US vaccine rollout was close to optimal at reducing deaths and infections, according to a model comparing 17.5 million alternative approaches

With limited vaccines available in early 2021, the CDC had to decide which people received vaccines first. With the help of a supercomputer, researchers have shown that the CDC did an excellent job.

Claus Kadelka, Assistant Professor of Mathematics, Iowa State University • conversation
Nov. 17, 2021 ~5 min

Coronavirus: England's R number is creeping up – does that mean a second wave is on the way?

The R number fluctuates more as case numbers fall.

Jasmina Panovska-Griffiths, Senior Research Fellow and Lecturer in Mathematical Modelling, UCL • conversation
July 15, 2020 ~6 min


Coronavirus: techniques from physics promise better COVID-19 models – can they deliver?

Neuroscientist Karl Friston claims generative modelling techniques produce more valid predictions than conventional models, but the evidence so far is limited.

Derek Groen, Lecturer in Simulation and Modelling, Brunel University London • conversation
June 4, 2020 ~7 min

Coronavirus: why we need local models to successfully exit lockdown

National models on the spread of COVID-19 have helped us through this crisis. But we'll need local models to get us through the next stage.

Camila Caiado, Associate Professor in Statistics, Durham University • conversation
May 18, 2020 ~8 min

Green zones: a mathematical proposal for how to exit from the COVID-19 lockdown

One practical exit strategy from lockdown would be identifying green zones, and progressively joining them together once it is safe to do so. 

Bary S. R. Pradelski, Associate Member, Oxford-Man Institute, University of Oxford • conversation
April 17, 2020 ~9 min

Green zones: a mathematic proposal for how to exit from the COVID-19 lockdown

One practical exit strategy from lockdown would be identifying green zones, and progressively joining them together once it is safe to do so. 

Bary S. R. Pradelski, Associate Member, Oxford-Man Institute, University of Oxford • conversation
April 17, 2020 ~9 min

Coronavirus: BMJ study suggests 78% don't show symptoms – here's what that could mean

Study raises hopes that we may be closer to herd immunity than previously thought.

Jasmina Panovska-Griffiths, Senior Research Fellow and Lecturer in Mathematical Modelling, UCL • conversation
April 7, 2020 ~7 min

Coronavirus modelling shows the government is getting the balance right - if our aim is to flatten the curve

Should we close schools and workplaces now, or steadily introduce stricter social distancing measures over time? These mathematical models evaluate different approaches of flattening the curve.

Tony Blakely, Professor of Epidemiology, University of Melbourne • conversation
March 22, 2020 ~6 min


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