United_States_presidential_election_in_Florida,_2016

2016 United States presidential election in Florida

2016 United States presidential election in Florida

Election in Florida

The 2016 United States presidential election in Florida was held on Tuesday, November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Florida voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, businessman Donald Trump, and running mate Indiana Governor Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, and her running mate Virginia Senator Tim Kaine. Florida had 29 electoral votes in the Electoral College.[4]

Main article: 2016 United States presidential election
Quick Facts Turnout, Nominee ...
Results by county showing number of votes by size and candidates by color[3]
Treemap of the popular vote by county.

Trump carried the state with a plurality of 49.0% of the popular vote, which included a 1.2% winning margin over Clinton, who had 47.8% of the vote. Trump consequently became the first Republican to win the White House without carrying Hillsborough County since Calvin Coolidge in 1924. Trump was also the first Republican presidential candidate to carry St. Lucie County since 1992, and the first to carry Jefferson and Monroe Counties since 1988; all three of these counties were last carried by George H. W. Bush.

Florida voted for Donald Trump by a margin of 1.19%.[5] It was the fifth-closest state result, with only Wisconsin, Michigan, New Hampshire and Pennsylvania closer. According to the National Election Pool, Trump got a majority of 54% from the Cuban-American voters in the state—in comparison to the 71% of Clinton support by Latino voters from other origins.[6]

Primary elections

Democratic primary

Main article: 2016 Florida Democratic presidential primary

Democratic debate

March 9, 2016 – Kendall, Florida

More information Candidate, Airtime ...

The eighth debate took place on March 9, 2016, at 9:00 PM Eastern Standard Time in Building 7 of the Kendall Campus of Miami Dade College in Kendall, Florida. It was broadcast through a partnership between Univision and The Washington Post.[8][9] The debate was discussed during a job interview conducted in early 2015 between the Democratic National Committee's then-Communications Director Mo Elleithee and future Hispanic Media Director Pablo Manriquez. After starting at the DNC in April 2015, Manriquez "talked about the idea for a debate for Democratic candidates on Univision to anyone who had ears to listen."[10] The debate was officially announced on November 2, 2015.[11]

Opinion polling

See also: Statewide opinion polling for the 2016 Democratic Party presidential primaries § Florida

Results

Election results by county.
  Hillary Clinton
  Bernie Sanders

Three candidates appeared on the Democratic presidential primary ballot:

More information Candidate, Popular vote ...
More information District, Delegates ...

Republican primary

Main article: 2016 Florida Republican presidential primary

Republican debate

March 10, 2016 – Coral Gables, Florida

More information Candidate, Airtime ...

The twelfth debate was the fourth and final debate to air on CNN and led into the Florida, Illinois, North Carolina, Missouri, and Ohio primaries on March 15. The candidates debated at the University of Miami, moderated by Jake Tapper and questioned by CNN chief political correspondent Dana Bash, Salem Radio Network talk-show host Hugh Hewitt, and Washington Times contributor Stephen Dinan. The Washington Times cohosted the debate.[13] The debate was originally scheduled considering the likelihood that no candidate would clinch the Republican nomination before March 15, due to the overall size of the field.[14] On the day of the debate, CNN summarized the immediate stakes: "This debate comes just five days ahead of 'Super Tuesday 3', when more than 350 delegates are decided, including winner-take-all contests in Florida and Ohio. Both Trump and Rubio are predicting [a win in] Florida. For Trump, a win here would fuel his growing momentum and further grow his delegate lead; for Rubio, losing his home state could be the death knell for his campaign."[15] This was the twelfth and final debate appearance of Rubio, who suspended his campaign on March 15.[16]

Polling

See also: Statewide opinion polling for the 2016 Republican Party presidential primaries § Florida

Results

Election results by county.
  Donald Trump
  Marco Rubio

Twelve candidates appeared on the Republican presidential primary ballot:

More information Candidate, Votes ...

.

Green primary

The Green Party held a primary in Florida on July 31, 2016. Early voting began on July 25.[17]

On July 31, 2016, the Green Party of Florida announced that Jill Stein had won the Florida primary via instant-runoff voting.

More information Candidate, Votes ...
More information Candidate, Votes ...
More information Candidate, Votes ...

General election

Predictions

The following are final 2016 predictions from various organizations for Florida as of Election Day.

More information Source, Ranking ...

Polling

See also: Opinion polling for the 2016 United States presidential election in Florida

In early polling conducted in late 2015, Trump started with strong momentum and won almost every poll against Clinton by margins varying from 2 to 8 points. In March 2016, Trump's early momentum seemed to slow, as Clinton won every poll until June 2016, when Trump won a poll 45% to 44%. Most polling conducted throughout the summer was favorable to Clinton, but both candidates were neck and neck in late August and early September, with neither having a consistent lead. From mid September to October 20, Clinton won every poll but one. In the last weeks, polling was extremely close, with neither candidate taking the lead. The third to last and fourth to last poll ended in a tie, but Trump won the last poll 50% to 46%.[27] The average of the last three polls showed Trump ahead 47.3% to 46.7%, where the race was essentially tied.

Results

More information Party, Presidential candidate ...

By county

More information County, Donald Trump Republican ...

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

Trump won 14 of 27 congressional districts, while Clinton won 13, including two held by Republicans.[29]

More information District, Trump ...

See also

References

  1. [1]
    "Voter Turnout - Division of Elections - Florida Department of State". dos.myflorida.com.
  2. [2]
    Brill, Sanford. "Florida Department of State - Election Results". results.elections.myflorida.com.
  3. [3]
    2016 General Election November 8, 2016. Official Election Results. Florida Department of State, Division of Elections.
  4. [4]
    "Distribution of Electoral Votes". National Archives and Records Administration. September 19, 2019. Retrieved November 23, 2020.
  5. [5]
    "Florida Election Results 2016 – The New York Times". Retrieved November 10, 2016.
  6. [6]
    Unlike other Latinos, about half of Cuban voters in Florida backed Trump, Pew Research Center, November 15, 2016.
  7. [7]
    RealClearPolitics.com"
  8. [8]
    "Miami Dade College To Host Democratic Presidential Debate". wlrn.org. November 2, 2015. Retrieved January 8, 2016.
  9. [9]
    "DNC/Florida Democratic Party Primary Debate Hosted by Univision News and The Washington Post to Take Place at the Nation's Largest and Most Diverse College, Miami Dade College, on March 9, 2016 - Univision". Univision. Archived from the original on February 2, 2016. Retrieved January 8, 2016.
  10. [10]
    Avendaño, Alberto (December 18, 2015). "Él impulsa el debate hispano entre los precandidatos demócratas". The Washington Post. ISSN 0190-8286. Retrieved January 8, 2016.
  11. [11]
    "Univision/Washington Post Democratic debate to be held March 9". POLITICO. Retrieved January 8, 2016.
  12. [12]
    "RealClearPolitics - Election 2016 - 2016 Republican Presidential Nomination".
  13. [13]
    Wemple, Erik (January 20, 2016). "CNN partnering with the Washington Times for March 10 debate in Miami". The Washington Post. ISSN 0190-8286. Retrieved February 13, 2016.
  14. [14]
    "CNN announces March debate in Florida". Politico. Retrieved January 18, 2016.
  15. [15]
    "Republican Debate in Miami: What to Watch". CNN.com. March 10, 2016.
  16. [16]
    Peters, Jeremy; Barbaro, Michael (March 15, 2016). "Marco Rubio Suspends His Presidential Campaign". The New York Times. Retrieved March 15, 2016.
  17. [17]
    "2016 Presidential Primary". Green Party of Florida. May 5, 2016. Retrieved June 1, 2016.
  18. [18]
    "Campaign 2016 updates: Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton traverse the country in final push". Retrieved November 9, 2016 – via LA Times.
  19. [19]
    Chalian, David. "Road to 270: CNN's new election map". Retrieved November 9, 2016.
  20. [20]
    "Presidential Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved August 16, 2021.
  21. [21]
    "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2016 President". Retrieved November 9, 2016.
  22. [22]
    "NBC's final battleground map shows a lead for Clinton". Retrieved November 9, 2016.
  23. [23]
    "ElectoralVote". Retrieved November 9, 2016.
  24. [24]
    "RealClearPolitics - 2016 Election Maps - Battle for White House". Retrieved November 9, 2016.
  25. [25]
    "Fox News Electoral Scorecard: Map shifts again in Trump's favor, as Clinton holds edge". November 7, 2016. Retrieved November 9, 2016.
  26. [26]
    "The Final 15: Latest Polls in Swing States". ABC News. November 8, 2016. Retrieved November 9, 2016.
  27. [27]
    "RealClearPolitics - Election 2016 - Florida: Trump vs. Clinton".
  28. [28]
    "Florida Department of State - Election Results". Retrieved April 14, 2017.
  29. [29]
    "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index". cookpolitical.com.

Further reading
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