2016_Florida_Democratic_primary

2016 Florida Democratic presidential primary

2016 Florida Democratic presidential primary

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The 2016 Florida Democratic presidential primary took place on March 15 in the U.S. state of Florida as one of the Democratic Party's primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election.

Quick Facts Candidate, Home state ...

On the same day, the Democratic Party held primaries in Illinois, Missouri, North Carolina and Ohio, while the Republican Party held primaries in the same five states, including their own Florida primary, plus the Northern Mariana Islands.

Clinton's landslide was fueled by support from retirees,[2] and Jewish[2] and Latino[3] voters in South Florida.

Debates and forums

March 2016 debate in Miami

On March 9, 2016, the Democratic Party held an eighth presidential debate at Miami Dade College in Miami, Florida. It was broadcast through a partnership between Univision and The Washington Post.

Opinion polling

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Polls in 2015
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Polls in 2014
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Polls in 2013

Results

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Results by district

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Results by county

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Analysis

Florida was generally viewed as a state Hillary Clinton would win, given her strong performance in previous contests with older voters (who comprised 65% of the Democratic electorate in Florida, the largest in any contest) and non-white voters (who made up 52% of the electorate). Clinton won the Florida Primary by 31 points, winning older voters by a margin of 71–26, and non-white voters by a margin of 74–25. Specifically, she won Hispanic/Latino voters by a margin of 68-32 (who made up 20% of the electorate), and African American voters 81-18 (who comprised 27% of the electorate). Clinton also won white voters by a narrower margin of 53–43. She won across all income and educational attainment levels.[42]

In terms of religious affiliation, Clinton won Protestants in Florida 69-29 (36% of the electorate), Catholics 69-29 (22% of the electorate), and other religious affiliations 68-31 (Jews were 4% of the electorate but were unaccounted for in exit polls). Sanders won voters who identified as agnostic/atheist 56–31. In terms of political ideology, Clinton won liberals 59-41 and moderates/conservatives 70–26. And while Clinton won Democrats 71–28, Sanders won self-identified Independents 55–41.[43]

Clinton won in Miami and along the Gold Coast 73–26, where there is a larger population of Hispanic/Latino voters who in South Florida are predominantly of Cuban or Nicaraguan descent. Clinton also won the Gulf Coast and Mid-Florida 64–35, the Tampa Bay Area 63–37, the Orlando area 62–34, and the Northern Panhandle which is whiter, more conservative and more rural by a smaller margin of 58–37.[44]


References

  1. What Do Florida's Senior Citizens Want? - America's Election 2016, retrieved August 24, 2021
  2. "Minority voters help Clinton dominate Sanders in Florida poll". Politico Florida. Retrieved February 29, 2016.
  3. "Trump Leads Rubio in Florida- Even Head to Head" (PDF). Public Polling Policy. Retrieved February 26, 2016.
  4. "Florida Polling Results". One America News Network. Retrieved March 5, 2016.
  5. "Polls". FAU College of Business. Retrieved January 22, 2016.
  6. "2016 Presidential Swing State Polls Poll". Quinnipiac University. October 7, 2015.
  7. "Florida Down on Bush, Rubio Campaigns" (PDF). Public Policy Polling. September 15, 2015.
  8. "Quinnipiac poll" (PDF). Quinnipiac.edu. Retrieved August 20, 2015.
  9. "2016 Election Center". CNN. Retrieved June 4, 2018.
  10. "2016 Election Center". CNN. Retrieved August 7, 2016.
  11. "2016 Election Center". CNN. Retrieved September 25, 2016.
  12. "2016 Election Center". CNN. Retrieved September 25, 2016.

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