedra, with each being allocated an initial minimum of 10 seats and the remaining 35 being distributed in proportion to their populations.[1][4]

As a result of the aforementioned allocation, each Parliament constituency is entitled the following seats:[5]

More information Seats, Constituencies ...

The use of the D'Hondt method may result in a higher effective threshold, depending on the district magnitude.[6]

Election date

The term of the Parliament of Galicia expires four years after the date of its previous election, unless it is dissolved earlier. The election decree shall be issued no later than the twenty-fifth day prior to the date of expiry of parliament and published on the following day in the Official Journal of Galicia (DOG), with election day taking place between the fifty-fourth and the sixtieth day from publication. The previous election was held on 12 July 2020, which meant that the legislature's term would expire on 12 July 2024. The election decree had to be published in the DOG no later than 18 June 2024, with the election taking place up to the sixtieth day from publication, setting the latest possible election date for the Parliament on Saturday, 16 August 2024.[1][4]

The president has the prerogative to dissolve the Parliament and call a snap election, provided that it does not occur before one year has elapsed since a previous dissolution under this procedure. In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional president within a two-month period from the first ballot, the Parliament is to be automatically dissolved and a fresh election called.[7]

Following Alberto Núñez Feijóo's resignation as president of Galicia to become PP national leader, it was speculated that his successor, Alfonso Rueda, could seek to call a snap election for some time throughout 2023 or even to make it coincide with the scheduled general election in December 2023.[8] Following Pedro Sánchez's surprise announcement of a snap general election on 29 May 2023, Rueda ruled out a simultaneous regional election "because Galicia cannot be infected by instability".[9] It was later commented that a good result for Feijóo in the general election could prompt Rueda to trigger a snap election for late 2023, but the close result on 23 July prevented this from materializing.[10][11][12] Following Sánchez's investiture in November 2023, rumours again emerged that Rueda was planning to hold a snap election for early 2024.[13] Asked on 27 November on whether the Galician election would be held simultaneously with the Basque regional election as had been the case in the four previous occasions, Rueda proclaimed that "Galicia has its own way";[14] later, the president of the Basque Nationalist Party (PNV) Andoni Ortuzar said in an interview that the Galician election seemed "like it is going to go at full speed", with the Galician government allegedly not wishing a simultaneous election call.[15][16] On 30 November, Rueda acknowledged that he would seek a Galician-only election "without a doubt (...) if that is in the interest of Galicia",[17] and that election preparations were already underway.[18] 18 February has been commented by the media as the most likely date for a snap election to be held.[19][20] Finally on 21 December, Rueda announced a snap election to be held on 18 February 2024.[21] While Basque lehendakari Iñigo Urkullu was informed of this decision,[22] he distanced himself from Rueda arguing that "the Basque Country is not Galicia", thus paving the way for both elections to be held separately for the first time since 2005.[23]

The Parliament of Galicia was officially dissolved on 26 December 2023 after the publication of the dissolution decree in the DOG, setting the election date for 18 February 2024 and scheduling for the chamber to reconvene on 18 March.[5]

Parliamentary composition

The table below shows the composition of the parliamentary groups in the Parliament at the time of dissolution.[24]

More information Groups, Parties ...

Parties and candidates

The electoral law allows for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, coalitions and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form a coalition ahead of an election are required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors need to secure the signature of at least one percent of the electorate in the constituencies for which they seek election, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list of candidates.[4][25]

Below is a list of the main parties and electoral alliances which contested the election:

Timetable

The key dates are listed below (all times are CET):[4][25][36]

  • 25 December: The election decree is issued with the countersign of the President after deliberation in the Council of Government.[5]
  • 26 December: Formal dissolution of the Parliament of Galicia and beginning of a suspension period of events for the inauguration of public works, services or projects.
  • 29 December: Initial constitution of provincial and zone electoral commissions.
  • 5 January: Deadline for parties and federations intending to enter into a coalition to inform the relevant electoral commission.
  • 15 January: Deadline for parties, federations, coalitions, and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates to the relevant electoral commission.
  • 17 January: Submitted lists of candidates are provisionally published in the Official Journal of Galicia (DOG).
  • 20 January: Deadline for citizens entered in the Register of Absent Electors Residing Abroad (CERA) and for citizens temporarily absent from Spain to apply for voting.
  • 21 January: Deadline for parties, federations, coalitions, and groupings of electors to rectify irregularities in their lists.
  • 22 January: Official proclamation of valid submitted lists of candidates.
  • 23 January: Proclaimed lists are published in the DOG.
  • 2 February: Official start of electoral campaigning.[5]
  • 8 February: Deadline to apply for postal voting.
  • 13 February: Official start of legal ban on electoral opinion polling publication, dissemination or reproduction and deadline for CERA citizens to vote by mail.
  • 14 February: Deadline for postal and temporarily absent voters to issue their votes.
  • 16 February: Last day of official electoral campaigning and deadline for CERA citizens to vote in a ballot box in the relevant consular office or division.[5]
  • 17 February: Official 24-hour ban on political campaigning prior to the general election (reflection day).
  • 18 February: Polling day (polling stations open at 9 am and close at 8 pm or once voters present in a queue at/outside the polling station at 8 pm have cast their vote). Provisional counting of votes starts immediately.
  • 26 February: General counting of votes, including the counting of CERA votes.
  • 29 February: Deadline for the general counting of votes to be carried out by the relevant electoral commission.
  • 9 March: Deadline for elected members to be proclaimed by the relevant electoral commission.
  • 19 March: Deadline for the parliament to be re-assembled (the election decree determines this date).[5]
  • 18 April: Final deadline for definitive results to be published in the DOG.

Campaign

Party slogans

More information Party or alliance, Original slogan ...

Election debates

More information Date, Organisers ...

Opinion polls

The tables below list opinion polling results in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll.

Voting intention estimates

The table below lists weighted voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 38 seats are required for an absolute majority in the Parliament of Galicia.

Color key:

  Poll conducted after legal ban on opinion polls

More information Polling firm/Commissioner, Fieldwork date ...

Voting preferences

The table below lists raw, unweighted voting preferences.

More information Polling firm/Commissioner, Fieldwork date ...

Victory preferences

The table below lists opinion polling on the victory preferences for each party in the event of a regional election taking place.

More information Polling firm/Commissioner, Fieldwork date ...

Victory likelihood

The table below lists opinion polling on the perceived likelihood of victory for each party in the event of a regional election taking place.

More information Polling firm/Commissioner, Fieldwork date ...

Preferred President

The table below lists opinion polling on leader preferences to become president of the Regional Government of Galicia.

More information Polling firm/Commissioner, Fieldwork date ...

Predicted President

The table below lists opinion polling on the perceived likelihood for each leader to become president of the Regional Government of Galicia.

More information Polling firm/Commissioner, Fieldwork date ...

Voter turnout

The table below shows registered vote turnout on election day without including voters from the Census of Absent-Residents (CERA).

More information Province, Time ...

Results

Overall

More information Parties and alliances, Popular vote ...
More information Popular vote ...
More information Seats ...

Distribution by constituency

More information Constituency, PP ...

Aftermath

Under Article 15 of the Statute, investiture processes to elect the president of the Regional Government of Galicia required of an absolute majority—more than half the votes cast—to be obtained in the first ballot. If unsuccessful, a new ballot would be held 24 hours later requiring only of a simple majority—more affirmative than negative votes—to succeed. If the proposed candidate was not elected, successive proposals were to be transacted under the same procedure.[1]

More information Ballot →, 11 April 2024 ...

Notes

  1. Results for GeC–AM (3.94%, 0 seats) and Equo Galicia (0.07%, 0 seats) in the 2020 election.
  2. Denotes a main invitee attending the event.
  3. Denotes a main invitee not attending the event, sending a surrogate in their place.
  4. In Galicia, the debate was broadcast on La 1 (113,000; 13.5%) and 24 Horas (33,000; 3.9%). Nationwide, the debate was broadcast on 24 Horas (111,000; 0.9%).
  5. Within Sumar.

References

Opinion poll sources
  1. "Última encuesta de Sondaxe: PP 39 diputados, BNG 25 y PSdeG 11". La Voz de Galicia (in Spanish). 18 February 2024.
  2. "El PP, a punto de perder la mayoría absoluta en Galicia". Público (in Spanish). 12 February 2024.
  3. "La brecha entre los partidos de izquierda se agranda". La Voz de Galicia (in Spanish). 10 February 2024.
  4. "El PP y el BNG, los que más votos retienen desde las generales". La Voz de Galicia (in Spanish). 9 February 2024.
  5. "El PP apunta a una holgada mayoría absoluta en Galicia". Onda Cero (in Spanish). 8 February 2024.
  6. "El PP gallego se sostiene en la mayoría absoluta". Atlántico (in Spanish). 4 February 2024.
  7. "Informe preelectoral para las elecciones gallegas. Enero 2024" (PDF). El País (in Spanish). 8 January 2024.
  8. "ElectoPanel Galicia (30Ag): el BNG sube y amenaza al PP". Electomanía (in Spanish). 30 August 2023.
  9. "El PP retiene la mayoría tras la marcha de Feijoo a Madrid". La Voz de Galicia (in Spanish). 28 May 2022.
Other
  1. Ley Orgánica 1/1981, de 6 de abril, de Estatuto de Autonomía para Galicia (Organic Law 1) (in Spanish). 6 April 1981. Retrieved 8 August 2017.
  2. Reig Pellicer, Naiara (16 December 2015). "Spanish elections: Begging for the right to vote". cafebabel.co.uk. Retrieved 17 July 2017.
  3. Araque Conde, Pilar (8 June 2022). "El Congreso acaba con el voto rogado: diez años de trabas burocráticas para los residentes en el extranjero". Público (in Spanish). Madrid. Retrieved 31 July 2022.
  4. Ley 8/1985, de 13 de agosto, de elecciones al Parlamento de Galicia (Law 2) (in Spanish). 13 August 1985. Retrieved 8 August 2017.
  5. Gallagher, Michael (30 July 2012). "Effective threshold in electoral systems". Trinity College, Dublin. Archived from the original on 2017-07-30. Retrieved 22 July 2017.
  6. Ley 1/1983, de 22 de febrero, de normas reguladoras de la Xunta y su Presidencia (Law 1) (in Spanish). 22 February 1983. Retrieved 8 August 2017.
  7. Santamaría, Rubén (24 December 2022). "¿Habrá también elecciones autonómicas en Galicia en el 2023?". La Voz de Galicia (in Spanish). Retrieved 1 December 2023.
  8. "¿Habrá también elecciones autonómicas en Galicia en el 2023?" (in Spanish). Santiago de Compostela: EFE. 29 May 2023. Retrieved 1 December 2023.
  9. Bascoy, Irene (8 June 2023). "El PPdeG se plantea adelantar los comicios a otoño si Feijóo obtiene un gran resultado". Faro de Vigo (in Spanish). Vigo. Retrieved 1 December 2023.
  10. Pérez, Paula (26 July 2023). "El 23-J enreda el calendario electoral en Galicia". Faro de Vigo (in Spanish). Santiago de Compostela. Retrieved 1 December 2023.
  11. "Rueda descarta el adelanto electoral que barajó antes de las generales". Econmía Digital (in Spanish). 5 August 2023. Retrieved 1 December 2023.
  12. Vizoso, Sonia (20 November 2023). "Galicia se prepara para unas elecciones reñidas tras el fracaso de Feijóo en Madrid". El País (in Spanish). A Coruña. Retrieved 1 December 2023.
  13. "Rueda, sobre una coincidencia de elecciones gallegas y vascas: "Galicia tiene su propio camino"" (in Spanish). A Coruña: Europa Press. 27 November 2023. Retrieved 1 December 2023.
  14. "Andoni Ortuzar: "Hay unas elecciones gallegas por ahí que parece que van a ir a toda pastilla"". elDiario.es (in Spanish). 29 November 2023. Retrieved 1 December 2023.
  15. "Rueda dice que "sin ninguna duda" galleguizará las elecciones "si eso es pensar el interés de Galicia"" (in Spanish). Santiago de Compostela: Europa Press. 30 November 2023. Retrieved 1 December 2023.
  16. Muñoz, Beatriz (30 November 2023). "Rueda admite que el PP gallego ha empezado a contratar actos de campaña mientras esconde la fecha electoral". elDiario.es (in Spanish). Retrieved 1 December 2023.
  17. Varela, Manuel (7 November 2023). "El inicio de la tramitación de los Orzamentos marca la cuenta atrás para las elecciones gallegas". La Voz de Galicia (in Spanish). Retrieved 1 December 2023.
  18. Juliana, Enric; Martiarena, Asier (29 November 2023). "El PSOE tantea a Sumar en Galicia y Díaz asegura que irán en solitario". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). Retrieved 1 December 2023.
  19. Salgado, Daniel; Muñoz, Beatriz (21 December 2023). "Alfonso Rueda convoca para el 18 de febrero las primeras elecciones en Galicia sin Feijóo en 14 años". elDiario.es (in Spanish). Retrieved 21 December 2023.
  20. "Rueda llama a Urkullu para comunicarle la fecha de las elecciones gallegas" (in Spanish). Bilbao: Europa Press. 21 December 2023. Retrieved 21 December 2023.
  21. "Urkullu dice que "Euskadi no es Galicia" tras la convocatoria de las gallegas el 18 de febrero" (in Spanish). Vitoria: Europa Press. 21 December 2023. Retrieved 21 December 2023.
  22. "Elecciones al Parlamento de Galicia (desde 1981)". Historia Electoral.com (in Spanish). Retrieved 26 December 2023.
  23. Ley Orgánica 5/1985, de 19 de junio, del Régimen Electoral General (Organic Law 5) (in Spanish). 19 June 1985. Retrieved 25 November 2023.
  24. Capelo, Lara (22 May 2022). "Rueda toma las riendas del PP gallego bajo la sombra de Feijóo". Cadena Ser (in Spanish). Retrieved 23 May 2022.
  25. Oliver, Juan (3 December 2023). "El BNG proclama candidata a Ana Pontón con la convicción de que puede convertirla en la primera mujer presidenta de la Xunta". Público (in Spanish). A Coruña. Retrieved 14 February 2024.
  26. "Besteiro será el candidato del PSdeG a la Presidencia de la Xunta sin necesidad de primarias". elDiario.es (in Spanish). 18 October 2023. Retrieved 21 October 2023.
  27. Cortizo, Gonzalo; Ortiz, Alberto; Rioja Andueza, Iker (30 November 2023). "Sumar y Podemos tantean un acuerdo electoral en Galicia y Euskadi en medio de su escalada de tensión". elDiario.es (in Spanish). Retrieved 1 December 2023.
  28. "Sumar designa a Marta Lois como candidata para las elecciones gallegas". elDiario.es (in Spanish). 26 December 2023. Retrieved 27 December 2023.
  29. "Podemos presentará su propia candidatura a las elecciones gallegas con Isabel Faraldo" (in Spanish). Vigo: EFE. 30 December 2023. Retrieved 30 December 2023.
  30. "Álvaro Díaz-Mella será el candidato de Vox en las elecciones gallegas". La Voz de Galicia (in Spanish). 10 January 2024. Retrieved 10 January 2024.
  31. Pazos, Pablo (15 November 2023). "Jácome sitúa a su "alter ego" Armando Ojea como candidato de DO a la Xunta". ABC (in Spanish). Santiago. Retrieved 18 February 2024.
  32. "Elecciones al Parlamento de Galicia 2024". Parliament of Galicia (in Spanish). Retrieved 26 December 2023.
  33. "'A Galicia que funciona' será el lema de Rueda en la campaña para los comicios del 18 de febrero" (in Spanish). Europa Press. 26 January 2024. Retrieved 3 February 2024.
  34. "Los eslóganes y lemas de la campaña a las elecciones gallegas 2024". Atlántico (in Spanish). 3 February 2024. Retrieved 3 February 2024.
  35. Moreno, Myriam (31 January 2024). "Isabel Faraldo presenta el lema de campaña de Podemos Galicia: 'Defende as tuas ideas'". El Español (in Spanish). Retrieved 3 February 2024.
  36. Castro, Lucía (3 February 2024). "Vox opta por el bilingüismo para su lema de campaña y su programa electoral en Galicia". El Debate (in Spanish). Retrieved 3 February 2024.
  37. Pardo, Luís (22 January 2024). "La TVG propone un único debate con PP, BNG, PSOE, Sumar y Podemos pero deja fuera a Vox y Jácome". elDiario.es (in Spanish). Retrieved 22 January 2024.
  38. Pardo, Luís (6 February 2024). "El debate electoral alcanzó una audiencia del 18% y fue lo más visto en Galicia durante toda su emisión". elDiario.es (in Spanish). Retrieved 6 February 2024.
  39. "Audiencias del debate sin Rueda en TVE: Pablo Motos vence a nivel nacional y atención a Galicia". El Plural (in Spanish). 14 February 2024. Retrieved 15 February 2024.
  40. "Elecciones 2024 Parlamento de Galicia. Avances de Participación". Regional Government of Galicia (in Spanish). 18 February 2024. Retrieved 18 February 2024.
  41. Jiménez, José Luis (11 April 2024). "Alfonso Rueda, reelegido presidente de Galicia: «Quiero hacer este camino con firmeza y humildad»". ABC (in Spanish). Santiago. Retrieved 14 April 2024.

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