2024_United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections

2024 United States House of Representatives elections

2024 United States House of Representatives elections

House elections for the 119th U.S. Congress


The 2024 United States House of Representatives elections will be held on November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections, to elect representatives from all 435 congressional districts across each of the 50 U.S. states, as well as six non-voting delegates from the District of Columbia and the inhabited U.S. territories. Special elections may also be held on various dates throughout 2024. Numerous other federal, state, and local elections, including the U.S. presidential election and elections to the Senate, will also be held on this date. The winners of this election will serve in the 119th United States Congress, with seats apportioned among the states based on the 2020 United States census.

Quick Facts All 435 seats in the United States House of Representatives 218 seats needed for a majority, Leader ...

The House Republican Conference has been led by Mike Johnson since October 2023, following the removal of Kevin McCarthy as Speaker of the House and the speaker election which elected him. He is the first congressman from Louisiana to be elected Speaker of the House.[1]

With the election of Hakeem Jeffries as leader of the House Democratic Caucus, this is set to be the first House election since 2002 in which the Democratic Party will not be led by Nancy Pelosi. Jeffries is the first African American in the history of Congress to serve as leader of either party, and the first congressman from New York to do so since Bertrand Snell's retirement in 1938.[2]

The election is expected to be highly competitive, with forecasts suggesting less than a 5 seat difference between the two parties.[3] The competitive nature of the election partially stems from the 118th United States Congress being considered among the least productive since the 72nd Congress of 1931 to 1933, which has contributed to a 13% approval rating.[4] The 118th Congress is also considered to be a dramatic one, with events such as the January 2023 speakership election, the 2023 debt-ceiling crisis, the removal of Kevin McCarthy from House Speaker, the October 2023 speakership election and the expulsion of George Santos. If the Republican Party fails to keep control of the House, this would be the first time since the 1954 House elections that a party loses House control after a single congressional term.

Prior to the elections, several states have seen challenges to their congressional district maps that were put in place during the redistricting cycle brought upon by the results of the 2020 census. In Alabama, a special master drew a new map after the state legislature submitted a map that did not comply with the Voting Rights Act after the Supreme Court ruled their original map violated the Voting Rights Act in Allen v. Milligan, requiring the creation of a second predominantly Black district.[5][6] Similarly, a judge in Georgia ruled that Georgia's maps were illegally racially gerrymandered and the Georgia General Assembly drew a new map that added a new predominantly Black district.[7][8] In Louisiana, the Supreme Court's decision not to intervene in Robinson v. Ardoin led to a second majority Black district being drawn in that state as well.[9]

Retirements

As of April 2024, a total of 44 representatives and 2 non-voting delegates (25 Democrats and 21 Republicans) have announced their retirement, 18 of whom (11 Democrats and 7 Republicans) are retiring to run for other offices.

Democratic

  1. Arizona 3: Ruben Gallego is retiring to run for U.S. Senate.[10]
  2. California 12: Barbara Lee is retiring (previously ran for U.S. Senate).[11]
  3. California 16: Anna Eshoo is retiring.[12]
  4. California 29: Tony Cárdenas is retiring.[13]
  5. California 30: Adam Schiff is retiring to run for U.S. Senate.[14]
  6. California 31: Grace Napolitano is retiring.[15]
  7. California 47: Katie Porter is retiring (previously ran for U.S. Senate).[16]
  8. Delaware at-large: Lisa Blunt Rochester is retiring to run for U.S. Senate.[17]
  9. Maryland 2: Dutch Ruppersberger is retiring.[18]
  10. Maryland 3: John Sarbanes is retiring.[19]
  11. Maryland 6: David Trone is retiring to run for U.S. Senate.[20]
  12. Michigan 7: Elissa Slotkin is retiring to run for U.S. Senate.[21]
  13. Michigan 8: Dan Kildee is retiring.[22]
  14. Minnesota 3: Dean Phillips is retiring (previously ran for President but endorsed Joe Biden).[23]
  15. New Hampshire 2: Annie Kuster is retiring.[24]
  16. New Jersey 3: Andy Kim is retiring to run for U.S. Senate.[25]
  17. North Carolina 6: Kathy Manning is retiring due to redistricting.[26]
  18. North Carolina 13: Wiley Nickel is retiring due to redistricting.[27]
  19. North Carolina 14: Jeff Jackson is retiring to run for attorney general of North Carolina due to redistricting.[28]
  20. Northern Mariana Islands at-large: Gregorio Sablan is retiring.[29]
  21. Oregon 3: Earl Blumenauer is retiring.[30]
  22. Texas 32: Colin Allred is retiring to run for U.S. Senate.[31]
  23. Virginia 7: Abigail Spanberger is retiring to run for governor of Virginia.[32]
  24. Virginia 10: Jennifer Wexton is retiring.[33]
  25. Washington 6: Derek Kilmer is retiring.[34]

Republican

  1. Arizona 8: Debbie Lesko is retiring to run for the Maricopa County Board of Supervisors.[35]
  2. Colorado 5: Doug Lamborn is retiring.[36]
  3. Florida 8: Bill Posey is retiring.[37]
  4. Georgia 3: Drew Ferguson is retiring.[38]
  5. Indiana 3: Jim Banks is retiring to run for U.S. Senate.[39]
  6. Indiana 6: Greg Pence is retiring.[40]
  7. Indiana 8: Larry Bucshon is retiring.[41]
  8. Kansas 2: Jake LaTurner is retiring.[42]
  9. Missouri 3: Blaine Luetkemeyer is retiring.[43]
  10. Montana 2: Matt Rosendale is retiring.[44]
  11. North Carolina 8: Dan Bishop is retiring to run for attorney general of North Carolina.[45]
  12. North Carolina 10: Patrick McHenry is retiring.[46]
  13. North Dakota at-large: Kelly Armstrong is retiring to run for governor of North Dakota.[47]
  14. Ohio 2: Brad Wenstrup is retiring.[48]
  15. Puerto Rico at-large: Jenniffer González-Colón is retiring to run for governor of Puerto Rico.[49]
  16. South Carolina 3: Jeff Duncan is retiring.[50]
  17. Texas 12: Kay Granger is retiring.[51]
  18. Texas 26: Michael C. Burgess is retiring.[52]
  19. Utah 3: John Curtis is retiring to run for U.S. Senate.[53]
  20. Washington 5: Cathy McMorris Rodgers is retiring.[54]
  21. West Virginia 2: Alex Mooney is retiring to run for U.S. Senate.[55]

Resignations

At least one seat will be vacant on the day of the general election due to resignations in 2024, which will not be filled until the beginning of the next Congress.

Republicans

One Republican resigned before the end of his term.

  1. Wisconsin 8: Mike Gallagher resigned on April 24.[56]

Incumbents defeated

One incumbent lost renomination in the primary elections.

In primary elections

Republicans

One Republican lost renomination.

  1. Alabama 1: Jerry Carl (first elected in 2020) lost a redistricting race to fellow incumbent Barry Moore.[57]

Crossover seats

This is a list of congressional seats that voted for one party in the 2020 presidential election and another in the 2022 House elections.[58]

Democratic

This lists the districts in which Donald Trump won in 2020 but are represented by Democrats:

More information District, Incumbent ...

Republican

This lists the districts in which Joe Biden won in 2020 but are represented by Republicans:

More information District, Incumbent ...

Mid-decade redistricting changes

In the United States, all states with multiple congressional districts are required to revise their district maps following each decennial census to account for population changes. In 2024, most states will use the same districts created in the redistricting cycle following the 2020 census, which were first used in the 2022 elections. However, maps have changed or will change in several states, often due to legal challenges made on the basis of political or racial gerrymandering.

As of April 2024, the following states have had new maps enacted or have had the old districts maintained following previous speculation that they may have been changed.

More information State (linked tosummaries below), Status ...

Newly created seats

The following districts will have no incumbent representative as a result of redistricting.

  1. Alabama 2
  2. North Carolina 6

Seats with multiple incumbents running

The following districts will have multiple incumbent representatives running, a product of multiple districts merging in redistricting.

  1. Alabama 1: Barry Moore (R) defeated Jerry Carl.[72]

Election ratings

Special elections

There are six special elections scheduled in 2024 to the 118th United States Congress, listed here by date and district.

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Alabama

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Alaska

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Arizona

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Arkansas

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California

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Colorado

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Connecticut

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Delaware

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Florida

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Georgia

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Hawaii

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Idaho

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Illinois

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Indiana

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Iowa

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Kansas

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Kentucky

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Louisiana

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Maine

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Maryland

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Massachusetts

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Michigan

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Minnesota

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Mississippi

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Missouri

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Montana

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Nebraska

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Nevada

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New Hampshire

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New Jersey

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New Mexico

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New York

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North Carolina

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North Dakota

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Ohio

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Oklahoma

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Oregon

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Pennsylvania

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Rhode Island

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South Carolina

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South Dakota

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Tennessee

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Texas

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Utah

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Vermont

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Virginia

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Washington

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West Virginia

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Wisconsin

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Wyoming

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Non-voting delegates

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See also

Notes

  1. As well as the six non-voting delegates.
  2. Manning was first elected to a previous, Democratic version of this district which Biden won by 12.4 points in 2020, but it was redrawn to be Republican-leaning in 2023 by the North Carolina state legislature.
  3. Nickel was first elected to a previous, competitive version of this district which Biden won by 1.7 points in 2020, but it was redrawn to be Republican-leaning in 2023 by the North Carolina state legislature.
  4. Jackson was first elected to a previous, Democratic version of this district which Biden won by 16.3 points in 2020, but it was redrawn to be Republican-leaning in 2023 by the North Carolina state legislature.
  5. Moore was first elected to a previous, Republican-leaning version of this district which Trump won by 29.4 points in 2020, but it was redrawn to be Democratic-leaning, and have a majority-Black electorate, in 2023 due to a court order.
  6. Graves was first elected to a previous, Republican-leaning version of this district which Trump won by 33.7 points in 2020, but it was redrawn to be Democratic-leaning, and have a majority-Black electorate, in 2024 due to a court order.
  7. A new congressional map was enacted in October 2023, after the most recent publication of the Cook PVI.[61]
  8. Rep. Kevin McCarthy (R) resigned on December 31, 2023.[79] A special election will be held on May 21, 2024.
  9. Rep. Ken Buck (R) resigned on March 22, 2024.[85] A special election will be held on June 25, 2024.[86]
  10. A new congressional map was enacted in December 2023, after the most recent publication of the Cook PVI.[62]
  11. A new congressional map was enacted in January 2024 as a result of Robinson v. Ardoin, after the most recent publication of the Cook PVI.[64]
  12. Van Drew was first elected as a Democrat but switched to the Republican Party in December 2019.
  13. In New York, candidates file with the following Boards of Elections: District 1 - Suffolk County; Districts 2, 3, and 16-26 - New York State; District 4 - Nassau County; Districts 5-15 - New York City.
  14. A new congressional map was enacted in February 2024, after the most recent publication of the Cook PVI.[69]
  15. Rep. Brian Higgins (D) resigned February 2, 2024.[76] A special election will be held on a date TBD.
  16. A new congressional map was enacted in October 2023, after the most recent publication of the Cook PVI.[70]
  17. Rep. Bill Johnson (R) resigned on January 21, 2024, to become president of Youngstown State University. A special election will be held June 11.[82]
  18. Sablan was first elected as an Independent and switched to the Democratic Party in October 2021.
  19. González-Colón is a member of the Republican Party in Congress, but runs in elections under Puerto Rico's New Progressive Party (PNP).

References

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